Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Jun. 8, 2011

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $40.1200 (-0.1%) ($40.1200 - $40.4400) on Wed. Jun. 8, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $40.1200(-0.1%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(74%)    EEM(71%)    EWG(71%)    IWM(69%)    VWO(68%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $37.76(-5.88%)
Resistance Level   $40.49
5 Day Moving Average   $40.19(-0.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.33(-0.52%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.49(-0.91%)
To recent high   -11%
To recent low   3.9%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.46% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.22%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.87%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.98%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110708

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_8_2011	42.44	40.49	40.33	40.19	40.19	40.26	40.12(-0.1%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-0	10	-0	-1	3.13	42%	-0.09	-78.1	1.6%	0	-0.6	40	0
2	Jun_7_2011	42.48	40.6	40.31	40.28	40.27	40.26	40.16(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-8	-30	-8	-7	2.83	40%	-0.07	-60.5	1.61%	0	-0.6	44	0
3	Jun_6_2011	42.51	40.7	40.25	40.46	40.4	40.13	39.84(-0.99%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-16	-50	-17	-11	4.1	40%	-0.12	-49.5	1.62%	0	-1.1	42	0
4	Jun_3_2011	42.56	40.81	40.28	40.57	40.66	40.42	40.24(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-10	-30	-9	-11	6.21	41%	-0.09	-45.5	1.61%	0	-0.7	42	0
5	Jun_2_2011	42.6	40.89	40.3	40.59	40.68	40.67	40.6(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-6	0	-2	-18	4.48	40%	-0.09	-44.8	1.62%	0	-0.3	37	0

6	Jun_1_2011	42.64	40.96	40.33	40.47	40.62	40.89	40.56(-1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	5	60	14	-23	7.7	40%	-0.09	-41	1.62%	0	-0.5	38	0
7	May_31_2011	42.68	41.04	40.35	40.34	40.38	40.7	41.08(1.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	10	60	26	-39	5.61	41%	-0.09	-37.4	1.64%	0	0	35	0
8	May_27_2011	42.72	41.09	40.3	40.01	40.1	40.34	40.36(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-8	50	15	-75	9.32	39%	-0.09	-39.3	1.6%	0	-0.8	31	0
9	May_26_2011	42.76	41.18	40.35	39.95	39.86	40.07	40.36(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	30	7	-91	6.91	39%	-0.07	-36.3	1.61%	0	-0.9	33	0
10	May_25_2011	42.79	41.26	40.49	39.97	39.82	39.85	40(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	-10	-4	-95	5.06	41%	-0.09	-30.3	1.62%	0	-1.4	33	0

11	May_24_2011	42.83	41.32	40.65	40.19	39.98	39.65	39.92(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-70	-15	-94	11.86	41%	-0.12	-20.9	1.63%	0	-1.6	30	0
12	May_23_2011	42.88	41.38	40.9	40.36	40.27	39.79	39.42(-1.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-45	-90	-29	-92	7.48	41%	-0.09	-12.1	1.62%	0	-2.4	23	0
13	May_20_2011	42.92	41.46	41.18	40.62	40.56	40.3	40.04(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-50	-22	-77	5.15	39%	-0.07	1.2	1.63%	0	-2	26	0
14	May_19_2011	42.95	41.52	41.39	40.8	40.73	40.74	40.48(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-0	-14	-66	8.11	39%	-0.09	14	1.64%	0	-1.6	31	0
15	May_18_2011	42.99	41.54	41.54	41.07	40.93	40.81	41.08(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-16	-30	-4	-51	6.37	39%	-0.05	32.9	1.65%	0	-0.7	37	0

16	May_17_2011	43.01	41.5	41.65	41.2	41.11	40.72	40.76(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-70	-26	-45	10.47	40%	-0.07	37.9	1.64%	0	-1.1	52	0
17	May_16_2011	43.04	41.48	41.8	41.54	41.41	41.05	40.72(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-27	-70	-29	-20	9.61	41%	-0.05	50.3	1.65%	0	-1	53	0
18	May_13_2011	43.06	41.46	41.96	41.84	41.8	41.5	40.96(-2.1%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-12	-50	-19	10	15.97	43%	-0.05	60.7	1.64%	0	-0.6	56	0
19	May_12_2011	43.08	41.43	42.09	41.84	42.01	41.78	41.84(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-40	-12	34	5.2	44%	-0.02	72	1.63%	0	0.5	68	0
20	May_11_2011	43.09	41.33	42.11	42.06	42.13	42.11	41.72(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	0	-7	47	7.34	44%	-0.05	69.8	1.65%	0	0.4	69	0

21	May_10_2011	43.11	41.24	42.05	42.15	42.15	42.25	42.44(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	20	20	5	65	5.9	46%	0	68.9	1.63%	0	1.3	88	0
22	May_9_2011	43.11	41.1	41.9	42.15	42.07	42.16	42.24(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	20	10	3	71	5.94	46%	-0.02	62.8	1.63%	0	1.2	88	0
23	May_6_2011	43.12	40.98	41.76	42.11	42.11	42.05	42.08(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	20	-10	1	78	5.48	46%	-0.02	58.1	1.61%	0	1.2	83	0
24	May_5_2011	43.13	40.84	41.65	42.12	42.14	41.99	41.84(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-20	-7	83	7.39	46%	-0.02	46.3	1.62%	0	1	80	0
25	May_4_2011	43.14	40.72	41.54	42.16	42.18	42.17	42.16(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	29	-0	5	99	5.25	46%		37	1.63%	0	1.5	90	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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