Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Nov. 7, 2011

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $37.7600 (0.85%) ($37.2800 - $37.8400) on Mon. Nov. 7, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.9% (three month average)
RSI   44
Latest Price   $37.7600(0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(72%)    EEM(70%)    EWG(70%)    IWM(67%)    VWO(66%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.95% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-5%)    IGOV(-1%)    TIP(-0%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.95% (StdDev 1.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

Resistance Level   $38.21
5 Day Moving Average   $37.42(0.91%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.05(-0.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.21(-1.18%)
To recent high   -5.6%
To recent low   2.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.81% (three month std-dev: 1.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111207

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_7_2011	39.5	38.21	38.05	37.42	37.41	37.49	37.76(0.85%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	10	4	-41	4.22	47%	-0.05	-18.8	1.9%	0	-0.7	44	0
2	Nov_4_2011	39.52	38.24	38.15	37.38	37.3	37.43	37.44(-0.21%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-22	20	-13	-47	2.86	42%	-0.08	-12	1.9%	0	-1.1	45	0
3	Nov_3_2011	39.55	38.26	38.25	37.88	37.41	37.33	37.52(0.75%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-50	-16	-26	4.4	42%	-0.05	5.6	2.04%	0	-1.1	45	0
4	Nov_2_2011	39.57	38.27	38.3	38.33	37.99	37.18	37.24(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-20	-180	-22	-12	3.56	42%	-0.1	16.9	2.03%	0	-1.5	44	0
5	Nov_1_2011	39.61	38.3	38.4	38.53	38.62	37.49	37.12(-1.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-35	-200	-42	-14	4.94	41%	-0.08	22.1	2.03%	0	-1.8	43	0

6	Oct_31_2011	39.64	38.34	38.57	38.75	38.93	38.8	37.6(-5.81%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.8	-22	-10	-31	4	8.76	41%	-0.05	28.8	2.03%	0	-1.1	48	0
7	Oct_28_2011	39.66	38.33	38.66	38.98	39.06	39.76	39.92(0.4%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	33	130	31	39	5.97	46%	-0.03	37.7	1.91%	0	2.5	63	0
8	Oct_27_2011	39.67	38.22	38.5	38.67	38.79	39.06	39.76(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	34	60	34	34	6.28	45%	0	32.6	1.91%	0	2.9	69	0
9	Oct_26_2011	39.67	38.16	38.35	38.31	38.45	38.36	38.26(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10	-1	9	6.67	40%	-0.05	35.5	1.85%	0	0.2	57	0
10	Oct_25_2011	39.69	38.16	38.35	38.27	38.33	38.52	38.2(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	40	-3	13	2.49	40%	-0.05	36.4	1.85%	0	0.1	59	0

11	Oct_24_2011	39.71	38.15	38.36	38.37	38.3	38.54	38.76(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	40	14	29	2.48	40%	-0.03	40.7	1.84%	0	1.4	62	0
12	Oct_21_2011	39.72	38.09	38.33	38.28	38.3	38.15	38.36(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-20	2	30	3.03	40%	-0.08	26.7	1.84%	0	0.6	64	0
13	Oct_20_2011	39.75	38.04	38.25	38.3	38.23	38.07	37.96(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-30	-11	24	2.19	41%	-0.05	11.6	1.84%	0	-0.2	52	0
14	Oct_19_2011	39.77	38.01	38.24	38.39	38.34	38.32	38.08(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10	-5	22	2.49	43%	-0.08	5	1.84%	0	0.2	42	0
15	Oct_18_2011	39.8	38	38.19	38.46	38.34	38.4	38.68(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-0	4	25	3.33	42%	-0.03	6.5	1.84%	0	1.4	54	0

16	Oct_17_2011	39.81	37.98	38.09	38.35	38.38	38.4	38.32(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	-0	-0	15	4.69	42%	-0.05	4.2	1.84%	0	0.8	51	0
17	Oct_14_2011	39.83	37.97	37.99	38.38	38.34	38.36	38.48(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	0	4	17	4	42%	-0.05	15.5	1.84%	0	1	58	0
18	Oct_13_2011	39.85	37.97	37.92	38.19	38.32	38.41	38.4(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	10	30	9	13	2.53	44%	-0.05	23.3	1.85%	0	0.8	60	0
19	Oct_12_2011	39.87	37.99	37.95	38.06	38.14	38.31	38.4(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	40	11	20	3.71	44%	-0.05	23	1.86%	0	0.9	61	0
20	Oct_11_2011	39.89	37.97	37.92	37.88	37.94	38.22	38.16(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	60	12	15	6.89	43%	-0.03	11.1	1.86%	0	0.4	53	0

21	Oct_10_2011	39.9	37.96	37.91	37.8	37.73	37.97	38.48(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	17	40	19	12	2.3	43%	-0.03	9.1	1.86%	0	1	50	0
22	Oct_7_2011	39.91	37.9	37.82	37.55	37.49	37.67	37.52(-0.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	30	3	-12	3.75	40%	-0.08	-13.6	1.84%	0	-0.7	42	0
23	Oct_6_2011	39.94	37.9	37.81	37.61	37.48	37.5	37.72(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-10	-3	-24	8.68	40%	-0.1	-29.2	1.84%	0	-0.3	39	0
24	Oct_5_2011	39.98	37.88	37.77	37.84	37.57	37.32	37.54(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-70	-13	-27	3	40%	-0.07	-30.7	1.84%	0	-0.6	42	0
25	Oct_4_2011	40.01	37.92	37.8	37.96	37.93	37.46	37.72(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-90	-17	-25	5.65	40%		-27.9	1.84%	0	-0.4	48	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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