Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Oct. 13, 2011

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $38.4000 (0%) ($38.2000 - $38.5200) on Thu. Oct. 13, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.85% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $38.4000(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EEM(70%)    EWG(70%)    IWM(67%)    QQQ(66%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.925% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-22%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-1%)    IGOV(-1%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.925% (StdDev 1.85%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.19(0.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.92(1.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.99(1.08%)
To recent high   -11.8%
To recent low   4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.29% (three month std-dev: 1.85%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.41%(100%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.6%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.1%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.91%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.39%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20111113

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_13_2011	39.85		37.92	38.19	38.32	38.41	38.4(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	10	30	9	13	2.53	44%	-0.05	23.3	1.85%	0	0.8	60	NAN
2	Oct_12_2011	39.87	37.99	37.95	38.06	38.14	38.31	38.4(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	40	11	20	3.71	44%	-0.05	23	1.86%	0	0.9	61	NAN
3	Oct_11_2011	39.89	37.97	37.92	37.88	37.94	38.22	38.16(-0.83%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	13	60	12	15	6.89	43%	-0.03	11.1	1.86%	0	0.4	53	NAN
4	Oct_10_2011	39.9	37.96	37.91	37.8	37.73	37.97	38.48(2.56%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	17	40	19	12	2.3	43%	-0.03	9.1	1.86%	0	1	50	NAN
5	Oct_7_2011	39.91	37.9	37.82	37.55	37.49	37.67	37.52(-0.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-1	30	3	-12	3.75	40%	-0.08	-13.6	1.84%	0	-0.7	42	NAN

6	Oct_6_2011	39.94	37.9	37.81	37.61	37.48	37.5	37.72(0.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-8	-10	-3	-24	8.68	40%	-0.1	-29.2	1.84%	0	-0.3	39	NAN
7	Oct_5_2011	39.98	37.88	37.77	37.84	37.57	37.32	37.54(-0.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-17	-70	-13	-27	3	40%	-0.07	-30.7	1.84%	0	-0.6	42	NAN
8	Oct_4_2011	40.01	37.92	37.8	37.96	37.93	37.46	37.72(1.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-19	-90	-17	-25	5.65	40%	-0.07	-27.9	1.84%	0	-0.4	48	NAN
9	Oct_3_2011	40.04	37.91	37.86	38.05	38.22	37.83	37.24(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-20	-60	-20	-20	4.44	40%	-0.1	-34.5	1.84%	0	-1.2	46	NAN
10	Sep_30_2011	40.08	37.97	37.97	38.11	38.4	38.41	37.84(-2.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-0	20	-0	-0	5.48	40%	-0.1	-32.1	1.84%	0	-0.2	57	NAN

11	Sep_29_2011	40.12	38.03	38.07	38.02	38.24	38.62	38.84(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	21	90	22	19	4.84	44%	-0.07	-22.7	1.82%	0	1.4	69	NAN
12	Sep_28_2011	40.15	38.04	38.03	37.7	37.86	38.4	38.16(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.7	19	110	22	9	4.31	45%	-0.1	-25.8	1.81%	0	0.2	53	NAN
13	Sep_27_2011	40.19	38.07	38.02	37.63	37.55	37.86	38.16(1.6%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	11	50	14	2	6.36	45%	-0.12	-26.8	1.82%	0	0.1	48	NAN
14	Sep_26_2011	40.24	38.1	37.99	37.66	37.52	37.33	37.56(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-6	-50	-7	-2	6.19	45%	-0.1	-17.9	1.81%	0	-0.8	51	NAN
15	Sep_23_2011	40.28	38.14	37.98	37.82	37.77	37.25	37.36(0.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-100	-26	-11	5.4	45%	-0.12	-7.1	1.81%	0	-1.2	43	NAN

16	Sep_22_2011	40.33	38.16	37.95	38.14	38.01	37.7	37.24(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-26	-70	-30	-14	16	45%	-0.12	3	1.81%	0	-1.4	38	NAN
17	Sep_21_2011	40.38	38.21	38.02	38.39	38.41	38.3	37.84(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-3	-20	-3	-3	4.89	47%	-0.1	4.5	1.8%	0	-0.6	39	NAN
18	Sep_20_2011	40.42	38.24	38.06	38.44	38.46	38.32	38.32(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-2	-20	-1	-3	6.77	47%	-0.1	0.6	1.81%	0	0.1	47	NAN
19	Sep_19_2011	40.46	38.22	37.99	38.36	38.35	38.52	38.36(-1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	1	30	6	-15	8.75	47%	-0.1	-17.5	1.81%	0	0.2	46	NAN
20	Sep_16_2011	40.5	38.19	37.98	38.14	38.25	38.59	38.92(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	19	70	31	-16	7.2	47%	-0.07	-37.7	1.8%	0	1.2	53	NAN

21	Sep_15_2011	40.53	38.14	37.97	37.74	37.81	38.18	38.52(1.16%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	5	70	17	-30	4	45%	-0.07	-69.7	1.8%	0	0.6	57	NAN
22	Sep_14_2011	40.56	38.18	38.04	37.6	37.48	37.9	38.08(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	2	70	12	-29	4.35	47%	-0.07	-61.8	1.81%	0	-0.2	51	NAN
23	Sep_13_2011	40.59	38.24	38.09	37.64	37.47	37.43	37.92(1.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-20	11	-26	5.36	47%	-0.07	-60.1	1.83%	0	-0.5	47	NAN
24	Sep_12_2011	40.62	38.32	38.18	37.57	37.54	37.06	37.28(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-24	-90	-20	-35	11.07	47%	-0.07	-48.3	1.81%	0	-1.4	49	NAN
25	Sep_9_2011	40.65	38.42	38.3	37.79	37.61	37.5	36.92(-2.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-30	-30	-32	-24	7.01	47%		-46.2	1.81%	0	-2	47	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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