Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Aug. 13, 2012

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $36.8400 (-0.22%) ($36.8000 - $37.0800) on Mon. Aug. 13, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.1% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $36.8400(-0.22%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    EWG(70%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)    EWI(65%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.55% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-19%)    IGOV(-6%)    SHY(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(5%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.55% (StdDev 1.1%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.86(-0.05%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.46(1.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.16(1.88%)
To recent high   -3.1%
To recent low   6.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.6% (three month std-dev: 1.1%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.61%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.87%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.82%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120913

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_13_2012	37.13	36.16	36.46	36.86	36.85	36.88	36.84(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	0	4	102	2.31	53%	-0.11	17.5	1.1%	0	1.2	80	NAN
2	Aug_10_2012	37.17	36.13	36.37	36.78	36.86	36.87	36.92(0.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	10	12	109	3.23	52%	-0.08	8.9	1.11%	0	1.4	72	NAN
3	Aug_9_2012	37.2	36.11	36.29	36.62	36.78	36.83	36.88(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	20	17	103	1.89	51%	-0.08	-5.3	1.11%	0	1.4	62	NAN
4	Aug_8_2012	37.23	36.08	36.16	36.38	36.54	36.85	36.8(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	70	23	71	1.79	50%	-0.08	-28	1.11%	0	1.3	48	NAN
5	Aug_7_2012	37.26	36.07	35.99	36.18	36.28	36.72	36.88(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	39	90	37	43	4.3	50%	-0.11	-48	1.12%	0	1.5	52	NAN

6	Aug_6_2012	37.3	36.06	35.8	36	36.03	36.24	36.44(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	40	26	6	3.1	48%	-0.11	-61.9	1.11%	0	0.7	50	NAN
7	Aug_3_2012	37.34	36.09	35.69	35.91	36.03	35.83	36.08(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-8	-20	-1	-28	2.73	48%	-0.11	-64	1.1%	0	-0	44	NAN
8	Aug_2_2012	37.38	36.14	35.66	35.93	35.92	35.82	35.68(-0.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-19	-20	-11	-42	3.19	47%	-0.11	-54.8	1.09%	0	-0.7	38	NAN
9	Aug_1_2012	37.42	36.23	35.75	35.91	36.01	35.82	35.84(-0.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	1	10	11	-31	1.81	46%	-0.13	-48.4	1.09%	0	-0.6	45	NAN
10	Jul_31_2012	37.47	36.33	35.8	35.75	35.91	36.02	35.96(-0.11%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	30	17	-48	3.23	46%	-0.11	-38.1	1.1%	0	-0.5	40	NAN

11	Jul_30_2012	37.51	36.41	35.83	35.56	35.65	36.01	36(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	0	80	23	-68	3.86	46%	-0.11	-33.3	1.11%	0	-0.5	41	NAN
12	Jul_27_2012	37.55	36.48	35.87	35.43	35.43	35.79	36.18(1.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	2	70	31	-85	3.05	46%	-0.11	-29.1	1.11%	0	-0.4	38	NAN
13	Jul_26_2012	37.59	36.52	35.91	35.36	35.24	35.29	35.56(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-33	-0	-4	-119	3.76	44%	-0.11	-27	1.08%	0	-1.1	29	NAN
14	Jul_25_2012	37.63	36.57	35.98	35.59	35.33	35.07	35.04(0.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-57	-70	-32	-131	2.92	42%	-0.13	-23.5	1.07%	0	-1.9	20	NAN
15	Jul_24_2012	37.68	36.63	36.16	35.87	35.74	35.2	35.02(-0.96%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-62	-120	-40	-129	7.33	42%	-0.11	-18.3	1.07%	0	-2.2	18	NAN

16	Jul_23_2012	37.72	36.68	36.35	36.13	36.05	35.58	35.36(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-70	-100	-52	-124	2.47	41%	-0.13	-14.1	1.07%	0	-1.9	28	NAN
17	Jul_20_2012	37.77	36.73	36.53	36.36	36.3	36.29	35.84(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-44	-10	-24	-102	3.56	42%	-0.11	-5.4	1.07%	0	-1.5	30	NAN
18	Jul_19_2012	37.81	36.75	36.68	36.52	36.45	36.53	36.7(0.71%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	10	18	-70	2.41	45%	-0.08	3.7	1.03%	0	-0.1	49	NAN
19	Jul_18_2012	37.84	36.76	36.76	36.43	36.37	36.31	36.44(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-24	-20	-7	-73	2.56	45%	-0.13	10.4	1.03%	0	-0.5	53	NAN
20	Jul_17_2012	37.89	36.76	36.9	36.51	36.34	36.38	36.32(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-19	-10	-11	-42	2.66	45%	-0.11	20.9	1.02%	0	-0.8	56	NAN

21	Jul_16_2012	37.93	36.76	37.03	36.6	36.47	36.43	36.48(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-5	-20	-4	-6	1.98	45%	-0.08	33.7	1.03%	0	-0.5	61	NAN
22	Jul_13_2012	37.96	36.77	37.14	36.74	36.58	36.3	36.64(0.99%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-13	-70	-23	18	3.35	43%	-0.11	45.8	1.03%	0	-0.2	55	NAN
23	Jul_12_2012	38	36.73	37.18	36.88	36.76	36.52	36.28(-1.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-18	-60	-37	39	2.85	43%	-0.11	50.6	1.03%	0	-0.7	55	NAN
24	Jul_11_2012	38.04	36.7	37.2	37.13	37.02	36.86	36.84(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-3	-40	-24	62	2.15	47%	-0.08	54.3	1.01%	0	0.2	50	NAN
25	Jul_10_2012	38.07	36.64	37.14	37.36	37.19	36.99	36.76(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	1	-50	-24	77	3.61	46%		62.9	1.03%	0	0.2	53	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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