Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Mar. 18, 2009

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $31.5200 (2.34%) ($30.2000 - $31.8400) on Wed. Mar. 18, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.22% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $31.5200(2.34%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 1.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EEM(71%)    EWG(71%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(68%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -1.11% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(9%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.11% (StdDev 2.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 3.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $30.06(4.86%)
10 Day Moving Average   $29.33(7.47%)
20 Day Moving Average   $29.39(7.25%)
To recent high   -18.2%
To recent low   14.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 3.54% (three month std-dev: 2.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090418

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_18_2009	33.95	29.39	29.33	30.06	30.06	30.62	31.52(2.34%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	46	130	36	74	15.84	43%	-0.12	-41	2.22%	0	2	62	NAN
2	Mar_17_2009	33.99	29.39	29.06	29.55	29.46	30.08	30.8(3.49%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	32	140	28	42	9.61	41%	0	-63.6	2.23%	0	1.4	56	NAN
3	Mar_16_2009	33.99	29.36	28.8	29.17	29.16	29.51	29.76(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	80	34	7	7.95	42%	-0.12	-89.2	2.17%	0	0.4	44	NAN
4	Mar_13_2009	34.03	29.46	28.66	28.71	28.84	28.85	29.24(0.97%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	20	10	-32	8.56	42%	-0.18	-96.9	2.25%	0	-0.2	50	NAN
5	Mar_12_2009	34.09	29.63	28.67	28.56	28.46	28.82	28.96(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	80	3	-52	11.99	42%	-0.15	-88.8	2.26%	0	-0.5	41	NAN

6	Mar_11_2009	34.14	29.83	28.69	28.48	28.43	28.83	29(0.42%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-3	90	17	-63	8.96	42%	-0.23	-85.6	2.28%	0	-0.5	40	NAN
7	Mar_10_2009	34.22	30.01	28.74	28.5	28.33	28.1	28.88(5.09%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	-70	3	-83	11.19	42%	-0.26	-84.1	2.28%	0	-0.7	37	NAN
8	Mar_9_2009	34.31	30.26	28.87	28.4	28.45	28.02	27.48(-3.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-100	-21	-108	10.92	36%	-0.23	-76.8	2.19%	0	-1.5	30	NAN
9	Mar_6_2009	34.39	30.62	29.06	28.59	28.67	28.56	28.48(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-20	-14	-118	10.21	39%	-0.2	-68.6	2.23%	0	-1.1	29	NAN
10	Mar_5_2009	34.46	30.91	29.25	28.79	28.75	28.88	28.56(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	30	-5	-126	11.13	39%	-0.14	-63.8	2.24%	0	-1.1	26	NAN

11	Mar_4_2009	34.51	31.21	29.48	28.93	28.99	28.78	29.12(2.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	-40	-1	-136	9.01	39%	-0.26	-63.2	2.24%	0	-1	27	NAN
12	Mar_3_2009	34.6	31.47	29.69	29.02	29.12	28.63	28.36(-0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-61	-110	-29	-155	14.28	35%	-0.29	-63.5	2.26%	0	-1.4	23	NAN
13	Mar_2_2009	34.7	31.75	29.96	29.43	29.45	29.2	28.44(-3.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-52	-60	-17	-155	11.24	42%	-0.12	-63	2.27%	0	-1.6	20	NAN
14	Feb_27_2009	34.74	32.02	30.33	29.58	29.74	29.61	29.48(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-10	-8	-156	9.99	40%	-0.12	-66.7	2.4%	0	-1.3	20	NAN
15	Feb_26_2009	34.78	32.28	30.67	29.78	29.79	29.71	29.24(-1.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-51	-20	-14	-160	8.13	40%	-0.2	-65.5	2.42%	0	-1.6	20	NAN

16	Feb_25_2009	34.85	32.61	31.05	30.11	29.95	29.71	29.6(-2.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-50	-30	-14	-158	11.04	40%	-0.2	-59.9	2.43%	0	-1.6	21	NAN
17	Feb_24_2009	34.92	32.9	31.38	30.46	30.31	29.87	30.4(4.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-48	-120	-12	-156	15	43%	-0.26	-54.4	2.41%	0	-1.4	26	NAN
18	Feb_23_2009	35.01	33.1	31.74	30.59	30.68	30.04	29.2(-4.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-66	-140	-35	-157	9.07	37%	-0.28	-57.9	2.43%	0	-2.2	22	NAN
19	Feb_20_2009	35.11	33.37	32.3	31.18	31.06	30.75	30.48(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-54	-80	-31	-124	10.22	50%	-0.31	-60	2.5%	0	-1.9	26	NAN
20	Feb_19_2009	35.22	33.58	32.71	31.7	31.6	31.32	30.88(-1.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-37	-70	-16	-99	6.17	43%	-0.31	-58.5	2.52%	0	-2	24	NAN

21	Feb_18_2009	35.33	33.8	33.09	32.14	31.98	31.37	31.32(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-39	-150	-22	-89	8.97	43%	-0.34	-56.4	2.65%	0	-2	21	NAN
22	Feb_17_2009	35.45	33.94	33.41	32.46	32.4	31.88	31.08(-3.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-47	-120	-33	-88	11.46	43%	-0.53	-67	2.64%	0	-2.6	26	NAN
23	Feb_13_2009	35.64	34.15	33.7	33.06	32.92	32.6	32.16(-2.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-80	-22	-65	5.41	48%	-0.36	-70.8	2.67%	0	-2.2	40	NAN
24	Feb_12_2009	35.77	34.3	33.87	33.58	33.34	32.92	33.04(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-110	-17	-47	7.15	48%	-0.31	-78	2.8%	0	-1.6	44	NAN
25	Feb_11_2009	35.88	34.39	34.03	33.89	33.78	33.25	33.08(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-23	-120	-19	-36	6.8	48%		-86.3	2.82%	0	-1.8	43	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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