Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Feb. 2, 2012

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $38.5600 (0.31%) ($38.4800 - $38.6400) on Thu. Feb. 2, 2012.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.21% (three month average)
RSI   80
Latest Price   $38.5600(0.31%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    EWG(70%)    EEM(69%)    IWM(67%)    EWI(65%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.605% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-20%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-4%)    TIP(1%)    GLD(6%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.605% (StdDev 1.21%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.27(0.76%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.09(1.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.43(3.02%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2% (three month std-dev: 1.21%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 23 Average positive next day return: 0.96%(39%) Average negative next day return: -0.64%(61%) Sample size 23 Average positive next three day return: 1.27%(52%) Average negative next three day return: -1.84%(48%) Sample size 23 Average positive next weekly return: 1.52%(70%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.96%(30%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20120302

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Feb_2_2012	37.36	37.43	38.09	38.27	38.28	38.48	38.56(0.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	37	40	16	100	2.53	50%	0.03	62.5	1.21%	0	1.5	80	NAN
2	Feb_1_2012	37.35	37.35	37.97	38.16	38.18	38.27	38.44(0.68%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	20	13	101	3.32	50%	0.03	71.1	1.21%	0	1.6	75	NAN
3	Jan_31_2012	37.34	37.28	37.83	38.08	38.11	38.07	38.18(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	29	-0	6	98	5.33	41%	0	80.5	1.21%	0	1.4	70	NAN
4	Jan_30_2012	37.34	37.19	37.68	38.08	38.04	38.09	37.96(-0.63%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	20	1	78	6.29	41%	0.05	81.7	1.42%	0	1.2	73	NAN
5	Jan_27_2012	37.32	37.1	37.55	37.96	37.92	38.14	38.2(0.53%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	28	40	9	86	3.55	48%	0	86.2	1.42%	0	1.8	78	NAN

6	Jan_26_2012	37.32	36.97	37.38	37.88	37.86	38	38(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	20	16	80	5.44	48%	0	80.9	1.5%	0	1.7	67	NAN
7	Jan_25_2012	37.32	36.86	37.25	37.75	37.76	37.71	38.08(1.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	-10	10	67	3.33	48%	0	71	1.5%	0	1.9	59	NAN
8	Jan_24_2012	37.32	36.77	37.12	37.54	37.61	37.72	37.58(-1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	30	7	51	3.83	48%	0	65.7	1.5%	0	1.3	54	NAN
9	Jan_23_2012	37.32	36.69	37	37.34	37.47	37.81	37.96(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	32	70	26	48	4.98	48%	0	56.6	1.5%	0	2.1	68	NAN
10	Jan_20_2012	37.32	36.58	36.83	37.07	37.16	37.51	37.8(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	29	70	28	33	6.42	48%	-0.03	46.2	1.51%	0	2.3	69	NAN

11	Jan_19_2012	37.33	36.49	36.7	36.81	36.87	37.13	37.32(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	21	50	19	26	3.99	48%	-0.05	31	1.5%	0	1.8	72	NAN
12	Jan_18_2012	37.35	36.41	36.67	36.68	36.68	36.81	37.04(1.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	14	20	9	27	3.75	48%	-0.05	12.1	1.51%	0	1.4	63	NAN
13	Jan_17_2012	37.37	36.36	36.68	36.64	36.6	36.62	36.6(0.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	10	0	3	31	2.96	48%	-0.11	-4.2	1.51%	0	0.6	54	NAN
14	Jan_13_2012	37.41	36.35	36.66	36.6	36.64	36.55	36.58(0.16%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	10	-10	2	34	3.47	48%	-0.03	-11.3	1.49%	0	0.5	56	NAN
15	Jan_12_2012	37.42	36.34	36.63	36.54	36.6	36.59	36.52(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	4	0	-5	31	8.96	48%	-0.03	-28.9	1.49%	0	0.4	58	NAN

16	Jan_11_2012	37.43	36.34	36.53	36.57	36.56	36.74	36.68(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	30	0	29	3.18	48%	-0.05	-31.4	1.5%	0	0.7	55	NAN
17	Jan_10_2012	37.45	36.35	36.46	36.66	36.58	36.62	36.84(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	14	0	5	39	5.11	51%	-0.03	-31.5	1.5%	0	1.1	61	NAN
18	Jan_9_2012	37.46	36.38	36.4	36.72	36.64	36.38	36.4(0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	3	-60	-9	39	3.97	51%	-0.03	-25.8	1.53%	0	0	52	NAN
19	Jan_6_2012	37.47	36.4	36.36	36.73	36.64	36.54	36.26(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	1	-40	-11	36	3.6	51%	-0.05	-25	1.53%	0	-0.3	50	NAN
20	Jan_5_2012	37.49	36.46	36.32	36.71	36.81	36.91	36.68(-1.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	30	7	38	3.05	51%	-0.08	-26.4	1.52%	0	0.4	52	NAN

21	Jan_4_2012	37.52	36.48	36.27	36.46	36.62	37.09	37.12(-0.11%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1.1	28	100	28	26	4.2	51%	-0.05	-30.5	1.51%	0	1	51	NAN
22	Jan_3_2012	37.54	36.48	36.12	36.22	36.25	36.72	37.16(1.98%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.5	23	90	31	-1	4	51%	-0.13	-32.9	1.52%	0	1.1	49	NAN
23	Dec_30_2011	37.59	36.5	36.01	36.04	35.97	36.14	36.44(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	3	30	15	-32	3.59	45%	-0.08	-25.3	1.52%	0	-0.1	36	NAN
24	Dec_29_2011	37.62	36.53	35.99	35.96	35.93	35.79	36.16(2.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-9	-30	3	-46	2.84	45%	-0.05	-15.8	1.54%	0	-0.6	45	NAN
25	Dec_28_2011	37.64	36.61	36.01	35.89	35.91	35.8	35.44(-1.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-28	-20	-14	-71	3.29	42%		-8.2	1.54%	0	-1.6	31	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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