Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Jan. 4, 2009

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $38.5200 (0.52%) ($37.9600 - $38.8800) on Sun. Jan. 4, 2009.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   4.77% (three month average)
RSI   67
Latest Price   $38.5200(0.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 1.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -2.385% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -2.385% (StdDev 4.77%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

5 Day Moving Average   $37.7(2.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $37.03(4.02%)
20 Day Moving Average   $36.44(5.71%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   23.5%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 3.35% (three month std-dev: 4.77%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 11 Average positive next day return: 0.36%(36%) Average negative next day return: -1.04%(64%) Sample size 11 Average positive next three day return: 1.23%(55%) Average negative next three day return: -1.73%(45%) Sample size 11 Average positive next weekly return: 2.58%(45%) Average negative next weekly return: -2.09%(55%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20090204

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_2_2009	38.49	36.44	37.03	37.7	37.75	38.25	38.52(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	16	100	14	21	4.71	50%	-0.36	72.5	4.77%	0	1.7	67	NAN
2	Dec_31_2008	38.63	36.24	36.95	37.19	37.16	37.82	38.32(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	17	120	16	19	3.94	50%	-0.21	55.5	4.8%	0	1.5	65	NAN
3	Dec_30_2008	38.71	36.04	36.9	36.64	36.61	37.25	38(2.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	15	120	14	17	4.42	52%	-0.23	44	4.8%	0	1.5	68	NAN
4	Dec_29_2008	38.8	35.78	36.72	36.34	36.18	36.51	36.96(0.76%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	8	50	7	12	4.92	49%	-0.26	33.8	4.81%	0	0.8	62	NAN
5	Dec_26_2008	38.9	35.66	36.67	36.34	36.13	35.98	36.68(1.89%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	4	-40	0	16	2.88	49%	-0.46	44.1	4.91%	0	0.7	69	NAN

6	Dec_24_2008	39.08	35.58	36.58	36.26	36.29	35.85	36(1.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-80	-11	20	2.84	50%	-0.28	55.5	4.87%	0	0.3	69	NAN
7	Dec_23_2008	39.19	35.51	36.57	36.67	36.59	36.29	35.56(-2.52%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-2	-60	-13	32	6.16	50%	-0.25	65	4.87%	0	0	57	NAN
8	Dec_22_2008	39.29	35.47	36.55	37.18	37.1	36.72	36.48(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	11	-80	-2	50	11.32	49%	-0.28	76.9	4.86%	0	0.7	63	NAN
9	Dec_19_2008	39.4	35.3	36.44	37.14	37.22	36.89	36.56(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	11	-60	-5	58	10.98	50%	-0.3	70	4.88%	0	0.9	70	NAN
10	Dec_18_2008	39.52	35.05	36.19	37.13	37.13	37.48	36.72(-3.47%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	17	70	3	59	15.05	51%	-0.3	47	4.93%	0	1	58	NAN

11	Dec_17_2008	39.64	34.82	35.86	36.92	36.88	37.54	38.04(-0.18%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	26	120	16	56	11.58	51%	-0.28	37.4	4.94%	0	1.9	60	NAN
12	Dec_16_2008	39.75	34.62	35.5	36.47	36.41	36.77	38.11(5.04%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	23	60	15	48	11.97	51%	-0.25	31.5	4.96%	0	2.2	63	NAN
13	Dec_15_2008	39.85	34.41	35.1	35.85	36.02	36.21	36.28(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	50	6	32	10.09	48%	-0.3	16.8	4.92%	0	1.4	57	NAN
14	Dec_12_2008	39.97	34.31	34.74	35.65	35.7	36.05	36.48(2.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	15	70	10	28	13.18	48%	-0.32	6.9	4.93%	0	1.7	64	NAN
15	Dec_11_2008	40.1	34.28	34.54	35.11	35.45	35.82	35.68(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	19	100	15	31	8.04	48%	-0.32	2.5	4.92%	0	1.1	69	NAN

16	Dec_10_2008	40.23	34.19	34.46	34.62	34.77	35.35	35.78(2.11%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	14	130	9	30	7.58	48%	-0.35	-21.4	4.92%	0	1.3	64	NAN
17	Dec_9_2008	40.37	34.14	34.32	34.38	34.21	35.08	35.04(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	17	160	13	28	7.48	48%	-0.32	-40	4.92%	0	0.8	52	NAN
18	Dec_8_2008	40.5	34.19	34.27	34.23	33.94	34.18	35.28(4.5%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	19	20	16	28	7.25	48%	-0.32	-39.6	4.93%	0	0.9	53	NAN
19	Dec_5_2008	40.63	34.22	34.06	33.71	33.66	33.35	33.76(1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	0	-4	-70	-6	4	5.51	48%	-0.37	-48.8	4.91%	0	-0.4	49	NAN
20	Dec_4_2008	40.78	34.25	33.83	33.88	33.71	33.71	33.24(-3.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-9	-20	-9	-10	7.4	48%	-0.39	-51.8	4.9%	0	-0.8	40	NAN

21	Dec_3_2008	40.94	34.45	33.74	34.27	33.98	33.98	34.6(0.9%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	1	-30	2	-4	10.91	48%	-0.32	-30.4	4.89%	0	0.1	53	NAN
22	Dec_2_2008	41.07	34.61	33.7	34.25	34.09	33.71	34.29(5.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-6	-90	-5	-10	9.47	47%	-0.34	-18.6	4.89%	0	-0.2	49	NAN
23	Dec_1_2008	41.21	34.7	33.69	34.33	34.26	33.99	32.64(-5.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-9	-60	-7	-16	9.91	46%	-0.36	-4.1	4.85%	0	-1.2	40	NAN
24	Nov_28_2008	41.36	34.87	33.87	34.42	34.48	34.48	34.64(-1.48%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	5	10	11	-13	2.46	47%	-0.51	5.1	4.8%	0	-0.1	45	NAN
25	Nov_26_2008	41.57	34.94	34.01	33.74	34	34.52	35.16(1.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.9	5	130	13	-20	6.99	47%		-4.7	4.76%	0	0.1	54	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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