Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Sep. 12, 2012

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $36.8400 (1.1%) ($36.7600 - $36.9600) on Wed. Sep. 12, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.99% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $36.8400(1.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -0.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    EWG(70%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)    EWI(65%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.495% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.495% (StdDev 0.99%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.33(1.4%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.21(1.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.63(0.57%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.58% (three month std-dev: 0.99%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20121012

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_12_2012	36.52		36.21	36.33	36.48	36.65	36.84(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	19	50	39	-41	2.75	56%	-0.05	-23.4	0.99%	0	0.4	42	0
2	Sep_11_2012	36.54	36.63	36.18	36.02	36.19	36.4	36.44(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-6	50	20	-85	2.82	54%	-0.05	-38.6	1%	0	-0.3	36	0
3	Sep_10_2012	36.56	36.65	36.24	36.02	35.92	36.31	36.28(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	80	21	-102	2.35	54%	-0.08	-43	1%	0	-0.6	33	0
4	Sep_7_2012	36.59	36.68	36.32	35.88	35.76	35.98	36.28(1.34%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-8	30	25	-106	3.24	54%	-0.08	-37.3	1%	0	-0.7	32	0
5	Sep_6_2012	36.62	36.71	36.41	35.86	35.75	35.52	35.8(1.36%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-50	-18	-125	6.4	55%	-0.08	-29.7	0.99%	0	-1.6	30	0

6	Sep_5_2012	36.65	36.77	36.55	36.08	35.91	35.54	35.32(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-64	-90	-48	-110	3.7	55%	-0.11	-12.5	1%	0	-2.7	34	0
7	Sep_4_2012	36.69	36.86	36.76	36.36	36.29	35.97	35.74(-1.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-47	-70	-38	-75	3.28	58%	-0.16	13.8	1%	0	-2.8	35	0
8	Aug_31_2012	36.75	36.86	36.92	36.63	36.55	36.28	36.24(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-35	-60	-33	-42	4.01	57%	-0.08	41	1.04%	0	-1.8	41	0
9	Aug_30_2012	36.78	36.9	37.03	36.82	36.78	36.62	36.2(-1.84%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-24	-30	-26	-17	4.88	55%	-0.08	48.2	1.05%	0	-1.7	38	0
10	Aug_29_2012	36.81	36.88	37.13	37.03	36.97	36.82	36.88(0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-30	-12	10	1.77	59%	-0.03	58.4	1.04%	0	0	52	0

11	Aug_28_2012	36.82	36.84	37.11	37.1	37.07	36.94	36.76(-0.86%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.7	-11	-30	-18	11	1.96	59%	-0.08	66.9	1.05%	0	-0.2	52	0
12	Aug_27_2012	36.85	36.8	37.12	37.21	37.17	37.13	37.08(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-10	-7	23	2.08	59%	0	78	1.05%	0	0.5	57	0
13	Aug_24_2012	36.85	36.75	37.1	37.25	37.23	37.2	37.2(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	7	-10	-3	35	1.98	59%	-0.05	86.5	1.05%	0	0.9	71	0
14	Aug_23_2012	36.87	36.7	37.08	37.28	37.26	37.21	37.24(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	12	-10	-1	51	1.64	59%	-0.05	85.6	1.05%	0	1	78	0
15	Aug_22_2012	36.89	36.62	37.04	37.25	37.29	37.25	37.24(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	21	-0	5	68	2.9	59%	-0.08	66.3	1.06%	0	1	82	0

16	Aug_21_2012	36.92	36.51	36.99	37.12	37.26	37.31	37.28(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	26	20	10	74	2.01	60%	-0.08	47.6	1.06%	0	1.1	77	0
17	Aug_20_2012	36.95	36.4	36.95	37.02	37.07	37.32	37.28(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	50	12	81	1.86	60%	-0.11	34.9	1.06%	0	1.3	73	0
18	Aug_17_2012	36.99	36.31	36.87	36.94	36.97	37.21	37.36(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	41	50	26	86	1.3	59%	-0.08	25.4	1.08%	0	1.6	74	0
19	Aug_16_2012	37.02	36.23	36.74	36.85	36.85	36.82	37.08(1.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	-10	8	72	2.33	57%	-0.11	17.8	1.08%	0	1.3	66	0
20	Aug_15_2012	37.06	36.2	36.61	36.81	36.8	36.73	36.6(-0.54%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	8	-10	-11	64	1.84	54%	-0.11	20.5	1.08%	0	0.7	70	0

21	Aug_14_2012	37.1	36.19	36.54	36.85	36.88	36.73	36.8(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	21	0	0	84	1.88	53%	-0.08	19.6	1.09%	0	1	79	0
22	Aug_13_2012	37.13	36.16	36.46	36.86	36.85	36.88	36.84(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	0	4	102	2.31	53%	-0.11	17.5	1.1%	0	1.2	80	0
23	Aug_10_2012	37.17	36.13	36.37	36.78	36.86	36.87	36.92(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	10	12	109	3.23	52%	-0.08	8.9	1.11%	0	1.4	72	0
24	Aug_9_2012	37.2	36.11	36.29	36.62	36.78	36.83	36.88(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	20	17	103	1.89	51%	-0.08	-5.3	1.11%	0	1.4	62	0
25	Aug_8_2012	37.23	36.08	36.16	36.38	36.54	36.85	36.8(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	70	23	71	1.79	50%		-28	1.11%	0	1.3	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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