Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. May. 26, 2011

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $40.3600 (0.9%) ($40.1200 - $40.4800) on Thu. May. 26, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.61% (three month average)
RSI   33
Latest Price   $40.3600(0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(74%)    EEM(71%)    EWG(71%)    IWM(69%)    VWO(68%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.805% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(6%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.805% (StdDev 1.61%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $35.93(-10.98%)
Resistance Level   $41.18
5 Day Moving Average   $39.95(1.03%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.35(0.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.18(-1.99%)
To recent high   -12.5%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.26% (three month std-dev: 1.61%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.27%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 3.63%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.4%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110626

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_26_2011	42.76	41.18	40.35	39.95	39.86	40.07	40.36(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-18	30	7	-91	6.91	39%	-0.07	-36.3	1.61%	0	-0.9	33	0
2	May_25_2011	42.79	41.26	40.49	39.97	39.82	39.85	40(0.2%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-27	-10	-4	-95	5.06	41%	-0.09	-30.3	1.62%	0	-1.4	33	0
3	May_24_2011	42.83	41.32	40.65	40.19	39.98	39.65	39.92(1.27%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-35	-70	-15	-94	11.86	41%	-0.12	-20.9	1.63%	0	-1.6	30	0
4	May_23_2011	42.88	41.38	40.9	40.36	40.27	39.79	39.42(-1.55%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.1	-45	-90	-29	-92	7.48	41%	-0.09	-12.1	1.62%	0	-2.4	23	0
5	May_20_2011	42.92	41.46	41.18	40.62	40.56	40.3	40.04(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-36	-50	-22	-77	5.15	39%	-0.07	1.2	1.63%	0	-2	26	0

6	May_19_2011	42.95	41.52	41.39	40.8	40.73	40.74	40.48(-1.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-27	-0	-14	-66	8.11	39%	-0.09	14	1.64%	0	-1.6	31	0
7	May_18_2011	42.99	41.54	41.54	41.07	40.93	40.81	41.08(0.79%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-16	-30	-4	-51	6.37	39%	-0.05	32.9	1.65%	0	-0.7	37	0
8	May_17_2011	43.01	41.5	41.65	41.2	41.11	40.72	40.76(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-70	-26	-45	10.47	40%	-0.07	37.9	1.64%	0	-1.1	52	0
9	May_16_2011	43.04	41.48	41.8	41.54	41.41	41.05	40.72(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-27	-70	-29	-20	9.61	41%	-0.05	50.3	1.65%	0	-1	53	0
10	May_13_2011	43.06	41.46	41.96	41.84	41.8	41.5	40.96(-2.1%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.1	-12	-50	-19	10	15.97	43%	-0.05	60.7	1.64%	0	-0.6	56	0

11	May_12_2011	43.08	41.43	42.09	41.84	42.01	41.78	41.84(0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	-40	-12	34	5.2	44%	-0.02	72	1.63%	0	0.5	68	0
12	May_11_2011	43.09	41.33	42.11	42.06	42.13	42.11	41.72(-1.7%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	0	-7	47	7.34	44%	-0.05	69.8	1.65%	0	0.4	69	0
13	May_10_2011	43.11	41.24	42.05	42.15	42.15	42.25	42.44(0.47%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.3	20	20	5	65	5.9	46%	0	68.9	1.63%	0	1.3	88	0
14	May_9_2011	43.11	41.1	41.9	42.15	42.07	42.16	42.24(0.38%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	20	10	3	71	5.94	46%	-0.02	62.8	1.63%	0	1.2	88	0
15	May_6_2011	43.12	40.98	41.76	42.11	42.11	42.05	42.08(0.57%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0	20	-10	1	78	5.48	46%	-0.02	58.1	1.61%	0	1.2	83	0

16	May_5_2011	43.13	40.84	41.65	42.12	42.14	41.99	41.84(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	16	-20	-7	83	7.39	46%	-0.02	46.3	1.62%	0	1	80	0
17	May_4_2011	43.14	40.72	41.54	42.16	42.18	42.17	42.16(-0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	29	-0	5	99	5.25	46%	-0.02	37	1.63%	0	1.5	90	0
18	May_3_2011	43.15	40.6	41.34	41.91	42.11	42.28	42.24(0.05%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	38	40	18	97	5.61	46%	0	25.4	1.63%	0	1.7	92	0
19	May_2_2011	43.15	40.51	41.12	41.64	41.75	42.18	42.22(0.24%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	40	80	23	90	12.03	47%	0	16.2	1.63%	0	2	92	0
20	Apr_29_2011	43.15	40.45	40.91	41.36	41.37	41.93	42.12(0.19%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	45	100	32	83	3.83	49%	-0.02	7.4	1.63%	0	2.2	83	0

21	Apr_28_2011	43.16	40.39	40.7	41.12	41.06	41.32	42.04(2.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	41	40	28	78	11.78	48%	0	-8.7	1.65%	0	2.4	86	0
22	Apr_27_2011	43.16	40.39	40.48	40.85	40.82	40.81	40.94(0.15%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	20	-0	6	62	9.3	45%	-0.02	-23.5	1.62%	0	0.9	73	0
23	Apr_26_2011	43.17	40.36	40.36	40.69	40.79	40.79	40.88(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	19	10	7	54	2.57	45%	-0.05	-38.7	1.62%	0	0.8	64	0
24	Apr_25_2011	43.19	40.37	40.23	40.51	40.6	40.84	40.84(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	50	10	39	4.41	46%	-0.02	-54.3	1.62%	0	0.7	50	0
25	Apr_21_2011	43.2	40.39	40.14	40.37	40.36	40.79	40.88(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	70	20	25	2.49	45%		-52.7	1.62%	0	0.6	44	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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