Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Apr. 6, 2011

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $39.4800 (-0.9%) ($39.4400 - $39.6400) on Wed. Apr. 6, 2011.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.6% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $39.4800(-0.9%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EEM(71%)    EWG(71%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.8% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-6%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(2%)    GLD(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.8% (StdDev 1.6%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $33.6(-14.89%)
Resistance Level   $41.26
5 Day Moving Average   $40.48(-2.47%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.98(-3.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.26(-4.31%)
To recent high   -15%
To recent low   2.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 3.61% (three month std-dev: 1.6%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.86%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.04%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.21%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.93%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20110506

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_6_2011	43.38	41.26	40.98	40.48	40.32	39.71	39.48(-0.9%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-52	-120	-42	-83	9.75	43%	-0.02	-76.2	1.6%	0	-1.2	47	0
2	Apr_5_2011	43.39	41.53	41.27	40.95	40.77	40.33	39.84(-1.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-34	-90	-35	-29	13.85	43%	-0.02	-64.9	1.6%	0	-1	62	0
3	Apr_4_2011	43.4	41.79	41.54	41.21	41.24	40.92	40.64(-1.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-7	-50	-14	13	9.43	45%	-0.02	-61.4	1.58%	0	-0.7	55	0
4	Apr_1_2011	43.41	41.99	41.75	41.33	41.31	41.22	41.2(-0.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	-20	-13	41	12.18	45%	0	-58	1.57%	0	-0.4	57	0
5	Mar_31_2011	43.41	42.2	41.78	41.35	41.38	41.56	41.26(-1.29%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	6	30	-3	32	7.21	45%	0	-53.6	1.58%	0	-0.5	42	0

6	Mar_30_2011	43.41	42.43	41.72	41.57	41.42	41.41	41.8(1.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	6	-10	2	16	10.36	45%	0.02	-47.1	1.57%	0	-0.3	41	0
7	Mar_29_2011	43.4	42.61	41.43	41.66	41.51	41.2	41.16(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-26	-60	-21	-41	11.28	45%	0	-43.2	1.56%	0	-0.7	34	0
8	Mar_28_2011	43.4	42.84	41.34	41.94	41.77	41.43	41.22(-0.24%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-37	-70	-26	-70	8.3	45%	-0.02	-37.3	1.57%	0	-0.7	34	0
9	Mar_25_2011	43.41	43.08	41.25	42.23	42.01	41.82	41.32(-2.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-33	-50	-14	-91	16.09	45%	0.02	-34.4	1.56%	0	-0.8	36	0
10	Mar_24_2011	43.4	43.3	41.42	42.26	42.23	42.11	42.34(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-15	-20	14	-101	13.99	47%	0.05	-36.3	1.54%	0	-0.4	35	0

11	Mar_23_2011	43.38	43.43	41.55	41.87	41.97	42.21	42.28(-0.56%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-14	50	26	-132	21.31	47%	0.05	-42.9	1.56%	0	-0.5	34	0
12	Mar_22_2011	43.36	43.58	41.79	41.14	41.56	42.34	42.52(-0.35%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-3	160	51	-165	23.57	47%	0.07	-52.2	1.55%	0	-0.5	37	0
13	Mar_21_2011	43.33	43.71	42	40.66	40.72	41.73	42.67(2.84%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	0	180	64	-192	36.01	47%	0.07	-58.4	1.55%	0	-0.4	36	0
14	Mar_18_2011	43.3	43.89	42.19	40.17	39.81	40.79	41.49(2.7%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-39	150	31	-249	35.32	44%	0.02	-61.1	1.5%	0	-1	30	0
15	Mar_17_2011	43.29	44.13	42.59	40.52	39.49	39.71	40.4(4.61%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-70	-40	-8	-255	31.08	40%	0.02	-56.3	1.47%	0	-1.6	27	0

16	Mar_16_2011	43.28	44.43	43.15	41.23	40.18	38.83	38.62(-3.74%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-136	-310	-91	-270	60.3	32%	-0.05	-50.7	1.34%	0	-2.6	19	0
17	Mar_15_2011	43.3	44.8	43.89	42.52	41.47	39.27	40.12(-0.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.4	-182	-450	-163	-239	99.15	36%	-0.02	-45.3	1.26%	0	-2.7	22	0
18	Mar_14_2011	43.31	45.1	44.51	43.51	43.05	41.52	40.2(-7.03%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-2.4	-155	-280	-150	-170	50.69	36%	0	-37.8	1.26%	0	-3.6	23	0
19	Mar_11_2011	43.31	45.38	45.14	44.45	44.35	43.68	43.24(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-100	-110	-93	-122	15.73	49%	0.07	-35.9	0.9%	0	-2.8	28	0
20	Mar_10_2011	43.28	45.5	45.4	44.95	44.87	44.59	43.97(-2.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-64	-50	-59	-80	8.58	52%	0.07	-24.4	0.88%	0	-2.6	30	0

21	Mar_9_2011	43.25	45.58	45.53	45.37	45.25	45.02	45.08(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.6	-29	-40	-23	-47	5.59	58%	0.12	-3	0.82%	0	-1.1	42	0
22	Mar_8_2011	43.2	45.61	45.55	45.48	45.48	45.16	45.08(0.45%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-40	-50	-37	-47	5.55	58%	0.09	14.1	0.82%	0	-1.2	49	0
23	Mar_7_2011	43.16	45.63	45.56	45.68	45.64	45.49	44.88(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-40	-30	-40	-40	8.52	55%	0.12	43.8	0.82%	0	-1.7	45	0
24	Mar_4_2011	43.11	45.66	45.72	45.92	45.87	45.49	45.76(-0.65%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	1	-10	-3	13	6.45	60%	0.12	83.3	0.78%	0	0.2	55	0
25	Mar_3_2011	43.06	45.64	45.78	45.9	45.98	45.8	46.06(0.92%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	12	-20	5	32	10.44	60%		94.4	0.79%	0	1	58	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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