Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 21, 2009

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $37.8800 (0.85%) ($37.7200 - $38.1600) on Tue. Jul. 21, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.36% (three month average)
RSI   50
Latest Price   $37.8800(0.85%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.6% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -0.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(67%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(7%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.68% (StdDev 1.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.4%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.37(1.36%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.17(1.91%)
20 Day Moving Average   $37.4(1.28%)
To recent high   -1.1%
To recent low   12.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.2% (three month std-dev: 1.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090821

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_21_2009	34.95	37.4	37.17	37.37	37.36	37.71	37.88(0.85%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	60	30	4	5.34	69%	0.29	-3.3	1.36%	0	1.1	50	NAN
2	Jul_20_2009	34.85	37.35	37.09	37.16	37.16	37.24	37.56(1.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	7	20	17	-25	5.88	69%	0.23	-22	1.36%	0	0.5	42	NAN
3	Jul_17_2009	34.77	37.37	37.08	37.02	37.02	37.02	37.08(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-10	0	2	-47	3.44	69%	0.23	-34.2	1.39%	0	-0.6	33	NAN
4	Jul_16_2009	34.69	37.38	37.1	36.95	36.95	37.08	37.08(-0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-12	20	4	-58	4.37	69%	0.2	-48.3	1.39%	0	-0.7	36	NAN
5	Jul_15_2009	34.62	37.38	37.2	36.97	36.87	37.01	37.24(1.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-6	20	8	-47	10.13	69%	0.2	-49.2	1.39%	0	-0.4	52	NAN

6	Jul_14_2009	34.55	37.41	37.24	36.95	36.86	36.81	36.84(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-13	-20	-1	-47	7.35	69%	0.23	-54.2	1.38%	0	-1.3	49	NAN
7	Jul_13_2009	34.47	37.45	37.36	37.02	36.9	36.73	36.84(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-21	-40	-15	-40	5.77	69%	0.2	-50.4	1.39%	0	-1.4	50	NAN
8	Jul_10_2009	34.4	37.52	37.49	37.16	37.04	36.92	36.76(-1.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	-30	-15	-28	4.5	69%	0.17	-29.1	1.39%	0	-1.7	39	NAN
9	Jul_9_2009	34.34	37.6	37.63	37.27	37.25	37.08	37.16(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.3	-11	-30	-11	-12	7.93	74%	0.18	-14.9	1.39%	0	-1	50	NAN
10	Jul_8_2009	34.28	37.63	37.64	37.47	37.29	37.16	37.16(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-16	-40	-19	-7	11.2	74%	0.18	2.7	1.46%	0	-1.1	47	NAN

11	Jul_7_2009	34.22	37.66	37.64	37.58	37.56	37.16	37.16(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-5	-30	-8	3	5.42	74%	0.09	4.7	1.46%	0	-1.3	51	NAN
12	Jul_6_2009	34.19	37.67	37.65	37.75	37.66	37.43	37.56(0.64%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-11	-50	-16	6	7.25	74%	0.21	8.5	1.46%	0	-0.3	50	NAN
13	Jul_2_2009	34.12	37.65	37.69	37.88	37.77	37.69	37.32(-2.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-11	-20	-17	9	4.86	77%	0.12	13.2	1.48%	0	-0.8	42	NAN
14	Jul_1_2009	34.08	37.66	37.7	38.03	38	37.9	38.16(1.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	-20	11	20	7.79	85%	0.15	32.1	1.51%	0	1.2	47	NAN
15	Jun_30_2009	34.03	37.62	37.64	37.84	37.87	37.86	37.72(-0.74%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-1	0	-2	4	6.35	75%	0.12	21.7	1.53%	0	0.3	51	NAN

16	Jun_29_2009	33.99	37.62	37.59	37.72	37.79	38.09	38(-0.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	13	60	17	0	3.99	75%	0.09	17.4	1.61%	0	0.9	53	NAN
17	Jun_26_2009	33.96	37.64	37.59	37.54	37.55	37.89	38.2(0.32%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.6	13	60	19	-7	3.99	75%	0.12	22	1.62%	0	1.4	58	NAN
18	Jun_25_2009	33.92	37.6	37.54	37.48	37.31	37.49	38.08(2.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.4	8	20	12	-3	5.41	77%	0.09	28.6	1.63%	0	1.1	59	NAN
19	Jun_24_2009	33.89	37.54	37.55	37.33	37.37	37.21	37.2(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-3	-30	-1	-10	6.49	70%	0.09	17.9	1.64%	0	-0.8	47	NAN
20	Jun_23_2009	33.86	37.53	37.6	37.42	37.39	37.14	37.12(0.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-12	-50	-14	-7	7.02	75%	0.12	30.4	1.68%	0	-1	50	NAN

21	Jun_22_2009	33.82	37.56	37.66	37.43	37.53	37.52	37.08(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-7	10	-7	-7	7.95	75%	0.09	43.8	1.93%	0	-1.1	42	NAN
22	Jun_19_2009	33.79	37.55	37.69	37.54	37.58	37.64	37.92(1.61%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	-0	10	1	-4	5.58	79%	0.12	48.8	1.93%	0	0.8	48	NAN
23	Jun_18_2009	33.75	37.48	37.61	37.61	37.54	37.54	37.32(-0.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-8	-10	-8	-7	4.71	80%	0.03	52.2	1.93%	0	-0.3	50	NAN
24	Jun_17_2009	33.74	37.46	37.64	37.81	37.73	37.52	37.64(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	0	-50	-3	10	7.56	82%	0.06	71.2	1.94%	0	0.3	59	NAN
25	Jun_16_2009	33.72	37.4	37.61	37.82	37.89	37.54	37.2(-1.06%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-8	-60	-13	8	6.04	82%		65.3	1.97%	0	-0.4	53	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.