Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 20, 2012

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $38.9600 (0.26%) ($38.8400 - $39.0400) on Fri. Apr. 20, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.84% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $38.9600(0.26%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    EWG(70%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)    EWI(65%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.42% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-5%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.42% (StdDev 0.84%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

Resistance Level   $39.58
5 Day Moving Average   $39.02(-0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.01(-0.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.58(-1.57%)
To recent high   -4.4%
To recent low   3.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.82% (three month std-dev: 0.84%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.86%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0.4%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 1.45%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120520

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_20_2012	38.49	39.58	39.01	39.02	39.04	38.95	38.96(0.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-26	-10	-5	-89	1.8	35%	0.05	-41.2	0.84%	0	-0.9	28	0
2	Apr_19_2012	38.47	39.63	39.04	39	39.07	39.03	38.86(-0.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-38	-0	-12	-115	2.58	35%	0.03	-44.1	0.85%	0	-1.1	29	0
3	Apr_18_2012	38.46	39.69	39.08	39	39.08	39.14	39.12(-0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-30	10	2	-124	2.59	35%	0.05	-41.4	0.85%	0	-0.8	30	0
4	Apr_17_2012	38.44	39.74	39.18	39.09	39.1	39.1	39.2(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-22	0	13	-125	2.76	35%	0.08	-43.9	0.86%	0	-0.8	32	0
5	Apr_16_2012	38.41	39.8	39.32	38.97	39.07	39.02	38.96(0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-37	-0	-3	-137	3.59	35%	0.1	-44.5	0.86%	0	-1.2	35	0

6	Apr_13_2012	38.37	39.88	39.49	38.99	39.01	39.09	38.88(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-37	20	-7	-127	2.27	35%	0.03	-46.1	0.87%	0	-1.5	39	0
7	Apr_12_2012	38.36	39.94	39.66	38.99	39.02	39.12	39.3(0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-19	10	10	-106	3.38	37%	0.1	-45.8	0.86%	0	-1	43	0
8	Apr_11_2012	38.32	39.98	39.78	39.08	39.06	38.93	39.12(1.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-37	-20	-14	-106	4.91	37%	0.08	-44.7	0.86%	0	-1.4	41	0
9	Apr_10_2012	38.29	40.04	39.93	39.3	39.11	38.92	38.6(-1.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-66	-50	-55	-98	7.85	31%	0.08	-28.9	0.85%	0	-2.5	30	0
10	Apr_9_2012	38.26	40.11	40.11	39.73	39.49	39.19	39.06(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-45	-70	-41	-56	5.37	34%	0.1	-6	0.84%	0	-2.2	29	0

11	Apr_5_2012	38.22	40.18	40.21	40.06	39.89	39.31	39.3(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.9	-51	-110	-56	-37	3.57	34%	0.08	21.6	0.85%	0	-2.3	35	0
12	Apr_4_2012	38.19	40.23	40.29	40.32	40.23	39.8	39.3(-2.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.8	-53	-80	-65	-18	3.56	34%	0.05	42.4	0.86%	0	-2.5	40	0
13	Apr_3_2012	38.17	40.25	40.37	40.58	40.54	40.47	40.24(-1.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-7	-20	-19	31	2.77	48%	0.1	56.4	0.8%	0	-0	59	0
14	Apr_2_2012	38.13	40.2	40.36	40.64	40.54	40.67	40.76(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	10	10	46	3.08	53%	0.08	41.2	0.82%	0	1.4	57	0
15	Mar_30_2012	38.1	40.14	40.33	40.54	40.61	40.61	40.7(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	26	10	18	49	3.5	53%	0.11	29.9	0.82%	0	1.4	62	0

16	Mar_29_2012	38.06	40.09	40.29	40.39	40.47	40.55	40.58(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	15	20	9	31	3.07	59%	0.11	15.2	0.83%	0	1.3	53	0
17	Mar_28_2012	38.02	40.07	40.25	40.27	40.31	40.61	40.64(0.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	28	60	28	27	5.24	59%	0.08	5.7	0.86%	0	1.6	56	0
18	Mar_27_2012	37.99	40.07	40.16	40.12	40.14	40.38	40.54(0.75%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	29	40	32	19	3.85	59%	0.08	-5.7	0.88%	0	1.5	64	0
19	Mar_26_2012	37.96	40.03	40.13	40.04	39.95	40.01	40.24(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	7	0	4	16	3.09	59%	0.08	-1.2	0.89%	0	0.6	64	0
20	Mar_23_2012	37.93	40.02	40.1	40.09	39.92	39.9	39.96(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-1	-20	-9	22	2.66	59%	0.08	4.7	0.89%	0	-0.2	56	0

21	Mar_22_2012	37.9	40.04	40.14	40.18	40.06	39.88	39.96(0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	2	-40	-10	38	4.37	59%	0.05	17.6	0.9%	0	-0.2	52	0
22	Mar_21_2012	37.88	40.04	40.16	40.22	40.19	39.95	39.9(-0.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-5	-40	-19	39	2.71	59%	0.08	31.8	0.9%	0	-0.4	47	0
23	Mar_20_2012	37.85	40.05	40.13	40.2	40.28	40.25	40.12(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	0	-10	34	2.13	59%	0.08	45.9	0.91%	0	0.2	52	0
24	Mar_19_2012	37.82	40.04	40.04	40.23	40.25	40.43	40.52(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	30	16	27	2.1	64%	0.03	59.8	0.91%	0	1.4	47	0
25	Mar_16_2012	37.81	40.01	39.95	40.11	40.17	40.31	40.38(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	15	30	17	9	3.01	64%		73.2	0.93%	0	1.1	53	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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