Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Jun. 18, 2010

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $38.7600 (0.21%) ($38.3700 - $38.7600) on Fri. Jun. 18, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $38.7600(0.21%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $38.54(0.57%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.95(2.13%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.03(1.92%)
To recent high   -9.4%
To recent low   5.6%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.63% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100718

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_18_2010	40.19	38.03	37.95	38.54	38.61	38.67	38.76(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	24	20	12	60	2.9	40%	-0.02	-20.9	1.13%	0	1.2	57	0
2	Jun_17_2010	40.2	38.02	37.8	38.33	38.45	38.72	38.68(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	60	24	31	4.17	40%	-0.05	-41.3	1.14%	0	1.1	47	0
3	Jun_16_2010	40.22	38.02	37.73	38.14	38.14	38.56	38.76(0.41%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	36	80	39	26	2.91	42%	-0.05	-53.8	1.14%	0	1.1	58	0
4	Jun_15_2010	40.24	38.04	37.64	37.82	37.87	38.18	38.6(1.79%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	33	60	43	1	4.13	42%	-0.05	-73.3	1.14%	0	0.8	51	0
5	Jun_14_2010	40.26	38.08	37.64	37.51	37.55	37.72	37.92(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	30	25	-39	4.59	39%	-0.07	-85.6	1.12%	0	-0.2	44	0

6	Jun_11_2010	40.29	38.16	37.56	37.27	37.31	37.56	37.68(-0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	50	16	-74	4.12	42%	-0.1	-86	1.12%	0	-0.6	37	0
7	Jun_10_2010	40.33	38.27	37.56	37.2	37.15	37.38	37.76(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	40	13	-81	4.18	42%	-0.07	-81.7	1.13%	0	-0.6	42	0
8	Jun_9_2010	40.36	38.39	37.65	37.25	37.11	37.05	37.12(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-20	-11	-109	4.1	39%	-0.12	-74.5	1.11%	0	-1.3	32	0
9	Jun_8_2010	40.41	38.53	37.76	37.45	37.36	36.93	37.08(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-47	-90	-26	-110	5.43	39%	-0.07	-71.2	1.11%	0	-1.5	36	0
10	Jun_7_2010	40.44	38.72	37.9	37.62	37.59	37.18	36.72(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-67	-80	-48	-122	4.97	39%	-0.15	-67.3	1.11%	0	-1.9	28	0

11	Jun_4_2010	40.5	38.88	38.14	37.88	37.89	37.8	37.32(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	-20	-28	-105	8.46	41%	-0.1	-75.4	1.1%	0	-1.6	30	0
12	Jun_3_2010	40.54	39.02	38.27	38.15	38.1	38.01	38.03(-0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-23	-20	1	-93	9.61	44%	-0.1	-79.7	1.08%	0	-1.1	32	0
13	Jun_2_2010	40.58	39.14	38.39	38.1	38.1	37.98	38.12(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-37	-30	-11	-116	4.48	44%	-0.07	-85.8	1.09%	0	-1.1	30	0
14	Jun_1_2010	40.61	39.25	38.47	38.12	38.2	38.19	37.9(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	0	-15	-130	6.13	45%	-0.07	-90.1	1.09%	0	-1.5	33	0
15	May_28_2010	40.64	39.43	38.64	38.24	38.14	38.42	38.04(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	40	-1	-134	7.16	45%	-0.05	-77.3	1.09%	0	-1.3	28	0

16	May_27_2010	40.66	39.61	38.81	38.43	38.14	38.21	38.68(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	-20	17	-115	6.96	47%	-0.02	-72.4	1.08%	0	-0.9	43	0
17	May_26_2010	40.67	39.75	38.93	38.42	38.21	37.86	37.76(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-64	-80	-37	-145	4.6	43%	-0.07	-72.2	1.05%	0	-1.8	34	0
18	May_25_2010	40.7	39.93	39.18	38.72	38.42	38.21	38.24(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-56	-60	-33	-124	8.16	45%	-0.05	-72.7	1.04%	0	-1.6	35	0
19	May_24_2010	40.72	40.09	39.36	38.86	38.74	38.56	38.48(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-40	-20	-115	5.21	45%	-0.05	-71.4	1.04%	0	-1.5	35	0
20	May_21_2010	40.74	40.27	39.6	39.1	38.92	38.63	39.01(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-50	-70	-29	-113	7.41	49%	0	-66.4	1.02%	0	-1.2	31	0

21	May_20_2010	40.74	40.41	39.68	39.24	39.19	38.91	38.63(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-60	-50	-36	-130	7.76	49%	-0.02	-65.6	1.02%	0	-1.8	29	0
22	May_19_2010	40.75	40.56	39.84	39.51	39.44	39.22	39.24(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-56	-40	-31	-129	5.96	49%	0	-67.5	1.01%	0	-1.4	30	0
23	May_18_2010	40.75	40.7	39.95	39.73	39.69	39.48	38.96(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-50	-40	-26	-121	5.58	49%	-0.02	-67.3	1.03%	0	-1.9	34	0
24	May_17_2010	40.76	40.84	40.1	39.93	39.94	39.67	39.64(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-52	-50	-28	-124	7.07	52%	-0.02	-70.2	1%	0	-1.4	36	0
25	May_14_2010	40.77	40.96	40.3	40.18	40.05	39.91	39.72(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-30	-24	-110	4.77	52%		-68.5	1%	0	-1.5	32	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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