Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Mar. 9, 2009

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $27.4800 (-3.51%) ($27.3600 - $28.0800) on Mon. Mar. 9, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   2.19% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $27.4800(-3.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.7% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -3.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(73%)    EEM(71%)    EWG(71%)    IWM(68%)    VWO(68%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -1.095% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-9%)    TIP(-3%)    IGOV(9%)    GLD(9%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.095% (StdDev 2.19%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $17.48(-36.39%)
Resistance Level   $30.26
5 Day Moving Average   $28.4(-3.24%)
10 Day Moving Average   $28.87(-4.81%)
20 Day Moving Average   $30.26(-9.19%)
To recent high   -28.7%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 6.11% (three month std-dev: 2.19%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 7 Average positive next day return: 2.3%(71%) Average negative next day return: -0.52%(29%) Sample size 7 Average positive next three day return: 5.11%(43%) Average negative next three day return: -3.72%(57%) Sample size 7 Average positive next weekly return: 13.66%(43%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.6%(57%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090409

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_9_2009	34.31	30.26	28.87	28.4	28.45	28.02	27.48(-3.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-43	-100	-21	-108	10.92	36%	-0.23	-76.8	2.19%	0	-1.5	30	0
2	Mar_6_2009	34.39	30.62	29.06	28.59	28.67	28.56	28.48(-0.28%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-40	-20	-14	-118	10.21	39%	-0.2	-68.6	2.23%	0	-1.1	29	0
3	Mar_5_2009	34.46	30.91	29.25	28.79	28.75	28.88	28.56(-1.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-35	30	-5	-126	11.13	39%	-0.14	-63.8	2.24%	0	-1.1	26	0
4	Mar_4_2009	34.51	31.21	29.48	28.93	28.99	28.78	29.12(2.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-35	-40	-1	-136	9.01	39%	-0.26	-63.2	2.24%	0	-1	27	0
5	Mar_3_2009	34.6	31.47	29.69	29.02	29.12	28.63	28.36(-0.28%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-61	-110	-29	-155	14.28	35%	-0.29	-63.5	2.26%	0	-1.4	23	0

6	Mar_2_2009	34.7	31.75	29.96	29.43	29.45	29.2	28.44(-3.53%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-52	-60	-17	-155	11.24	42%	-0.12	-63	2.27%	0	-1.6	20	0
7	Feb_27_2009	34.74	32.02	30.33	29.58	29.74	29.61	29.48(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-45	-10	-8	-156	9.99	40%	-0.12	-66.7	2.4%	0	-1.3	20	0
8	Feb_26_2009	34.78	32.28	30.67	29.78	29.79	29.71	29.24(-1.22%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-51	-20	-14	-160	8.13	40%	-0.2	-65.5	2.42%	0	-1.6	20	0
9	Feb_25_2009	34.85	32.61	31.05	30.11	29.95	29.71	29.6(-2.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-50	-30	-14	-158	11.04	40%	-0.2	-59.9	2.43%	0	-1.6	21	0
10	Feb_24_2009	34.92	32.9	31.38	30.46	30.31	29.87	30.4(4.11%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-48	-120	-12	-156	15	43%	-0.26	-54.4	2.41%	0	-1.4	26	0

11	Feb_23_2009	35.01	33.1	31.74	30.59	30.68	30.04	29.2(-4.2%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-66	-140	-35	-157	9.07	37%	-0.28	-57.9	2.43%	0	-2.2	22	0
12	Feb_20_2009	35.11	33.37	32.3	31.18	31.06	30.75	30.48(-1.3%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-54	-80	-31	-124	10.22	50%	-0.31	-60	2.5%	0	-1.9	26	0
13	Feb_19_2009	35.22	33.58	32.71	31.7	31.6	31.32	30.88(-1.4%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-37	-70	-16	-99	6.17	43%	-0.31	-58.5	2.52%	0	-2	24	0
14	Feb_18_2009	35.33	33.8	33.09	32.14	31.98	31.37	31.32(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-39	-150	-22	-89	8.97	43%	-0.34	-56.4	2.65%	0	-2	21	0
15	Feb_17_2009	35.45	33.94	33.41	32.46	32.4	31.88	31.08(-3.36%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-47	-120	-33	-88	11.46	43%	-0.53	-67	2.64%	0	-2.6	26	0

16	Feb_13_2009	35.64	34.15	33.7	33.06	32.92	32.6	32.16(-2.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-33	-80	-22	-65	5.41	48%	-0.36	-70.8	2.67%	0	-2.2	40	0
17	Feb_12_2009	35.77	34.3	33.87	33.58	33.34	32.92	33.04(-0.12%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-25	-110	-17	-47	7.15	48%	-0.31	-78	2.8%	0	-1.6	44	0
18	Feb_11_2009	35.88	34.39	34.03	33.89	33.78	33.25	33.08(0.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-23	-120	-19	-36	6.8	48%	-0.31	-86.3	2.82%	0	-1.8	43	0
19	Feb_10_2009	35.99	34.51	34.31	34.2	34.08	33.77	32.92(-3.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-20	-70	-19	-22	8.72	48%	-0.3	-88.7	2.86%	0	-2.3	37	0
20	Feb_9_2009	36.1	34.68	34.55	34.49	34.42	34.31	34.12(-1.84%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.5	1	-30	-0	4	3.85	52%	-0.33	-86.6	2.83%	0	-0.8	54	0

21	Feb_6_2009	36.22	34.8	34.57	34.41	34.45	34.4	34.76(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	2	-10	4	-3	5.83	49%	-0.22	-88	2.92%	0	-0	47	0
22	Feb_5_2009	36.3	34.92	34.52	34.41	34.25	34.54	34.56(-0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-3	60	1	-14	5.88	49%	-0.19	-83.3	3.12%	0	-0.4	48	0
23	Feb_4_2009	36.37	35.03	34.49	34.2	34.22	34.49	34.66(0.87%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-2	60	3	-15	6.59	53%	-0.22	-82.5	3.13%	0	-0.3	51	0
24	Feb_3_2009	36.45	35.15	34.54	34.46	34.25	33.97	34.36(1.9%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-9	-80	-7	-13	7.88	53%	-0.25	-70.3	3.2%	0	-0.7	44	0
25	Feb_2_2009	36.54	35.3	34.48	34.64	34.65	33.95	33.72(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.7	-17	-140	-15	-23	5.73	53%		-59	3.2%	0	-1.3	38	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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