Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Aug. 18, 2011

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $38.0800 (-3.45%) ($37.9200 - $38.4800) on Thu. Aug. 18, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $38.0800(-3.45%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-2%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

Resistance Level   $40.71
5 Day Moving Average   $39.17(-2.78%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.16(-2.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.71(-6.46%)
To recent high   -12.5%
To recent low   0.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 4.74% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 1.55%(57%) Average negative next day return: -0.68%(43%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 4.21%(71%) Average negative next three day return: -9.36%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 4.7%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -7.2%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110918

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_18_2011	40.95	40.71	39.16	39.17	39.18	38.89	38.08(-3.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-50	-30	-119	9.6	45%	-0.07	-46.6	1.72%	0	-1.4	33	0
2	Aug_17_2011	40.98	40.98	39.32	39.48	39.46	39.44	39.44(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-24	-10	8	-118	2.69	49%	-0.05	-41.9	1.67%	0	-0.8	37	0
3	Aug_16_2011	41	41.16	39.56	39.22	39.37	39.48	39.4(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	30	-1	-140	6.16	49%	-0.05	-45.7	1.67%	0	-1	37	0
4	Aug_15_2011	41.02	41.33	39.8	39.34	39.19	39.49	39.72(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-21	40	18	-139	4.07	49%	-0.05	-43.6	1.67%	0	-0.9	35	0
5	Aug_12_2011	41.04	41.46	40.05	39	39.14	39.27	39.22(-0.96%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-35	30	9	-166	7.53	46%	-0.07	-49.2	1.68%	0	-1.3	34	0

6	Aug_11_2011	41.07	41.63	40.4	39	38.98	38.9	39.6(3.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-48	-30	-6	-173	9.02	45%	-0.07	-48.8	1.68%	0	-1.2	34	0
7	Aug_10_2011	41.1	41.78	40.69	39.15	39.16	39.01	38.16(-4.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-74	-30	-33	-198	12.4	40%	-0.1	-51.6	1.62%	0	-2.2	26	0
8	Aug_9_2011	41.14	42.02	41.16	39.95	39.51	39.07	40(5.15%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-71	-110	-35	-177	9.71	45%	-0.07	-44.4	1.52%	0	-1.4	34	0
9	Aug_8_2011	41.17	42.13	41.5	40.37	40.17	39.31	38.04(-4.8%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.7	-101	-160	-74	-183	11.78	36%	-0.07	-39.9	1.37%	0	-3.1	23	0
10	Aug_5_2011	41.2	42.35	42.05	41.24	41.07	39.96	39.96(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-97	-200	-83	-138	12.54	42%	-0.02	-32	1.24%	0	-2.4	37	0

11	Aug_4_2011	41.21	42.48	42.42	41.82	41.79	41.02	39.6(-6.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-89	-130	-86	-96	14.93	42%	0.02	-16.2	1.24%	0	-3.6	30	0
12	Aug_3_2011	41.2	42.65	42.83	42.43	42.45	42.18	42.16(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-40	-30	-29	7.85	53%	0.05	18.8	0.99%	0	-1	50	0
13	Aug_2_2011	41.18	42.67	42.93	42.54	42.63	42.57	42.08(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-22	-0	-25	-14	8.3	53%	0.05	40.2	0.99%	0	-1.2	45	0
14	Aug_1_2011	41.16	42.68	43	42.81	42.78	42.72	42.42(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10	-13	22	20	53%	-0.02	74.8	0.98%	0	-0.5	57	0
15	Jul_29_2011	41.17	42.66	42.98	43	42.95	42.7	42.84(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-40	-18	41	5.22	56%	-0.02	97.5	0.98%	0	0.4	62	0

16	Jul_28_2011	41.18	42.61	42.97	43.13	43.11	42.83	42.63(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-12	-50	-33	51	4.21	60%	-0.05	112.6	0.98%	0	0	54	0
17	Jul_27_2011	41.2	42.55	42.97	43.3	43.3	43.2	42.72(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	5	-20	-15	64	4.89	60%	-0.07	119.1	1.03%	0	0.3	51	0
18	Jul_26_2011	41.23	42.47	42.95	43.37	43.39	43.39	43.44(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	0	10	87	4.82	65%	-0.02	104.8	1.01%	0	1.4	60	0
19	Jul_25_2011	41.24	42.31	42.8	43.21	43.26	43.41	43.36(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	30	17	76	7.04	65%	-0.07	89	1.01%	0	1.3	61	0
20	Jul_22_2011	41.27	42.17	42.65	42.96	43.08	43.4	43.52(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	60	33	61	7.14	65%	-0.05	78.4	1.01%	0	1.6	64	0

21	Jul_21_2011	41.29	42.01	42.52	42.78	42.74	43.11	43.44(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	60	32	55	5.96	65%	-0.05	73.1	1.02%	0	1.6	66	0
22	Jul_20_2011	41.31	41.85	42.43	42.56	42.58	42.77	43.08(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	30	26	53	4.44	65%	-0.07	68.5	1.01%	0	1.4	67	0
23	Jul_19_2011	41.34	41.73	42.36	42.49	42.47	42.37	42.64(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-20	5	60	4.22	63%	-0.1	68.3	1.02%	0	1	69	0
24	Jul_18_2011	41.38	41.61	42.36	42.34	42.5	42.4	42.12(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10	-6	71	7.45	61%	-0.1	61.2	1.01%	0	0.6	70	0
25	Jul_15_2011	41.42	41.51	42.31	42.28	42.48	42.58	42.64(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	30	8	94	3.56	65%		57.1	1%	0	1.2	73	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.