Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Oct. 21, 2009

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $39.6000 (-0.3%) ($39.4800 - $40.0400) on Wed. Oct. 21, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   60
Latest Price   $39.6000(-0.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(67%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(6%)    GLD(8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $39.66(-0.15%)
10 Day Moving Average   $39.75(-0.38%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.58(0.05%)
To recent high   -3.9%
To recent low   4.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.44% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

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> 20091121

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_21_2009	39.09	39.58	39.75	39.66	39.57	39.71	39.6(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	9	20	-8	61	5.28	43%	0.05	-34	0.94%	0	0	60	0
2	Oct_20_2009	39.07	39.62	39.73	39.76	39.6	39.75	39.72(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	30	10	15	76	4.34	43%	0.05	-30.2	0.94%	0	0.2	49	0
3	Oct_19_2009	39.05	39.66	39.67	39.75	39.67	39.43	39.84(1.63%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	15	-50	-1	61	6.31	43%	0.05	-29.8	0.95%	0	0.3	52	0
4	Oct_16_2009	39.03	39.68	39.55	39.76	39.66	39.44	39.2(-1.8%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-24	-50	-39	22	4.72	39%	0.05	-33.1	0.93%	0	-0.7	39	0
5	Oct_15_2009	39.01	39.75	39.47	39.88	39.88	39.92	39.92(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	9	10	4	25	4.18	42%	0.08	-31	0.9%	0	0.3	47	0

6	Oct_14_2009	38.98	39.78	39.35	39.86	39.87	39.88	40.12(1.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	10	0	13	1	4.65	42%	0.08	-35.4	0.91%	0	0.5	46	0
7	Oct_13_2009	38.95	39.81	39.3	39.7	39.82	39.84	39.68(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	2	10	10	-24	5.58	39%	0	-39.2	0.9%	0	-0.2	42	0
8	Oct_12_2009	38.95	39.85	39.29	39.57	39.7	39.86	39.88(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	40	26	-50	3.38	39%	0.1	-42.5	0.9%	0	0	40	0
9	Oct_9_2009	38.91	39.91	39.32	39.3	39.46	39.81	39.8(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	17	70	44	-65	5.81	39%	0.08	-45.3	0.91%	0	-0.1	45	0
10	Oct_8_2009	38.88	39.97	39.33	38.99	39.11	39.54	39.8(1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	10	90	48	-103	7.07	39%	0.08	-49.3	0.91%	0	-0.2	42	0

11	Oct_7_2009	38.85	40.03	39.38	38.78	38.72	39.11	39.36(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-21	70	19	-139	7.66	36%	0.08	-51.6	0.9%	0	-0.8	40	0
12	Oct_6_2009	38.82	40.1	39.47	38.86	38.71	38.69	39(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-32	-20	6	-145	8.15	33%	0.05	-48.1	0.91%	0	-1.3	34	0
13	Oct_5_2009	38.8	40.18	39.64	38.98	38.91	38.34	38.56(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-80	-110	-53	-161	5.74	29%	0.08	-47.3	0.9%	0	-2	32	0
14	Oct_2_2009	38.77	40.28	39.82	39.34	39.25	38.73	38.24(-1.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-98	-100	-80	-152	10.16	26%	0.05	-45.3	0.9%	0	-2.8	27	0
15	Oct_1_2009	38.75	40.39	40.08	39.71	39.75	39.49	38.76(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-59	-40	-42	-109	7.9	28%	0.08	-47.5	0.93%	0	-2.9	28	0

16	Sep_30_2009	38.72	40.48	40.26	40.04	40.03	39.77	39.76(0.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-44	-50	-28	-90	7.15	32%	0.08	-48.5	0.88%	0	-1.8	34	0
17	Sep_29_2009	38.69	40.51	40.37	40.16	40.25	40.01	39.56(-2.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-49	-40	-38	-83	7.51	32%	0.08	-50	0.88%	0	-2.5	39	0
18	Sep_28_2009	38.66	40.58	40.49	40.41	40.49	40.29	40.4(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-25	-30	-16	-52	5.03	36%	0.1	-34.2	0.85%	0	-0.6	49	0
19	Sep_25_2009	38.62	40.61	40.55	40.38	40.63	40.5	40.08(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-25	-0	-19	-44	10.62	45%	0.13	-31.6	0.84%	0	-1.7	51	0
20	Sep_24_2009	38.57	40.66	40.66	40.5	40.62	40.7	40.4(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-7	20	-5	-13	13.52	45%	0.1	-10.5	0.88%	0	-0.8	53	0

21	Sep_23_2009	38.53	40.68	40.74	40.52	40.63	40.76	40.36(-1.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	7	30	8	5	7.28	45%	0.13	9.2	0.88%	0	-1	51	0
22	Sep_22_2009	38.48	40.71	40.78	40.62	40.61	40.54	40.8(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	8	-10	3	21	5.69	42%	0.16	37.8	0.87%	0	0.3	58	0
23	Sep_21_2009	38.42	40.69	40.78	40.6	40.6	40.51	40.28(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-15	-20	-21	4	6.54	38%	0.13	55.4	0.9%	0	-1.4	42	0
24	Sep_18_2009	38.37	40.71	40.76	40.74	40.69	40.51	40.68(0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-1	-0	-5	13	29.05	40%	0.18	76.1	0.91%	0	-0.1	45	0
25	Sep_17_2009	38.3	40.69	40.72	40.84	40.68	40.69	40.48(-0.98%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-8	-10	-13	7	7.94	40%		80.3	0.92%	0	-0.7	42	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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