Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Wed. Aug. 27, 2008

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $45.2400 (0.44%) ($44.8800 - $45.2400) on Wed. Aug. 27, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $45.2400(0.44%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(76%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $40.93(-9.53%)
Resistance Level   $45.88
5 Day Moving Average   $45.16(0.18%)
10 Day Moving Average   $45.17(0.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $45.88(-1.39%)
To recent high   -18.2%
To recent low   1.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.33% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.38%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.35%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0.81%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080927

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_27_2008	50.3	45.88	45.17		45.05	45.05	45.24(0.44%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	-10	1	-54	2.93	21%	-0.12	-76	1.28%	0	-0.6	45	NAN
2	Aug_26_2008	50.36	46.04	45.21	45.16	45.09	45	45.04(0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-17	-20	0	-66	4.02	21%	-0.12	-72.2	1.28%	0	-0.9	36	NAN
3	Aug_25_2008	50.42	46.2	45.34	45.1	45.1	45.04	44.8(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10	-9	-80	2.55	21%	-0.14	-74.4	1.28%	0	-1.2	32	NAN
4	Aug_22_2008	50.49	46.36	45.54	45.24	45.05	45.18	45.2(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-18	10	-2	-65	7.49	21%	-0.1	-70.9	1.28%	0	-0.9	45	NAN
5	Aug_21_2008	50.54	46.53	45.66	45.22	45.2	45.16	45.52(0.62%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-10	-10	10	-69	2.49	20%	-0.12	-66.3	1.3%	0	-0.8	39	NAN

6	Aug_20_2008	50.6	46.7	45.7	45.19	45.19	44.93	45.24(1.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-38	-40	-17	-101	3.23	20%	-0.12	-61.8	1.31%	0	-1.1	34	NAN
7	Aug_19_2008	50.66	46.9	45.85	45.28	45.27	45.25	44.76(-1.58%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-48	-0	-25	-118	5.35	20%	-0.08	-58.8	1.3%	0	-1.5	28	NAN
8	Aug_18_2008	50.7	47.11	46.1	45.62	45.52	45.46	45.48(0.89%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-32	-20	-7	-105	6.7	21%	-0.1	-51.4	1.29%	0	-1.2	34	NAN
9	Aug_15_2008	50.75	47.25	46.17	45.89	45.71	45.29	45.08(-0.7%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-52	-80	-30	-119	3.43	25%	-0.08	-48.3	1.28%	0	-1.7	33	NAN
10	Aug_14_2008	50.79	47.42	46.39	46.18	46.09	45.57	45.4(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-49	-80	-28	-113	6.79	25%	-0.1	-44.9	1.31%	0	-1.7	32	NAN

11	Aug_13_2008	50.84	47.57	46.65	46.26	46.25	46.13	45.68(-1.72%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-50	-20	-27	-119	5.66	25%	-0.08	-46.8	1.32%	0	-1.7	31	NAN
12	Aug_12_2008	50.88	47.73	46.95	46.5	46.32	46.6	46.48(-0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-24	30	2	-101	5.25	26%	-0.08	-42.9	1.31%	0	-1.3	33	NAN
13	Aug_11_2008	50.92	47.79	47.13	46.64	46.41	46.38	46.8(0.6%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-20	16	-95	7.12	26%	-0.08	-48.3	1.31%	0	-1	37	NAN
14	Aug_8_2008	50.96	47.87	47.25	46.5	46.48	46.04	46.52(1.48%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-47	-70	-22	-121	5.24	26%	-0.04	-58.2	1.31%	0	-1.4	41	NAN
15	Aug_7_2008	50.98	47.95	47.45	46.66	46.55	46.44	45.84(-2.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-61	-20	-41	-120	4.55	23%	-0.02	-62.4	1.3%	0	-2.4	36	NAN

16	Aug_6_2008	50.99	48.09	47.79	47.1	46.9	46.93	46.88(-0.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-27	-10	-9	-81	3.58	25%	-0.04	-61.5	1.28%	0	-1.6	40	NAN
17	Aug_5_2008	51.01	48.17	48.02	47.47	47.23	46.66	47.16(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-35	-100	-25	-64	6.36	25%	0	-63.3	1.28%	0	-1.4	40	NAN
18	Aug_4_2008	51.01	48.26	48.19	47.7	47.64	46.87	46.12(-2.54%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.3	-60	-120	-61	-56	5.88	19%	0	-61.4	1.25%	0	-3.1	44	NAN
19	Aug_1_2008	51.01	48.42	48.43	48.09	48.09	47.8	47.32(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-37	-40	-40	-27	5.26	21%	-0.04	-70.5	1.21%	0	-2.2	45	NAN
20	Jul_31_2008	51.03	48.51	48.54	48.34	48.32	48.41	48(-1.56%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-7	10	-10	2	4.92	22%	-0.04	-66	1.21%	0	-1.1	52	NAN

21	Jul_30_2008	51.05	48.56	48.59	48.58	48.46	48.37	48.76(0.91%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	4	-20	-1	17	5.7	24%	0	-70.5	1.21%	0	0.4	51	NAN
22	Jul_29_2008	51.05	48.62	48.58	48.66	48.64	48.23	48.32(0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-13	-60	-24	19	4.3	24%	0	-55.6	1.2%	0	-0.5	52	NAN
23	Jul_28_2008	51.05	48.69	48.51	48.78	48.93	48.54	48.04(-1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-15	-50	-24	12	3.8	29%	0	-51.9	1.2%	0	-1	44	NAN
24	Jul_25_2008	51.05	48.78	48.54	48.82	48.98	49.06	48.6(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	20	-5	14	5.32	34%	0	-52.6	1.22%	0	-0.3	45	NAN
25	Jul_24_2008	51.05	48.82	48.48	48.74	48.89	49.31	49.16(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	70	29	13	7.57	34%		-71.9	1.24%	0	0.5	49	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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