Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jul. 8, 2008

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $48.9600 (-0.41%) ($48.3200 - $49.0400) on Tue. Jul. 8, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.31% (three month average)
RSI   23
Latest Price   $48.9600(-0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -2.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(76%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.655% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.655% (StdDev 1.31%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $44.96(-8.17%)
Resistance Level   $50.64
5 Day Moving Average   $49.27(-0.63%)
10 Day Moving Average   $49.63(-1.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $50.64(-3.32%)
To recent high   -11.5%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.45% (three month std-dev: 1.31%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 3 Average positive next day return: 0.66%(33%) Average negative next day return: -1.07%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next three day return: 0.84%(33%) Average negative next three day return: -1.43%(67%) Sample size 3 Average positive next weekly return: 2.9%(33%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.24%(67%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080808

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_8_2008	51.26	50.64	49.63	49.27	49.13	48.98	48.96(-0.41%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.3	-44	-30	-22	-111	5.37	40%	-0.04	-95.9	1.31%	0	-1.4	23	NAN
2	Jul_7_2008	51.28	50.86	49.8	49.46	49.39	49.24	49.16(0%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-36	-30	-10	-112	6.69	40%	0.02	-91.4	1.32%	0	-1.3	28	NAN
3	Jul_3_2008	51.27	51.07	49.92	49.58	49.59	49.29	49.16(0.33%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-42	-40	-15	-122	4.1	40%	0.02	-76.4	1.32%	0	-1.2	33	NAN
4	Jul_2_2008	51.26	51.36	50.2	49.66	49.72	49.55	49(-2.16%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-49	-20	-25	-120	5.78	40%	0	-67.1	1.32%	0	-1.4	37	NAN
5	Jul_1_2008	51.26	51.65	50.52	50.02	49.79	49.89	50.08(0.4%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-29	0	-7	-94	7.09	49%	0.04	-57.4	1.29%	0	-1	41	NAN

6	Jun_30_2008	51.24	51.86	50.77	50.06	50.05	49.88	49.88(0.16%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-20	-0	-84	6.55	49%	0.04	-54.3	1.33%	0	-1.2	35	NAN
7	Jun_27_2008	51.22	52.08	51.02	50.22	50.14	49.7	49.8(0.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-45	-70	-28	-97	6.11	49%	0	-50.2	1.33%	0	-1.4	29	NAN
8	Jun_26_2008	51.22	52.3	51.24	50.32	50.36	50.22	49.52(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-51	-20	-33	-106	6.69	49%	0.02	-50.3	1.33%	0	-1.8	28	NAN
9	Jun_25_2008	51.21	52.51	51.44	50.82	50.58	50.58	50.8(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-36	-10	-12	-108	6.22	53%	0.04	-44.9	1.3%	0	-1.2	25	NAN
10	Jun_24_2008	51.19	52.62	51.52	51.1	50.85	50.5	50.28(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-55	-60	-30	-129	5.6	58%	-0.02	-44.7	1.3%	0	-1.7	25	NAN

11	Jun_23_2008	51.2	52.78	51.73	51.6	51.35	50.59	50.68(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-65	-120	-45	-125	4.78	58%	-0.02	-40.8	1.35%	0	-1.6	32	NAN
12	Jun_20_2008	51.21	52.93	52	51.94	51.9	51.21	50.32(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-69	-100	-52	-119	6.69	61%	-0.02	-41.3	1.36%	0	-2.1	29	NAN
13	Jun_19_2008	51.22	53.11	52.32	52.26	52.33	52.12	52.04(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-20	-13	-100	4.73	61%	0.04	-41.3	1.31%	0	-1	36	NAN
14	Jun_18_2008	51.2	53.16	52.62	52.14	52.28	52.59	52.2(-1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	50	10	-81	4.84	64%	0.04	-47.4	1.36%	0	-0.9	43	NAN
15	Jun_17_2008	51.18	53.25	52.87	52	52.06	52.55	52.76(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	70	28	-64	2.37	67%	0.06	-47.4	1.4%	0	-0.5	51	NAN

16	Jun_16_2008	51.15	53.33	53.01	51.9	52.06	51.97	52.4(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	10	8	-71	5.03	67%	0.06	-42.6	1.43%	0	-0.9	45	NAN
17	Jun_13_2008	51.12	53.43	53.19	52.11	51.85	51.57	51.92(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-50	-20	-59	4.55	57%	0.06	-28.9	1.66%	0	-1.4	43	NAN
18	Jun_12_2008	51.09	53.55	53.42	52.4	52.32	51.73	51.4(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-44	-80	-40	-55	6.54	57%	0.06	-18.7	1.66%	0	-2.2	37	NAN
19	Jun_11_2008	51.06	53.66	53.65	53.18	52.91	52.13	51.52(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-46	-120	-52	-28	7.62	60%	0.06	4.3	1.66%	0	-2.5	44	NAN
20	Jun_10_2008	51.03	53.74	53.82	53.86	53.65	52.91	52.28(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-34	-110	-43	-5	5.17	60%	0.04	23.6	1.69%	0	-1.9	42	NAN

21	Jun_9_2008	51.01	53.77	53.96	54.25	54.27	53.69	53.44(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-20	-70	-29	9	4.19	63%	0.06	35.6	1.66%	0	-0.5	44	NAN
22	Jun_6_2008	50.98	53.77	53.95	54.42	54.49	54.39	53.36(-3.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-11	-10	-19	13	7.11	63%	0.1	34	1.67%	0	-0.5	43	NAN
23	Jun_5_2008	50.93	53.74	54	54.58	54.61	54.85	55.32(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	30	21	33	4.81	68%	0.12	39	1.61%	0	2.1	56	NAN
24	Jun_4_2008	50.87	53.62	53.76	54.2	54.42	54.58	54.88(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	30	23	17	6.23	64%	0.1	28.8	1.61%	0	1.9	62	NAN
25	Jun_3_2008	50.82	53.56	53.64	53.79	54.03	54.37	54.24(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	60	15	6	3.77	64%		20.2	1.64%	0	1.1	62	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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