Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 10, 2010

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $37.7600 (1.72%) ($37.4000 - $37.8400) on Thu. Jun. 10, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.13% (three month average)
RSI   42
Latest Price   $37.7600(1.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.565% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-7%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(4%)    GLD(7%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.565% (StdDev 1.13%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $33.2(-12.08%)
Resistance Level   $38.27
5 Day Moving Average   $37.2(1.51%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.65(0.29%)
20 Day Moving Average   $38.27(-1.33%)
To recent high   -11.8%
To recent low   2.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.35% (three month std-dev: 1.13%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 2.21%(67%) Average negative next day return: -0.4%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 4.43%(67%) Average negative next three day return: -5.27%(33%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 6.44%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -12.15%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100710

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_10_2010	40.33	38.27		37.2	37.15	37.38	37.76(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-11	40	13	-81	4.18	42%	-0.07	-81.7	1.13%	0	-0.6	42	NAN
2	Jun_9_2010	40.36	38.39	37.65	37.25	37.11	37.05	37.12(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-36	-20	-11	-109	4.1	39%	-0.12	-74.5	1.11%	0	-1.3	32	NAN
3	Jun_8_2010	40.41	38.53	37.76	37.45	37.36	36.93	37.08(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-47	-90	-26	-110	5.43	39%	-0.07	-71.2	1.11%	0	-1.5	36	NAN
4	Jun_7_2010	40.44	38.72	37.9	37.62	37.59	37.18	36.72(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-67	-80	-48	-122	4.97	39%	-0.15	-67.3	1.11%	0	-1.9	28	NAN
5	Jun_4_2010	40.5	38.88	38.14	37.88	37.89	37.8	37.32(-1.87%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-47	-20	-28	-105	8.46	41%	-0.1	-75.4	1.1%	0	-1.6	30	NAN

6	Jun_3_2010	40.54	39.02	38.27	38.15	38.1	38.01	38.03(-0.24%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-23	-20	1	-93	9.61	44%	-0.1	-79.7	1.08%	0	-1.1	32	NAN
7	Jun_2_2010	40.58	39.14	38.39	38.1	38.1	37.98	38.12(0.58%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-37	-30	-11	-116	4.48	44%	-0.07	-85.8	1.09%	0	-1.1	30	NAN
8	Jun_1_2010	40.61	39.25	38.47	38.12	38.2	38.19	37.9(-0.37%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-44	0	-15	-130	6.13	45%	-0.07	-90.1	1.09%	0	-1.5	33	NAN
9	May_28_2010	40.64	39.43	38.64	38.24	38.14	38.42	38.04(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-34	40	-1	-134	7.16	45%	-0.05	-77.3	1.09%	0	-1.3	28	NAN
10	May_27_2010	40.66	39.61	38.81	38.43	38.14	38.21	38.68(2.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-16	-20	17	-115	6.96	47%	-0.02	-72.4	1.08%	0	-0.9	43	NAN

11	May_26_2010	40.67	39.75	38.93	38.42	38.21	37.86	37.76(-1.26%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-64	-80	-37	-145	4.6	43%	-0.07	-72.2	1.05%	0	-1.8	34	NAN
12	May_25_2010	40.7	39.93	39.18	38.72	38.42	38.21	38.24(-0.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-56	-60	-33	-124	8.16	45%	-0.05	-72.7	1.04%	0	-1.6	35	NAN
13	May_24_2010	40.72	40.09	39.36	38.86	38.74	38.56	38.48(-1.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-44	-40	-20	-115	5.21	45%	-0.05	-71.4	1.04%	0	-1.5	35	NAN
14	May_21_2010	40.74	40.27	39.6	39.1	38.92	38.63	39.01(0.98%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-50	-70	-29	-113	7.41	49%	0	-66.4	1.02%	0	-1.2	31	NAN
15	May_20_2010	40.74	40.41	39.68	39.24	39.19	38.91	38.63(-1.55%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-60	-50	-36	-130	7.76	49%	-0.02	-65.6	1.02%	0	-1.8	29	NAN

16	May_19_2010	40.75	40.56	39.84	39.51	39.44	39.22	39.24(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-56	-40	-31	-129	5.96	49%	0	-67.5	1.01%	0	-1.4	30	NAN
17	May_18_2010	40.75	40.7	39.95	39.73	39.69	39.48	38.96(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-50	-40	-26	-121	5.58	49%	-0.02	-67.3	1.03%	0	-1.9	34	NAN
18	May_17_2010	40.76	40.84	40.1	39.93	39.94	39.67	39.64(-0.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-52	-50	-28	-124	7.07	52%	-0.02	-70.2	1%	0	-1.4	36	NAN
19	May_14_2010	40.77	40.96	40.3	39.93	40.05	39.91	39.72(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-46	-30	-24	-110	4.77	52%	0	-68.5	1%	0	-1.5	32	NAN
20	May_13_2010	40.77	41.08	40.48	40.18	40.36	40.21	40(-0.79%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-25	-10	1	-104	6.21	52%	0.02	-69.6	1.01%	0	-1.3	36	NAN

21	May_12_2010	40.76	41.21	40.64	40.2	40.31	40.19	40.32(0.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-10	-12	-108	5.2	52%	0.02	-68	1.01%	0	-1	41	NAN
22	May_11_2010	40.75	41.33	40.72	40.21	40.18	40.51	39.96(-2.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-28	60	-0	-113	7.02	52%	0	-67	1.01%	0	-1.6	35	NAN
23	May_10_2010	40.75	41.45	40.87	40.3	40.17	40.43	40.88(2.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-10	40	24	-110	7.36	56%	0.05	-68.2	0.96%	0	-0.7	42	NAN
24	May_7_2010	40.73	41.53	40.98	40.46	40.11	39.84	39.76(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-61	-70	-38	-129	10.23	51%	0	-61	0.89%	0	-2.1	29	NAN
25	May_6_2010	40.73	41.67	41.2	40.82	40.52	39.92	40.1(-0.64%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-72	-130	-59	-109	12.64	51%		-56	0.89%	0	-2.2	30	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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