Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 3, 2012

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $36.2400 (-0.44%) ($36.1400 - $36.3600) on Wed. Oct. 3, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.91% (three month average)
RSI   35
Latest Price   $36.2400(-0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    EWG(70%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)    EWI(65%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.455% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    IGOV(-7%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(5%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.455% (StdDev 0.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

Resistance Level   $36.96
5 Day Moving Average   $36.66(-1.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.94(-1.89%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.96(-1.95%)
To recent high   -4.6%
To recent low   3.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.79% (three month std-dev: 0.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.48%(67%) Average negative next day return: -3.21%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 2.24%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -3.46%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 5.97%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.08%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121103

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_3_2012	36.41	36.96	36.94	36.66	36.53	36.37	36.24(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-40	-29	-96	4.3	50%	0	17.9	0.91%	0	-1.1	35	NAN
2	Oct_2_2012	36.41	36.93	37.08	36.8	36.81	36.57	36.4(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-32	-40	-21	-66	4.51	50%	0	13.9	0.93%	0	-0.8	47	NAN
3	Oct_1_2012	36.41	36.91	37.2	36.99	36.94	36.68	36.56(-0.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-37	-50	-36	-38	2.24	50%	0	12.6	0.93%	0	-0.5	55	NAN
4	Sep_28_2012	36.41	36.9	37.29	37.15	37.14	37.06	36.68(-1.93%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-14	-20	-19	2	4.6	55%	-0.03	13	0.96%	0	-0.3	58	NAN
5	Sep_27_2012	36.42	36.88	37.41	37.3	37.28	37.19	37.4(1.19%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-20	-1	48	1.98	58%	0	11.8	0.95%	0	0.7	68	NAN

6	Sep_26_2012	36.42	36.85	37.41	37.26	37.31	37.23	36.96(-1.02%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	3	-10	-18	65	2.14	58%	-0.03	8.8	0.94%	0	0.2	70	NAN
7	Sep_25_2012	36.43	36.84	37.42	37.4	37.38	37.37	37.34(-0.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	24	-0	-4	109	2.81	57%	0	10.9	0.94%	0	0.7	80	NAN
8	Sep_24_2012	36.43	36.82	37.34	37.44	37.42	37.37	37.36(-0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	29	-10	-3	126	1.62	57%	-0.03	11.6	0.96%	0	0.8	71	NAN
9	Sep_21_2012	36.44	36.8	37.24	37.46	37.47	37.38	37.42(0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	26	-20	-9	130	2.21	53%	0	11.6	0.96%	0	0.9	63	NAN
10	Sep_20_2012	36.44	36.79	37.13	37.55	37.49	37.45	37.24(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	25	-10	-12	134	4.8	54%	-0.05	16	1.01%	0	0.7	62	NAN

11	Sep_19_2012	36.46	36.78	37	37.59	37.63	37.56	37.64(0.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	-10	13	135	3.6	56%	0	21.8	1.01%	0	1.2	56	NAN
12	Sep_18_2012	36.46	36.76	36.77	37.43	37.54	37.53	37.54(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	31	10	8	100	6.58	56%	-0.05	19.2	1.01%	0	1.2	56	NAN
13	Sep_17_2012	36.48	36.74	36.59	37.21	37.38	37.7	37.48(-0.95%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	39	70	29	70	2.55	56%	-0.05	13.3	1.01%	0	1.1	52	NAN
14	Sep_14_2012	36.5	36.73	36.46	36.97	37.1	37.54	37.84(1.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	50	90	52	44	9.75	58%	-0.03	6.8	1.01%	0	1.7	53	NAN
15	Sep_13_2012	36.51	36.68	36.28	36.66	36.72	37.05	37.44(1.63%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	33	70	45	-2	3.64	56%	-0.03	-6	1.01%	0	1.2	49	NAN

16	Sep_12_2012	36.52	36.68	36.21	36.33	36.48	36.65	36.84(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	19	50	39	-41	2.75	56%	-0.05	-23.4	0.99%	0	0.4	42	NAN
17	Sep_11_2012	36.54	36.63	36.18	36.02	36.19	36.4	36.44(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	50	20	-85	2.82	54%	-0.05	-38.6	1%	0	-0.3	36	NAN
18	Sep_10_2012	36.56	36.65	36.24	36.02	35.92	36.31	36.28(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	80	21	-102	2.35	54%	-0.08	-43	1%	0	-0.6	33	NAN
19	Sep_7_2012	36.59	36.68	36.32	35.88	35.76	35.98	36.28(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-8	30	25	-106	3.24	54%	-0.08	-37.3	1%	0	-0.7	32	NAN
20	Sep_6_2012	36.62	36.71	36.41	35.86	35.75	35.52	35.8(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-50	-18	-125	6.4	55%	-0.08	-29.7	0.99%	0	-1.6	30	NAN

21	Sep_5_2012	36.65	36.77	36.55	36.08	35.91	35.54	35.32(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-64	-90	-48	-110	3.7	55%	-0.11	-12.5	1%	0	-2.7	34	NAN
22	Sep_4_2012	36.69	36.86	36.76	36.36	36.29	35.97	35.74(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-47	-70	-38	-75	3.28	58%	-0.16	13.8	1%	0	-2.8	35	NAN
23	Aug_31_2012	36.75	36.86	36.92	36.63	36.55	36.28	36.24(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-35	-60	-33	-42	4.01	57%	-0.08	41	1.04%	0	-1.8	41	NAN
24	Aug_30_2012	36.78	36.9	37.03	36.82	36.78	36.62	36.2(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-24	-30	-26	-17	4.88	55%	-0.08	48.2	1.05%	0	-1.7	38	NAN
25	Aug_29_2012	36.81	36.88	37.13	37.03	36.97	36.82	36.88(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-30	-12	10	1.77	59%		58.4	1.04%	0	0	52	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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