Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. May. 12, 2009

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $36.6400 (0.55%) ($36.3200 - $36.9200) on Tue. May. 12, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.37% (three month average)
RSI   70
Latest Price   $36.6400(0.55%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 3.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EWG(71%)    EEM(70%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(67%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -1.185% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-8%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(7%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.185% (StdDev 2.37%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $36.29(0.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $35.57(3.01%)
20 Day Moving Average   $34.82(5.23%)
To recent high   -0.4%
To recent low   33.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.99% (three month std-dev: 2.37%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.35%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.38%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 0.19%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.56%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090612

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_12_2009	33.39	34.82	35.57	36.29	36.3	36.55	36.64(0.55%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	28	50	10	83	9.44	67%	0	74.2	2.37%	0	1.8	70	NAN
2	May_11_2009	33.39	34.66	35.3	36.03	36.13	36.47	36.44(-0.98%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	70	17	78	10.05	67%	0	79.2	2.37%	0	1.9	70	NAN
3	May_8_2009	33.39	34.54	35.1	35.84	35.86	36.05	36.8(4.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	35	40	20	81	8.06	64%	0	83.1	2.39%	0	2.6	75	NAN
4	May_7_2009	33.39	34.38	34.86	35.39	35.51	35.8	35.36(-2.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	26	70	13	65	12.43	62%	-0.09	87.4	2.35%	0	1.4	60	NAN
5	May_6_2009	33.42	34.25	34.74	35.13	35.21	35.67	36.2(2.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	33	100	24	60	9.55	62%	-0.06	74.9	2.35%	0	2.6	68	NAN

6	May_5_2009	33.44	34.06	34.5	34.74	34.78	35.23	35.36(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.9	26	90	20	44	6.75	60%	-0.03	71.9	2.34%	0	1.9	64	NAN
7	May_4_2009	33.45	33.93	34.33	34.46	34.52	34.76	35.48(2.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	22	50	18	33	10.94	60%	-0.03	69	2.33%	0	2.3	67	NAN
8	May_1_2009	33.46	33.82	34.12	34.26	34.22	34.33	34.56(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	4	20	1	14	5.06	59%	-0.03	76.6	2.29%	0	1.3	56	NAN
9	Apr_30_2009	33.47	33.77	34.07	34.27	34.23	34.28	34.04(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	6	10	2	17	10.06	59%	-0.06	81.9	2.3%	0	0.5	52	NAN
10	Apr_29_2009	33.49	33.7	34.06	34.28	34.33	34.11	34.24(0.82%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	7	-40	1	25	10.52	55%	-0.03	71.8	2.32%	0	0.9	67	NAN

11	Apr_28_2009	33.5	33.57	34.02	34.21	34.27	34.18	33.96(-1.62%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	-10	-7	29	5.25	55%	-0.03	52.9	2.37%	0	0.5	68	NAN
12	Apr_27_2009	33.51	33.47	33.99	34.17	34.26	34.55	34.52(-0.23%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	20	70	13	42	9.97	55%	0.03	38.6	2.37%	0	1.3	71	NAN
13	Apr_24_2009	33.5	33.38	33.94	33.94	34.03	34.36	34.6(1.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	20	80	14	38	5.41	55%	0.03	44.9	2.38%	0	1.5	60	NAN
14	Apr_23_2009	33.49	33.32	33.86	33.84	33.76	33.96	34.08(0.59%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	30	6	33	4.95	55%	0	57.5	2.39%	0	1	53	NAN
15	Apr_22_2009	33.49	33.27	33.73	33.82	33.78	33.7	33.88(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	11	-20	4	33	7.16	55%	-0.03	68.9	2.39%	0	0.8	63	NAN

16	Apr_21_2009	33.5	33.18	33.6	33.81	33.77	33.55	33.76(1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	5	-50	-6	36	5.71	58%	0.03	75.5	2.41%	0	0.8	68	NAN
17	Apr_20_2009	33.49	33.14	33.5	33.79	33.79	33.86	33.36(-2.23%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	6	10	-6	42	6.62	55%	-0.03	97.8	2.47%	0	0.3	66	NAN
18	Apr_17_2009	33.5	33.02	33.51	33.92	33.84	33.99	34.12(0.47%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	19	20	7	56	7.06	55%	0.03	92.8	2.52%	0	1.2	58	NAN
19	Apr_16_2009	33.49	32.89	33.45	33.88	33.74	33.73	33.96(0.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	19	-10	6	56	6.73	55%	-0.03	101.7	2.54%	0	1.1	52	NAN
20	Apr_15_2009	33.5	32.76	33.31	33.63	33.75	33.69	33.84(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	17	-0	8	44	10.2	55%	-0.03	108	2.54%	0	1.1	54	NAN

21	Apr_14_2009	33.51	32.62	33.1	33.36	33.54	33.75	33.68(-0.94%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	60	7	30	10.05	55%	-0.03	103.6	2.54%	0	1.1	60	NAN
22	Apr_13_2009	33.52	32.43	32.9	33.16	33.24	33.81	34(0.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	130	15	16	5.7	55%	0.09	97.4	2.57%	0	1.4	54	NAN
23	Apr_9_2009	33.49	32.2	32.78	33.04	32.97	33.32	33.92(3.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	19	70	16	26	5.73	55%	0.06	79.5	2.56%	0	1.2	66	NAN
24	Apr_8_2009	33.47	31.95	32.71	32.99	32.83	32.67	32.72(0.74%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	-50	-0	33	6.07	53%	-0.06	77	2.52%	0	0.5	58	NAN
25	Apr_7_2009	33.49	31.78	32.75	32.95	33.05	32.61	32.48(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	9	-80	-2	42	3.63	53%		71.9	2.53%	0	0.4	56	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.