Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Oct. 15, 2008

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $33.4000 (-10.41%) ($33.3200 - $36.4400) on Wed. Oct. 15, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   3.36% (three month average)
RSI   30
Latest Price   $33.4000(-10.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -9.7% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWI(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -1.68% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-12%)    TIP(-4%)    GLD(11%)    LQD(19%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -1.68% (StdDev 3.36%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -8.1%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $18.32(-45.15%)
Resistance Level   $39.72
5 Day Moving Average   $34.96(-4.46%)
10 Day Moving Average   $36.41(-8.27%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.72(-15.91%)
To recent high   -32.1%
To recent low   3.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 9.77% (three month std-dev: 3.36%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 2.51%(63%) Average negative next day return: -6.76%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 2.48%(63%) Average negative next three day return: -9.56%(38%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 6.79%(63%) Average negative next weekly return: -9.65%(38%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_15_2008	46.56	39.72	36.41	34.96	35.3	36.48	33.4(-10.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-59	260	-18	-181	9.05	37%	-0.43	-51.6	3.36%	0	-1.6	30	0
2	Oct_14_2008	46.76	40.14	37.27	35.38	35.38	37.17	37.28(-1.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	2	350	56	-161	13.3	41%	-0.21	-56.4	3.13%	0	-0.8	37	0
3	Oct_13_2008	46.86	40.41	37.75	35.29	34.8	34.12	37.92(17.18%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.7	-44	-180	4	-187	14.76	41%	-0.34	-59.5	3.13%	0	-0.7	39	0
4	Oct_10_2008	47.02	40.67	38.03	35.34	35.16	33.59	32.36(-4.37%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.8	-152	-330	-96	-318	13.76	30%	-0.44	-61.5	2.24%	0	-2.3	18	0
5	Oct_9_2008	47.23	41.29	39.24	36.78	36.52	35.49	33.84(-4.62%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1	-125	-220	-76	-272	8.61	31%	-0.42	-60.3	2.19%	0	-2.4	18	0

6	Oct_8_2008	47.43	41.83	40.34	38.07	37.74	36.72	35.48(-3.69%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-107	-220	-69	-222	11.22	32%	-0.4	-59	2.14%	0	-2.4	32	0
7	Oct_7_2008	47.62	42.29	41.2	39.4	39.02	37.56	36.84(-3.56%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-95	-290	-72	-165	7.46	34%	-0.38	-57.9	2.1%	0	-2.5	42	0
8	Oct_6_2008	47.8	42.66	41.88	40.56	40.13	38.76	38.2(-3.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-85	-270	-72	-123	12.52	36%	-0.33	-55.7	2.06%	0	-2.5	41	0
9	Oct_3_2008	47.96	43	42.46	41.11	41.33	40.48	39.52(-1.98%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-64	-130	-54	-93	6.83	37%	-0.31	-60.7	2.04%	0	-2.3	42	0
10	Oct_2_2008	48.11	43.23	43.04	42.09	41.75	41.51	40.32(-4.27%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-48	-60	-48	-49	7.06	36%	-0.27	-57.4	2.04%	0	-2.3	41	0

11	Oct_1_2008	48.24	43.42	43.34	42.95	42.57	42.18	42.12(-1.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-11	-90	-12	-9	6.45	38%	-0.23	-49.4	1.99%	0	-1.1	46	0
12	Sep_30_2008	48.35	43.58	43.27	43.3	43.14	41.99	42.64(4.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-31	-200	-34	-23	8.71	38%	-0.23	-41.3	1.98%	0	-0.8	46	0
13	Sep_29_2008	48.46	43.7	43.28	43.43	43.56	42.96	40.96(-7.75%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-49	-90	-54	-34	7.43	34%	-0.23	-37.7	1.91%	0	-2.4	43	0
14	Sep_26_2008	48.57	43.94	43.52	43.98	43.97	44.29	44.4(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-1	50	0	-3	4.94	38%	-0.18	-26.2	1.66%	0	0.4	48	0
15	Sep_25_2008	48.66	43.98	43.48	44.14	43.94	44.15	44.64(1.73%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	22	20	23	17	10.88	38%	-0.18	-20.4	1.69%	0	0.6	53	0

16	Sep_24_2008	48.75	44	43.39	43.8	43.99	43.65	43.88(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	15	-40	19	1	7.25	36%	-0.2	-28.6	1.68%	0	-0.1	51	0
17	Sep_23_2008	48.85	44.06	43.41	43.24	43.62	43.74	43.28(-0.92%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-14	50	-5	-42	5.93	36%	-0.22	-40.9	1.67%	0	-0.7	43	0
18	Sep_22_2008	48.96	44.14	43.45	43.1	43.15	44.32	43.68(-3.45%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	16	190	36	-43	6.24	36%	-0.2	-47.3	1.67%	0	-0.4	45	0
19	Sep_19_2008	49.06	44.14	43.55	42.97	42.7	43.5	45.24(5.41%)	RB	SmallLong	20	2	33	110	59	-46	5.47	36%	-0.16	-50	1.67%	0	0.9	47	0
20	Sep_18_2008	49.14	44.21	43.38	42.77	42.26	41.98	42.92(4.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-80	-12	-108	12.54	29%	-0.22	-54.6	1.51%	0	-1.1	37	0

21	Sep_17_2008	49.25	44.33	43.48	42.98	42.67	41.91	41.08(-3.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-76	-150	-55	-138	9.59	22%	-0.24	-52.9	1.39%	0	-2.9	29	0
22	Sep_16_2008	49.37	44.53	43.9	43.6	43.2	42.54	42.6(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-66	-130	-52	-107	9.49	24%	-0.22	-60.2	1.33%	0	-2.3	36	0
23	Sep_15_2008	49.48	44.68	44.15	43.81	43.69	43.44	43(-2.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-48	-50	-35	-87	7.65	24%	-0.18	-69.9	1.34%	0	-2.3	40	0
24	Sep_12_2008	49.57	44.79	44.42	44.18	44	43.86	44.24(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-30	-5	-53	4.41	25%	-0.16	-76.6	1.31%	0	-0.9	43	0
25	Sep_11_2008	49.65	44.85	44.54	44.1	44.19	43.95	43.96(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-30	-6	-59	7.45	25%		-85	1.31%	0	-1.4	39	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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