Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Sep. 19, 2008

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $45.2400 (5.41%) ($43.4800 - $45.4800) on Fri. Sep. 19, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.67% (three month average)
RSI   47
Latest Price   $45.2400(5.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.5% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(76%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.835% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.835% (StdDev 1.67%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 2.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $38.42(-15.08%)
5 Day Moving Average   $42.97(5.28%)
10 Day Moving Average   $43.55(3.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $44.21(2.33%)
To recent high   -13.1%
To recent low   10.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.6% (three month std-dev: 1.67%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20081019

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_19_2008	49.06		43.55	42.97	42.7	43.5	45.24(5.41%)	RB	SmallLong	20	2	33	110	59	-46	5.47	36%	-0.16	-50	1.67%	0	0.9	47	NAN
2	Sep_18_2008	49.14	44.21	43.38	42.77	42.26	41.98	42.92(4.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-36	-80	-12	-108	12.54	29%	-0.22	-54.6	1.51%	0	-1.1	37	NAN
3	Sep_17_2008	49.25	44.33	43.48	42.98	42.67	41.91	41.08(-3.57%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.7	-76	-150	-55	-138	9.59	22%	-0.24	-52.9	1.39%	0	-2.9	29	NAN
4	Sep_16_2008	49.37	44.53	43.9	43.6	43.2	42.54	42.6(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-66	-130	-52	-107	9.49	24%	-0.22	-60.2	1.33%	0	-2.3	36	NAN
5	Sep_15_2008	49.48	44.68	44.15	43.81	43.69	43.44	43(-2.8%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-48	-50	-35	-87	7.65	24%	-0.18	-69.9	1.34%	0	-2.3	40	NAN

6	Sep_12_2008	49.57	44.79	44.42	44.18	44	43.86	44.24(0.64%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-17	-30	-5	-53	4.41	25%	-0.16	-76.6	1.31%	0	-0.9	43	NAN
7	Sep_11_2008	49.65	44.85	44.54	44.1	44	43.95	43.96(-0.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-19	-30	-6	-59	7.45	25%	-0.16	-85	1.31%	0	-1.4	39	NAN
8	Sep_10_2008	49.73	44.94	44.67	44.06	44.19	44.14	44.2(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-29	0	-17	-66	7.49	24%	-0.14	-97.1	1.31%	0	-1.2	43	NAN
9	Sep_9_2008	49.8	45.05	44.76	44.27	44.16	44.42	43.64(-2.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-18	30	-8	-49	4.83	24%	-0.18	-86.6	1.32%	0	-2.1	44	NAN
10	Sep_8_2008	49.89	45.21	44.89	44.55	44.41	44.23	44.88(2.47%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-6	-40	4	-36	7.86	26%	-0.14	-69.3	1.28%	0	-0.5	45	NAN

11	Sep_5_2008	49.96	45.28	44.92	44.7	44.53	43.91	43.8(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-1.2	-51	-110	-51	-49	6.07	19%	-0.16	-65	1.3%	0	-2	41	NAN
12	Sep_4_2008	50.04	45.39	45.1	45.06	45.07	44.59	43.8(-3.18%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-35	-70	-39	-23	5.88	19%	-0.16	-74.1	1.31%	0	-2.4	38	NAN
13	Sep_3_2008	50.12	45.55	45.26	45.35	45.41	45.15	45.24(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-11	-40	-14	-1	3.25	21%	-0.1	-79.4	1.27%	0	-0.5	45	NAN
14	Sep_2_2008	50.17	45.64	45.21	45.31	45.42	45.54	45.04(-1.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-5	30	-2	-15	3.28	21%	-0.08	-79.7	1.27%	0	-0.9	36	NAN
15	Aug_29_2008	50.21	45.69	45.26	45.26	45.36	45.67	45.64(0.09%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	12	50	22	-20	3.17	21%	-0.1	-87.3	1.27%	0	-0.1	37	NAN

16	Aug_28_2008	50.26	45.77	45.2	45.18	45.15	45.31	45.6(0.8%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	20	13	-43	2.32	21%	-0.08	-84	1.28%	0	-0.2	40	NAN
17	Aug_27_2008	50.3	45.88	45.17	45.18	45.05	45.05	45.24(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-10	1	-54	2.93	21%	-0.12	-76	1.28%	0	-0.6	45	NAN
18	Aug_26_2008	50.36	46.04	45.21	45.16	45.09	45	45.04(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-20	0	-66	4.02	21%	-0.12	-72.2	1.28%	0	-0.9	36	NAN
19	Aug_25_2008	50.42	46.2	45.34	45.1	45.1	45.04	44.8(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10	-9	-80	2.55	21%	-0.14	-74.4	1.28%	0	-1.2	32	NAN
20	Aug_22_2008	50.49	46.36	45.54	45.24	45.05	45.18	45.2(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-18	10	-2	-65	7.49	21%	-0.1	-70.9	1.28%	0	-0.9	45	NAN

21	Aug_21_2008	50.54	46.53	45.66	45.22	45.2	45.16	45.52(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-10	10	-69	2.49	20%	-0.12	-66.3	1.3%	0	-0.8	39	NAN
22	Aug_20_2008	50.6	46.7	45.7	45.19	45.19	44.93	45.24(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-40	-17	-101	3.23	20%	-0.12	-61.8	1.31%	0	-1.1	34	NAN
23	Aug_19_2008	50.66	46.9	45.85	45.28	45.27	45.25	44.76(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-48	-0	-25	-118	5.35	20%	-0.08	-58.8	1.3%	0	-1.5	28	NAN
24	Aug_18_2008	50.7	47.11	46.1	45.62	45.52	45.46	45.48(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-20	-7	-105	6.7	21%	-0.1	-51.4	1.29%	0	-1.2	34	NAN
25	Aug_15_2008	50.75	47.25	46.17	45.89	45.71	45.29	45.08(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-80	-30	-119	3.43	25%		-48.3	1.28%	0	-1.7	33	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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