Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Jul. 14, 2010

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $38.6800 (0.73%) ($38.4800 - $38.7200) on Wed. Jul. 14, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.19% (three month average)
RSI   55
Latest Price   $38.6800(0.73%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.595% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.595% (StdDev 1.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.46(0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.99(1.82%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.1(1.52%)
To recent high   -9.6%
To recent low   5.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.78% (three month std-dev: 1.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 1.04%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.05%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.93%(100%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 3.93%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.99%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100814

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_14_2010	39.93	38.1	37.99	38.46	38.36	38.5	38.68(0.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	23	20	11	57	6.27	35%	-0.03	24.7	1.19%	0	0.9	55	0
2	Jul_13_2010	39.94	38.09	37.8	38.44	38.33	38.28	38.4(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	15	-20	8	34	2.28	35%	-0.03	34.1	1.19%	0	0.5	46	0
3	Jul_12_2010	39.95	38.06	37.73	38.33	38.31	38.22	38.2(-0.52%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	4	-20	3	8	2.63	35%	-0.03	37.4	1.18%	0	0.2	39	0
4	Jul_9_2010	39.96	38.04	37.71	38.1	38.29	38.39	38.4(-0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	13	30	20	-9	2.94	35%	-0.03	31.3	1.18%	0	0.5	44	0
5	Jul_8_2010	39.97	38.01	37.66	37.81	38	38.4	38.64(0.21%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.2	19	90	36	-33	3.8	35%	-0.03	17.3	1.18%	0	0.9	47	0

6	Jul_7_2010	39.98	37.93	37.59	37.44	37.6	38.19	38.56(1.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	22	120	50	-64	5.01	35%	-0.03	-3.8	1.18%	0	0.9	46	0
7	Jul_6_2010	39.99	37.86	37.57	37.09	37.26	37.6	37.84(2.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	0	80	34	-101	4.09	32%	-0.05	-23.2	1.15%	0	-0	40	0
8	Jul_2_2010	40.01	37.81	37.68	37.06	36.99	37.01	37.08(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-0	-12	-114	4.02	28%	-0.05	-30.6	1.11%	0	-1	42	0
9	Jul_1_2010	40.03	37.83	37.84	37.28	37.18	36.92	36.92(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-38	-60	-21	-89	5.71	31%	-0.07	-32.1	1.12%	0	-1.3	44	0
10	Jun_30_2010	40.06	37.89	38.02	37.5	37.48	36.98	36.8(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1	-47	-90	-40	-69	4.88	30%	-0.05	-23.6	1.13%	0	-1.6	42	0

11	Jun_29_2010	40.08	37.96	38.23	37.76	37.77	37.44	36.8(-2.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-44	-60	-48	-32	6.19	32%	-0.05	-14.6	1.14%	0	-1.8	51	0
12	Jun_28_2010	40.1	38.02	38.42	38.11	38.07	37.99	37.72(-1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-11	-20	-23	25	3.77	34%	-0.05	-3.8	1.12%	0	-0.5	62	0
13	Jun_25_2010	40.12	38.04	38.45	38.38	38.29	38.1	38.16(0.42%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	6	-40	-14	64	3.5	38%	-0.02	1.3	1.13%	0	0.2	72	0
14	Jun_24_2010	40.13	38.06	38.42	38.5	38.53	38.15	38(-0.31%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	0	-70	-25	76	8.21	36%	-0.05	6.7	1.13%	0	-0.1	60	0
15	Jun_23_2010	40.15	38.06	38.4	38.63	38.66	38.49	38.12(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-1	-30	-29	83	3.4	38%	-0.07	2.5	1.14%	0	0.1	51	0

16	Jun_22_2010	40.18	38.05	38.32	38.76	38.8	38.92	38.56(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	26	20	3	95	7.27	39%	-0.02	2.4	1.15%	0	0.8	54	0
17	Jun_21_2010	40.19	38.04	38.18	38.77	38.78	38.84	39.04(0.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	41	10	22	96	4.04	40%	0	-5.5	1.14%	0	1.6	61	0
18	Jun_18_2010	40.19	38.03	37.95	38.54	38.61	38.67	38.76(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	20	12	60	2.9	40%	-0.02	-20.9	1.13%	0	1.2	57	0
19	Jun_17_2010	40.2	38.02	37.8	38.33	38.45	38.72	38.68(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	60	24	31	4.17	40%	-0.05	-41.3	1.14%	0	1.1	47	0
20	Jun_16_2010	40.22	38.02	37.73	38.14	38.14	38.56	38.76(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	36	80	39	26	2.91	42%	-0.05	-53.8	1.14%	0	1.1	58	0

21	Jun_15_2010	40.24	38.04	37.64	37.82	37.87	38.18	38.6(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	60	43	1	4.13	42%	-0.05	-73.3	1.14%	0	0.8	51	0
22	Jun_14_2010	40.26	38.08	37.64	37.51	37.55	37.72	37.92(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	30	25	-39	4.59	39%	-0.07	-85.6	1.12%	0	-0.2	44	0
23	Jun_11_2010	40.29	38.16	37.56	37.27	37.31	37.56	37.68(-0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	50	16	-74	4.12	42%	-0.1	-86	1.12%	0	-0.6	37	0
24	Jun_10_2010	40.33	38.27	37.56	37.2	37.15	37.38	37.76(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	40	13	-81	4.18	42%	-0.07	-81.7	1.13%	0	-0.6	42	0
25	Jun_9_2010	40.36	38.39	37.65	37.25	37.11	37.05	37.12(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-20	-11	-109	4.1	39%		-74.5	1.11%	0	-1.3	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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