Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 27, 2011

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $39.7600 (3.92%) ($39.4800 - $39.9600) on Thu. Oct. 27, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.91% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $39.7600(3.92%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EEM(70%)    EWG(70%)    IWM(67%)    QQQ(66%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.955% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-6%)    IGOV(-1%)    TIP(-0%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.955% (StdDev 1.91%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.67(2.82%)
10 Day Moving Average   $38.5(3.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.22(4.03%)
To recent high   -7.2%
To recent low   7.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.41% (three month std-dev: 1.91%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.82%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 2.82%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.04%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 2.03%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.09%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111127

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_27_2011	39.67	38.22	38.5	38.67	38.79	39.06	39.76(3.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2	34	60	34	34	6.28	45%	0	32.6	1.91%	0	2.9	69	NAN
2	Oct_26_2011	39.67	38.16	38.35	38.31	38.45	38.36	38.26(0.16%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	2	-10	-1	9	6.67	40%	-0.05	35.5	1.85%	0	0.2	57	NAN
3	Oct_25_2011	39.69	38.16	38.35	38.27	38.33	38.52	38.2(-1.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	1	40	-3	13	2.49	40%	-0.05	36.4	1.85%	0	0.1	59	NAN
4	Oct_24_2011	39.71	38.15	38.36	38.37	38.3	38.54	38.76(1.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	18	40	14	29	2.48	40%	-0.03	40.7	1.84%	0	1.4	62	NAN
5	Oct_21_2011	39.72	38.09	38.33	38.28	38.3	38.15	38.36(1.05%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	9	-20	2	30	3.03	40%	-0.08	26.7	1.84%	0	0.6	64	NAN

6	Oct_20_2011	39.75	38.04	38.25	38.3	38.23	38.07	37.96(-0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-2	-30	-11	24	2.19	41%	-0.05	11.6	1.84%	0	-0.2	52	NAN
7	Oct_19_2011	39.77	38.01	38.24	38.39	38.34	38.32	38.08(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-10	-5	22	2.49	43%	-0.08	5	1.84%	0	0.2	42	NAN
8	Oct_18_2011	39.8	38	38.19	38.46	38.34	38.4	38.68(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	9	-0	4	25	3.33	42%	-0.03	6.5	1.84%	0	1.4	54	NAN
9	Oct_17_2011	39.81	37.98	38.09	38.35	38.38	38.4	38.32(-0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	4	-0	-0	15	4.69	42%	-0.05	4.2	1.84%	0	0.8	51	NAN
10	Oct_14_2011	39.83	37.97	37.99	38.38	38.34	38.36	38.48(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	7	0	4	17	4	42%	-0.05	15.5	1.84%	0	1	58	NAN

11	Oct_13_2011	39.85	37.97	37.92	38.19	38.32	38.41	38.4(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	10	30	9	13	2.53	44%	-0.05	23.3	1.85%	0	0.8	60	NAN
12	Oct_12_2011	39.87	37.99	37.95	38.06	38.14	38.31	38.4(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	40	11	20	3.71	44%	-0.05	23	1.86%	0	0.9	61	NAN
13	Oct_11_2011	39.89	37.97	37.92	37.88	37.94	38.22	38.16(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	60	12	15	6.89	43%	-0.03	11.1	1.86%	0	0.4	53	NAN
14	Oct_10_2011	39.9	37.96	37.91	37.8	37.73	37.97	38.48(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	17	40	19	12	2.3	43%	-0.03	9.1	1.86%	0	1	50	NAN
15	Oct_7_2011	39.91	37.9	37.82	37.55	37.49	37.67	37.52(-0.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	30	3	-12	3.75	40%	-0.08	-13.6	1.84%	0	-0.7	42	NAN

16	Oct_6_2011	39.94	37.9	37.81	37.61	37.48	37.5	37.72(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-10	-3	-24	8.68	40%	-0.1	-29.2	1.84%	0	-0.3	39	NAN
17	Oct_5_2011	39.98	37.88	37.77	37.84	37.57	37.32	37.54(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-70	-13	-27	3	40%	-0.07	-30.7	1.84%	0	-0.6	42	NAN
18	Oct_4_2011	40.01	37.92	37.8	37.96	37.93	37.46	37.72(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-90	-17	-25	5.65	40%	-0.07	-27.9	1.84%	0	-0.4	48	NAN
19	Oct_3_2011	40.04	37.91	37.86	38.05	38.22	37.83	37.24(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-20	-60	-20	-20	4.44	40%	-0.1	-34.5	1.84%	0	-1.2	46	NAN
20	Sep_30_2011	40.08	37.97	37.97	38.11	38.4	38.41	37.84(-2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	20	-0	-0	5.48	40%	-0.1	-32.1	1.84%	0	-0.2	57	NAN

21	Sep_29_2011	40.12	38.03	38.07	38.02	38.24	38.62	38.84(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	21	90	22	19	4.84	44%	-0.07	-22.7	1.82%	0	1.4	69	NAN
22	Sep_28_2011	40.15	38.04	38.03	37.7	37.86	38.4	38.16(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	19	110	22	9	4.31	45%	-0.1	-25.8	1.81%	0	0.2	53	NAN
23	Sep_27_2011	40.19	38.07	38.02	37.63	37.55	37.86	38.16(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	50	14	2	6.36	45%	-0.12	-26.8	1.82%	0	0.1	48	NAN
24	Sep_26_2011	40.24	38.1	37.99	37.66	37.52	37.33	37.56(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-50	-7	-2	6.19	45%	-0.1	-17.9	1.81%	0	-0.8	51	NAN
25	Sep_23_2011	40.28	38.14	37.98	37.82	37.77	37.25	37.36(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-100	-26	-11	5.4	45%		-7.1	1.81%	0	-1.2	43	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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