Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Mar. 17, 2010

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $41.5600 (0.39%) ($41.2800 - $41.7200) on Wed. Mar. 17, 2010.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   75
Latest Price   $41.5600(0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(5%)    GLD(7%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.19(0.9%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.88(1.66%)
20 Day Moving Average   $40.34(3.02%)
To recent high   -1%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.76% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 23 Average positive next day return: 0.74%(43%) Average negative next day return: -0.85%(57%) Sample size 23 Average positive next three day return: 1.69%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -1.24%(57%) Sample size 23 Average positive next weekly return: 2.28%(57%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.11%(43%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20100417

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_17_2010	39.61	40.34	40.88	41.19	41.19	41.37	41.56(0.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	50	30	32	104	6.55	58%	0.08	65.3	0.93%	0	1.7	75	NAN
2	Mar_16_2010	39.58	40.24	40.78	40.96	41	41.11	41.4(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	37	20	18	95	5.37	61%	0.08	63.4	0.94%	0	1.8	75	NAN
3	Mar_15_2010	39.55	40.14	40.66	40.82	40.8	41.02	41(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	31	40	10	93	3.69	59%	0.05	67.1	0.96%	0	1.4	73	NAN
4	Mar_12_2010	39.53	40.05	40.58	40.78	40.74	40.9	41.2(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	46	20	25	109	3.72	59%	0.05	65.8	0.95%	0	1.9	73	NAN
5	Mar_11_2010	39.51	39.96	40.44	40.66	40.67	40.59	40.8(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	33	-10	9	103	4.56	58%	0.03	66.4	0.95%	0	1.5	75	NAN

6	Mar_10_2010	39.5	39.88	40.31	40.53	40.6	40.58	40.4(-0.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	15	0	-9	85	10.15	56%	0.03	55.6	0.95%	0	1	59	NAN
7	Mar_9_2010	39.49	39.82	40.22	40.56	40.53	40.76	40.68(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	40	12	96	4.6	56%	0	47.1	0.95%	0	1.6	63	NAN
8	Mar_8_2010	39.49	39.74	40.09	40.48	40.5	40.63	40.84(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	45	20	28	94	4	56%	0.05	38.2	0.95%	0	2.1	66	NAN
9	Mar_5_2010	39.47	39.66	39.96	40.34	40.4	40.3	40.56(1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	25	-10	6	80	4.33	56%	0.03	34.5	0.94%	0	2	68	NAN
10	Mar_4_2010	39.46	39.59	39.81	40.18	40.33	40.38	40.16(-0.99%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	18	20	4	61	3.95	53%	0	22.1	0.94%	0	1.4	60	NAN

11	Mar_3_2010	39.46	39.58	39.76	40.06	40.21	40.49	40.56(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	44	60	35	70	3.63	59%	0.03	11.5	0.93%	0	2.4	68	NAN
12	Mar_2_2010	39.45	39.57	39.65	39.83	39.89	40.27	40.28(0.3%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	40	70	35	55	3.94	59%	0	-4	0.95%	0	1.8	66	NAN
13	Mar_1_2010	39.45	39.54	39.58	39.65	39.65	39.92	40.16(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	38	50	35	48	6.2	65%	0.03	-33	0.95%	0	1.7	68	NAN
14	Feb_26_2010	39.44	39.54	39.48	39.52	39.44	39.51	39.76(0.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	18	10	15	26	4.8	66%	-0.03	-62.9	1.06%	0	0.7	57	NAN
15	Feb_25_2010	39.45	39.5	39.44	39.38	39.38	39.51	39.52(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	3	0	0	10	4.56	69%	0.03	-87.9	1.06%	0	0.1	53	NAN

16	Feb_24_2010	39.44	39.54	39.41	39.41	39.32	39.38	39.44(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	-2	0	-3	-0	4.03	65%	0	-84.2	1.08%	0	-0.3	39	NAN
17	Feb_23_2010	39.44	39.59	39.39	39.44	39.36	39.39	39.36(-0.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-2	-0	2	-12	6.69	67%	0.03	-86	1.1%	0	-0.5	34	NAN
18	Feb_22_2010	39.43	39.67	39.36	39.49	39.45	39.25	39.52(1.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-5	-40	0	-19	5.02	67%	0.03	-77.2	1.1%	0	-0.3	47	NAN
19	Feb_19_2010	39.42	39.72	39.34	39.42	39.42	39.33	39.04(-1.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-22	-20	-18	-32	7.39	60%	0.03	-85.6	1.1%	0	-1.2	48	NAN
20	Feb_18_2010	39.41	39.82	39.37	39.5	39.44	39.64	39.68(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	30	11	-21	3.61	61%	-0.03	-77.8	1.12%	0	-0.2	47	NAN

21	Feb_17_2010	39.42	39.88	39.41	39.42	39.36	39.52	39.6(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	7	20	18	-28	3.81	59%	0.03	-79.2	1.13%	0	-0.4	42	NAN
22	Feb_16_2010	39.41	39.98	39.48	39.34	39.25	39.25	39.6(1.02%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-4	-10	7	-38	5.11	59%	-0.05	-65.6	1.14%	0	-0.5	39	NAN
23	Feb_12_2010	39.43	40.09	39.5	39.22	39.24	39.21	39.2(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-19	-0	-3	-68	4.16	56%	-0.03	-55.5	1.13%	0	-1	32	NAN
24	Feb_11_2010	39.44	40.22	39.52	39.24	39.22	39.26	39.44(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	10	1	-80	3.97	56%	-0.03	-43.3	1.15%	0	-0.8	38	NAN
25	Feb_10_2010	39.45	40.32	39.56	39.22	39.19	39.27	39.24(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-29	10	-5	-99	8	56%		-39.1	1.15%	0	-1.1	32	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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