Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Apr. 5, 2010

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $42.2800 (-0.28%) ($42.0400 - $42.5200) on Mon. Apr. 5, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   63
Latest Price   $42.2800(-0.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-4%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $42.15(0.31%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.77(1.22%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.42(2.08%)
To recent high   -0.3%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.33% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 5 Average positive next day return: 0.53%(80%) Average negative next day return: -0.05%(20%) Sample size 5 Average positive next three day return: 1.11%(60%) Average negative next three day return: -0.42%(40%) Sample size 5 Average positive next weekly return: 2%(80%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.29%(20%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100505

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_5_2010	40.03	41.42	41.77	42.15	42.14	42.23	42.28(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	10	21	79	5.06	59%	0.15	83.5	0.94%	0	1.6	63	0
2	Apr_1_2010	39.97	41.33	41.66	42	42.06	42.03	42.4(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	-0	20	63	14.9	63%	0.1	79.3	0.99%	0	1.8	61	0
3	Mar_31_2010	39.93	41.22	41.54	41.7	41.86	42.05	41.76(-1.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	18	40	10	43	9.42	61%	0.1	75.6	0.98%	0	1	61	0
4	Mar_30_2010	39.89	41.16	41.52	41.57	41.68	42.09	42.28(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	41	80	35	59	5.17	64%	0.08	77.6	0.97%	0	2	70	0
5	Mar_29_2010	39.86	41.06	41.42	41.47	41.4	41.68	42.04(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	37	40	30	59	3.64	64%	0.1	85.8	0.98%	0	1.9	64	0

6	Mar_26_2010	39.82	40.96	41.32	41.34	41.32	41.27	41.52(1.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	20	-10	12	44	11.05	62%	0.08	84.5	0.97%	0	1.1	58	0
7	Mar_25_2010	39.79	40.88	41.28	41.28	41.27	41.12	40.88(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-30	-19	37	6.4	60%	0.05	80.3	0.96%	0	0	56	0
8	Mar_24_2010	39.77	40.82	41.29	41.36	41.31	41.38	41.12(-1.63%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	9	10	-8	58	6.64	60%	0.08	74.8	0.96%	0	0.5	63	0
9	Mar_23_2010	39.74	40.74	41.22	41.45	41.35	41.42	41.8(0.97%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	30	0	15	76	6.59	64%	0.08	72.7	0.94%	0	1.5	64	0
10	Mar_22_2010	39.71	40.62	41.11	41.37	41.31	41.24	41.4(0.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	19	-20	1	71	4.17	62%	0.1	69.4	0.93%	0	1.1	64	0

11	Mar_19_2010	39.67	40.53	41.05	41.37	41.33	41.29	41.2(-0.19%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	17	-0	-3	75	4.44	62%	0.05	65.6	0.92%	0	0.9	64	0
12	Mar_18_2010	39.65	40.42	40.99	41.29	41.25	41.39	41.28(-0.67%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	29	20	8	92	5.72	62%	0.1	64.6	0.93%	0	1.2	69	0
13	Mar_17_2010	39.61	40.34	40.88	41.19	41.19	41.37	41.56(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	30	32	104	6.55	58%	0.08	65.3	0.93%	0	1.7	75	0
14	Mar_16_2010	39.58	40.24	40.78	40.96	41	41.11	41.4(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	20	18	95	5.37	61%	0.08	63.4	0.94%	0	1.8	75	0
15	Mar_15_2010	39.55	40.14	40.66	40.82	40.8	41.02	41(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	40	10	93	3.69	59%	0.05	67.1	0.96%	0	1.4	73	0

16	Mar_12_2010	39.53	40.05	40.58	40.78	40.74	40.9	41.2(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	20	25	109	3.72	59%	0.05	65.8	0.95%	0	1.9	73	0
17	Mar_11_2010	39.51	39.96	40.44	40.66	40.67	40.59	40.8(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-10	9	103	4.56	58%	0.03	66.4	0.95%	0	1.5	75	0
18	Mar_10_2010	39.5	39.88	40.31	40.53	40.6	40.58	40.4(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	0	-9	85	10.15	56%	0.03	55.6	0.95%	0	1	59	0
19	Mar_9_2010	39.49	39.82	40.22	40.56	40.53	40.76	40.68(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	40	12	96	4.6	56%	0	47.1	0.95%	0	1.6	63	0
20	Mar_8_2010	39.49	39.74	40.09	40.48	40.5	40.63	40.84(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	45	20	28	94	4	56%	0.05	38.2	0.95%	0	2.1	66	0

21	Mar_5_2010	39.47	39.66	39.96	40.34	40.4	40.3	40.56(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10	6	80	4.33	56%	0.03	34.5	0.94%	0	2	68	0
22	Mar_4_2010	39.46	39.59	39.81	40.18	40.33	40.38	40.16(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	20	4	61	3.95	53%	0	22.1	0.94%	0	1.4	60	0
23	Mar_3_2010	39.46	39.58	39.76	40.06	40.21	40.49	40.56(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	44	60	35	70	3.63	59%	0.03	11.5	0.93%	0	2.4	68	0
24	Mar_2_2010	39.45	39.57	39.65	39.83	39.89	40.27	40.28(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	70	35	55	3.94	59%	0	-4	0.95%	0	1.8	66	0
25	Mar_1_2010	39.45	39.54	39.58	39.65	39.65	39.92	40.16(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	38	50	35	48	6.2	65%		-33	0.95%	0	1.7	68	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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