Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Aug. 5, 2011

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $39.9600 (0.91%) ($39.0000 - $40.3600) on Fri. Aug. 5, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.24% (three month average)
RSI   37
Latest Price   $39.9600(0.91%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(74%)    EEM(71%)    EWG(71%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(68%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.62% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(1%)    GLD(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.62% (StdDev 1.24%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $37.09(-7.18%)
Resistance Level   $42.35
5 Day Moving Average   $41.24(-3.1%)
10 Day Moving Average   $42.05(-4.97%)
20 Day Moving Average   $42.35(-5.64%)
To recent high   -8.2%
To recent low   1.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.31% (three month std-dev: 1.24%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 2.37%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.12%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 7.99%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110905

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_5_2011	41.2	42.35	42.05	41.24	41.07	39.96	39.96(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-97	-200	-83	-138	12.54	42%	-0.02	-32	1.24%	0	-2.4	37	0
2	Aug_4_2011	41.21	42.48	42.42	41.82	41.79	41.02	39.6(-6.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.7	-89	-130	-86	-96	14.93	42%	0.02	-16.2	1.24%	0	-3.6	30	0
3	Aug_3_2011	41.2	42.65	42.83	42.43	42.45	42.18	42.16(0.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-40	-30	-29	7.85	53%	0.05	18.8	0.99%	0	-1	50	0
4	Aug_2_2011	41.18	42.67	42.93	42.54	42.63	42.57	42.08(-0.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-22	-0	-25	-14	8.3	53%	0.05	40.2	0.99%	0	-1.2	45	0
5	Aug_1_2011	41.16	42.68	43	42.81	42.78	42.72	42.42(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10	-13	22	20	53%	-0.02	74.8	0.98%	0	-0.5	57	0

6	Jul_29_2011	41.17	42.66	42.98	43	42.95	42.7	42.84(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-3	-40	-18	41	5.22	56%	-0.02	97.5	0.98%	0	0.4	62	0
7	Jul_28_2011	41.18	42.61	42.97	43.13	43.11	42.83	42.63(-0.21%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-12	-50	-33	51	4.21	60%	-0.05	112.6	0.98%	0	0	54	0
8	Jul_27_2011	41.2	42.55	42.97	43.3	43.3	43.2	42.72(-1.66%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-1	5	-20	-15	64	4.89	60%	-0.07	119.1	1.03%	0	0.3	51	0
9	Jul_26_2011	41.23	42.47	42.95	43.37	43.39	43.39	43.44(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	29	0	10	87	4.82	65%	-0.02	104.8	1.01%	0	1.4	60	0
10	Jul_25_2011	41.24	42.31	42.8	43.21	43.26	43.41	43.36(-0.37%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	32	30	17	76	7.04	65%	-0.07	89	1.01%	0	1.3	61	0

11	Jul_22_2011	41.27	42.17	42.65	42.96	43.08	43.4	43.52(0.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	40	60	33	61	7.14	65%	-0.05	78.4	1.01%	0	1.6	64	0
12	Jul_21_2011	41.29	42.01	42.52	42.78	42.74	43.11	43.44(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	38	60	32	55	5.96	65%	-0.05	73.1	1.02%	0	1.6	66	0
13	Jul_20_2011	41.31	41.85	42.43	42.56	42.58	42.77	43.08(1.03%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	33	30	26	53	4.44	65%	-0.07	68.5	1.01%	0	1.4	67	0
14	Jul_19_2011	41.34	41.73	42.36	42.49	42.47	42.37	42.64(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	-20	5	60	4.22	63%	-0.1	68.3	1.02%	0	1	69	0
15	Jul_18_2011	41.38	41.61	42.36	42.34	42.5	42.4	42.12(-1.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10	-6	71	7.45	61%	-0.1	61.2	1.01%	0	0.6	70	0

16	Jul_15_2011	41.42	41.51	42.31	42.28	42.48	42.58	42.64(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	30	30	8	94	3.56	65%	-0.05	57.1	1%	0	1.2	73	0
17	Jul_14_2011	41.44	41.37	42.22	42.22	42.29	42.6	42.32(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	36	60	10	112	9.54	65%	-0.07	51.9	1%	0	1	73	0
18	Jul_13_2011	41.47	41.25	42.13	42.29	42.24	42.37	42.72(1.91%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	54	20	24	142	9.22	65%	-0.05	53.8	0.99%	0	1.5	76	0
19	Jul_12_2011	41.49	41.15	41.94	42.22	42.21	41.99	41.92(0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	25	-40	-10	131	10.26	61%	0	58.8	0.96%	0	0.8	65	0
20	Jul_11_2011	41.49	41.06	41.8	42.27	42.27	42.1	41.8(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	19	-30	-21	138	6.08	61%	-0.12	61.1	0.96%	0	0.8	70	0

21	Jul_8_2011	41.54	40.97	41.68	42.33	42.31	42.43	42.32(-0.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	49	20	9	167	8.4	69%	-0.1	62.4	0.95%	0	1.4	77	0
22	Jul_7_2011	41.58	40.86	41.47	42.21	42.19	42.44	42.68(0.66%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.5	68	40	33	173	13.55	69%	-0.1	61.5	0.97%	0	2	83	0
23	Jul_6_2011	41.62	40.73	41.23	41.95	41.96	42.19	42.4(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.6	68	40	37	159	8.67	69%	-0.07	58.2	0.98%	0	2.1	78	0
24	Jul_5_2011	41.65	40.61	41.06	41.62	41.69	41.95	42.16(0.19%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	63	50	40	133	24.49	62%	-0.17	47.1	0.99%	0	2.2	62	0
25	Jul_1_2011	41.72	40.49	40.84	41.25	41.33	41.73	42.08(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	56	70	41	101	7.85	62%		33.8	1.03%	0	2.6	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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