Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Thu. Jun. 26, 2008

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $49.5200 (-2.52%) ($49.0800 - $50.0800) on Thu. Jun. 26, 2008.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.33% (three month average)
RSI   28
Latest Price   $49.5200(-2.52%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(76%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.665% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-15%)    TIP(-5%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(22%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.665% (StdDev 1.33%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.9%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $45.52(-8.08%)
Resistance Level   $52.3
5 Day Moving Average   $50.32(-1.59%)
10 Day Moving Average   $51.24(-3.36%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.3(-5.32%)
To recent high   -10.5%
To recent low   0.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 3.02% (three month std-dev: 1.33%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 8 Average positive next day return: 1.76%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.95%(50%) Sample size 8 Average positive next three day return: 3.25%(38%) Average negative next three day return: -1.33%(63%) Sample size 8 Average positive next weekly return: 2.72%(50%) Average negative next weekly return: -4.72%(50%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080726

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_26_2008	51.22	52.3	51.24	50.32	50.36	50.22	49.52(-2.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-51	-20	-33	-106	6.69	49%	0.02	-50.3	1.33%	0	-1.8	28	NAN
2	Jun_25_2008	51.21	52.51	51.44	50.82	50.58	50.58	50.8(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-36	-10	-12	-108	6.22	53%	0.04	-44.9	1.3%	0	-1.2	25	NAN
3	Jun_24_2008	51.19	52.62	51.52	51.1	50.85	50.5	50.28(-0.79%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-55	-60	-30	-129	5.6	58%	-0.02	-44.7	1.3%	0	-1.7	25	NAN
4	Jun_23_2008	51.2	52.78	51.73	51.6	51.35	50.59	50.68(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-65	-120	-45	-125	4.78	58%	-0.02	-40.8	1.35%	0	-1.6	32	NAN
5	Jun_20_2008	51.21	52.93	52	51.94	51.9	51.21	50.32(-3.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-69	-100	-52	-119	6.69	61%	-0.02	-41.3	1.36%	0	-2.1	29	NAN

6	Jun_19_2008	51.22	53.11	52.32	52.26	52.33	52.12	52.04(-0.31%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-35	-20	-13	-100	4.73	61%	0.04	-41.3	1.31%	0	-1	36	NAN
7	Jun_18_2008	51.2	53.16	52.62	52.14	52.28	52.59	52.2(-1.06%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-13	50	10	-81	4.84	64%	0.04	-47.4	1.36%	0	-0.9	43	NAN
8	Jun_17_2008	51.18	53.25	52.87	52	52.06	52.55	52.76(0.69%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	5	70	28	-64	2.37	67%	0.06	-47.4	1.4%	0	-0.5	51	NAN
9	Jun_16_2008	51.15	53.33	53.01	51.9	52.06	51.97	52.4(0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-12	10	8	-71	5.03	67%	0.06	-42.6	1.43%	0	-0.9	45	NAN
10	Jun_13_2008	51.12	53.43	53.19	52.11	51.85	51.57	51.92(1.01%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-30	-50	-20	-59	4.55	57%	0.06	-28.9	1.66%	0	-1.4	43	NAN

11	Jun_12_2008	51.09	53.55	53.42	52.4	52.32	51.73	51.4(-0.23%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-44	-80	-40	-55	6.54	57%	0.06	-18.7	1.66%	0	-2.2	37	NAN
12	Jun_11_2008	51.06	53.66	53.65	53.18	52.91	52.13	51.52(-1.45%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.9	-46	-120	-52	-28	7.62	60%	0.06	4.3	1.66%	0	-2.5	44	NAN
13	Jun_10_2008	51.03	53.74	53.82	53.86	53.65	52.91	52.28(-2.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.1	-34	-110	-43	-5	5.17	60%	0.04	23.6	1.69%	0	-1.9	42	NAN
14	Jun_9_2008	51.01	53.77	53.96	54.25	54.27	53.69	53.44(0.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-20	-70	-29	9	4.19	63%	0.06	35.6	1.66%	0	-0.5	44	NAN
15	Jun_6_2008	50.98	53.77	53.95	54.42	54.49	54.39	53.36(-3.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-11	-10	-19	13	7.11	63%	0.1	34	1.67%	0	-0.5	43	NAN

16	Jun_5_2008	50.93	53.74	54	54.58	54.61	54.85	55.32(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	24	30	21	33	4.81	68%	0.12	39	1.61%	0	2.1	56	NAN
17	Jun_4_2008	50.87	53.62	53.76	54.2	54.42	54.58	54.88(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	22	30	23	17	6.23	64%	0.1	28.8	1.61%	0	1.9	62	NAN
18	Jun_3_2008	50.82	53.56	53.76	53.79	54.03	54.37	54.24(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	13	60	15	6	3.77	64%	0.04	20.2	1.64%	0	1.1	62	NAN
19	Jun_2_2008	50.8	53.52	53.64	53.63	53.62	54.26	54.28(0.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	24	80	27	15	4.26	64%	0.08	14.5	1.64%	0	1.3	62	NAN
20	May_30_2008	50.76	53.48	53.64	53.43	53.33	53.69	54.16(1.35%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	24	40	26	19	6.08	64%	0.04	14.3	1.65%	0	1.2	63	NAN

21	May_29_2008	50.74	53.45	53.65	53.34	53.16	52.99	53.44(1.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	3	-30	0	11	6.54	64%	0.02	28.7	1.66%	0	-0	51	NAN
22	May_28_2008	50.73	53.43	53.64	53.25	53.28	52.98	52.84(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-13	-40	-18	1	6.75	64%	0.02	35.6	1.66%	0	-1.1	49	NAN
23	May_27_2008	50.72	53.43	53.65	53.46	53.42	53.33	53.44(0.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0	-11	-10	-16	4	4.8	64%	0.02	60.4	1.66%	0	0	47	NAN
24	May_23_2008	50.71	53.44	53.59	53.66	53.65	53.59	53.28(-0.82%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-4	-10	-8	10	4.24	66%	0.02	76.6	1.66%	0	-0.3	48	NAN
25	May_22_2008	50.7	53.4	53.52	53.9	53.93	53.52	53.72(1.44%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-5	-50	-11	12	3.77	66%		71.4	1.67%	0	0.5	52	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.