Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. Jul. 25, 2008

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $48.6000 (-1.14%) ($48.4800 - $48.9600) on Fri. Jul. 25, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   45
Latest Price   $48.6000(-1.14%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(76%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(22%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

Resistance Level   $48.78
5 Day Moving Average   $48.82(-0.45%)
10 Day Moving Average   $48.54(0.12%)
20 Day Moving Average   $48.78(-0.37%)
To recent high   -12.1%
To recent low   2.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.33% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080825

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_25_2008	51.05	48.78	48.54	48.82	48.98	49.06	48.6(-1.14%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-0	20	-5	14	5.32	34%	0	-52.6	1.22%	0	-0.3	45	NAN
2	Jul_24_2008	51.05	48.82	48.48	48.74	48.89	49.31	49.16(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	70	29	13	7.57	34%	0	-71.9	1.24%	0	0.5	49	NAN
3	Jul_23_2008	51.05	48.89	48.42	48.6	48.58	48.9	49.2(0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	18	40	24	-1	5.26	34%	0	-73.5	1.24%	0	0.4	50	NAN
4	Jul_22_2008	51.05	48.94	48.42	48.5	48.45	48.47	48.88(1.33%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	8	-0	19	-26	5.69	32%	-0.02	-86	1.25%	0	-0.1	39	NAN
5	Jul_21_2008	51.06	49.02	48.3	48.5	48.37	48.27	48.24(0%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-16	-10	-2	-58	3.13	29%	-0.04	-95.7	1.26%	0	-0.8	36	NAN

6	Jul_18_2008	51.08	49.12	48.38	48.22	48.19	48.43	48.24(-0.41%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0	-18	30	-2	-65	3.8	35%	-0.04	-102.1	1.26%	0	-0.9	37	NAN
7	Jul_17_2008	51.1	49.3	48.47	48.17	48.24	48.48	48.44(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	3	40	23	-59	6	35%	-0.06	-87	1.31%	0	-0.8	41	NAN
8	Jul_16_2008	51.13	49.48	48.52	48.2	48.06	47.95	48.68(2.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-21	-20	0	-82	6.81	41%	-0.06	-74.9	1.32%	0	-0.6	35	NAN
9	Jul_15_2008	51.16	49.67	48.64	48.1	48.11	48	47.48(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-40	-20	-21	-98	6.38	36%	-0.08	-67.7	1.34%	0	-1.6	30	NAN
10	Jul_14_2008	51.2	49.92	48.89	48.39	48.35	48.17	48.28(0.67%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-29	-30	-9	-87	7.36	38%	-0.02	-65.6	1.33%	0	-1.2	31	NAN

11	Jul_11_2008	51.21	50.1	49.04	48.57	48.43	48.22	47.96(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-42	-40	-26	-91	6.33	38%	-0.04	-67.3	1.33%	0	-1.5	33	NAN
12	Jul_10_2008	51.23	50.28	49.2	48.81	48.75	48.53	48.6(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-32	-40	-11	-95	6.96	38%	-0.02	-79	1.32%	0	-1.3	27	NAN
13	Jul_9_2008	51.24	50.43	49.41	48.89	48.94	48.64	48.16(-1.63%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-50	-40	-29	-111	6.58	38%	-0.04	-91.9	1.32%	0	-1.7	23	NAN
14	Jul_8_2008	51.26	50.64	49.63	49.27	49.13	48.98	48.96(-0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-44	-30	-22	-111	5.37	40%	-0.04	-95.9	1.31%	0	-1.4	23	NAN
15	Jul_7_2008	51.28	50.86	49.8	49.46	49.39	49.24	49.16(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-36	-30	-10	-112	6.69	40%	0.02	-91.4	1.32%	0	-1.3	28	NAN

16	Jul_3_2008	51.27	51.07	49.92	49.58	49.59	49.29	49.16(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-40	-15	-122	4.1	40%	0.02	-76.4	1.32%	0	-1.2	33	NAN
17	Jul_2_2008	51.26	51.36	50.2	49.66	49.72	49.55	49(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	-20	-25	-120	5.78	40%	0	-67.1	1.32%	0	-1.4	37	NAN
18	Jul_1_2008	51.26	51.65	50.52	50.02	49.79	49.89	50.08(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	0	-7	-94	7.09	49%	0.04	-57.4	1.29%	0	-1	41	NAN
19	Jun_30_2008	51.24	51.86	50.77	50.06	50.05	49.88	49.88(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-20	-0	-84	6.55	49%	0.04	-54.3	1.33%	0	-1.2	35	NAN
20	Jun_27_2008	51.22	52.08	51.02	50.22	50.14	49.7	49.8(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-70	-28	-97	6.11	49%	0	-50.2	1.33%	0	-1.4	29	NAN

21	Jun_26_2008	51.22	52.3	51.24	50.32	50.36	50.22	49.52(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-51	-20	-33	-106	6.69	49%	0.02	-50.3	1.33%	0	-1.8	28	NAN
22	Jun_25_2008	51.21	52.51	51.44	50.82	50.58	50.58	50.8(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-36	-10	-12	-108	6.22	53%	0.04	-44.9	1.3%	0	-1.2	25	NAN
23	Jun_24_2008	51.19	52.62	51.52	51.1	50.85	50.5	50.28(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-55	-60	-30	-129	5.6	58%	-0.02	-44.7	1.3%	0	-1.7	25	NAN
24	Jun_23_2008	51.2	52.78	51.73	51.6	51.35	50.59	50.68(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-65	-120	-45	-125	4.78	58%	-0.02	-40.8	1.35%	0	-1.6	32	NAN
25	Jun_20_2008	51.21	52.93	52	51.94	51.9	51.21	50.32(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-69	-100	-52	-119	6.69	61%		-41.3	1.36%	0	-2.1	29	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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