Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Dec. 24, 2007

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $53.0400 (-1.19%) ($52.7200 - $53.3200) on Mon. Dec. 24, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.29% (three month average)
RSI   39
Latest Price   $53.0400(-1.19%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -3.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.645% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.645% (StdDev 1.29%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.6%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $47.52(-10.41%)
Resistance Level   $55.04
5 Day Moving Average   $53.06(-0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.73(-1.28%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.04(-3.63%)
To recent high   -9.5%
To recent low   1.8%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 3.05% (three month std-dev: 1.29%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080124

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_24_2007	55.61	55.04	53.73	53.06	53	53.21	53.04(-1.19%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-33	20	8	-154	2.77	48%	-0.05	-18.7	1.29%	0	-1.2	39	NAN
2	Dec_21_2007	55.64	55.13	54.12	52.88	52.97	53.15	53.68(1.51%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-21	30	23	-153	7.05	48%	-0.05	-20.7	1.28%	0	-0.9	39	NAN
3	Dec_20_2007	55.67	55.19	54.43	52.75	52.75	53.15	52.88(0.38%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-58	10	-19	-174	3.15	46%	-0.09	-22.1	1.27%	0	-1.4	35	NAN
4	Dec_19_2007	55.72	55.23	54.89	53.22	52.95	52.79	52.68(-0.68%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-61	-40	-31	-150	4.31	47%	-0.09	-18.4	1.27%	0	-1.6	35	NAN
5	Dec_18_2007	55.77	55.34	55.31	53.95	53.53	52.7	53.04(1.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-72	-130	-55	-121	4.94	48%	-0.09	-7.1	1.28%	0	-1.5	38	NAN

6	Dec_17_2007	55.82	55.36	55.61	54.53	54.48	53.11	52.12(-1.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-105	-180	-102	-114	3.86	46%	-0.09	1.5	1.26%	0	-2.2	36	NAN
7	Dec_14_2007	55.87	55.47	56.07	55.54	55.47	54.35	53.04(-3.91%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.8	-91	-150	-103	-55	6.88	48%	-0.07	23.7	1.25%	0	-1.8	46	NAN
8	Dec_13_2007	55.91	55.55	56.43	56.33	56.33	55.84	55.2(-2.06%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-0.9	-40	-60	-59	17	4.32	52%	-0.07	42.6	1.15%	0	-0.3	58	NAN
9	Dec_12_2007	55.95	55.53	56.54	56.79	56.81	56.58	56.36(0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	10	-30	-16	86	4.95	55%	-0.04	51.3	1.12%	0	0.6	73	NAN
10	Dec_11_2007	55.97	55.44	56.51	56.88	56.93	56.81	55.92(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	19	-10	-11	110	4	56%	-0.05	48.1	1.12%	0	0.4	62	NAN

11	Dec_10_2007	56	55.33	56.48	56.85	56.97	57.05	57.16(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	47	20	14	147	2.04	58%	-0.02	39.6	1.09%	0	1.4	76	NAN
12	Dec_7_2007	56.01	55.15	56.23	56.69	56.63	57.06	57(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	50	17	150	2.85	58%	-0.04	26.7	1.09%	0	1.4	67	NAN
13	Dec_6_2007	56.03	55.01	55.99	56.54	56.47	56.9	57.52(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	74	50	45	159	3.46	58%	-0.02	16.5	1.09%	0	2	67	NAN
14	Dec_5_2007	56.04	54.88	55.58	56.27	56.32	56.2	56.8(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	-10	16	125	4.7	54%	-0.04	2.5	1.08%	0	1.8	60	NAN
15	Dec_4_2007	56.06	54.83	55.33	56.1	56.2	56.05	55.76(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10	-15	103	4.01	52%	-0.05	-5.3	1.08%	0	0.9	57	NAN

16	Dec_3_2007	56.09	54.83	55.06	56.04	56.17	56.43	56.36(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	40	24	111	3.18	52%	-0.05	-14.9	1.08%	0	1.5	66	NAN
17	Nov_30_2007	56.12	54.83	54.8	55.68	55.89	56.35	56.28(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	57	70	42	100	3.56	54%	-0.05	-24	1.11%	0	1.4	66	NAN
18	Nov_29_2007	56.15	54.81	54.59	55.34	55.46	55.91	56.16(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	61	60	52	86	4.55	55%	-0.04	-27.9	1.11%	0	1.2	59	NAN
19	Nov_28_2007	56.17	54.85	54.42	54.78	55	55.43	55.96(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	47	70	46	48	8.64	54%	-0.04	-32.7	1.12%	0	0.9	52	NAN
20	Nov_27_2007	56.19	54.89	54.26	54.45	54.42	55	55.44(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	70	43	15	5.53	54%	-0.07	-34.8	1.12%	0	0.4	44	NAN

21	Nov_26_2007	56.23	54.97	54.07	53.94	54.15	54.58	54.56(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	30	70	49	-29	4.64	52%	-0.07	-38.5	1.1%	0	-0.3	44	NAN
22	Nov_23_2007	56.27	55.06	53.98	53.8	53.76	53.84	54.56(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	10	10	-80	1.52	52%	-0.07	-37.4	1.11%	0	-0.4	39	NAN
23	Nov_21_2007	56.31	55.11	53.94	53.74	53.66	53.73	53.36(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	0	-14	-118	6.63	53%	-0.09	-43	1.08%	0	-1.3	32	NAN
24	Nov_20_2007	56.36	55.24	54.12	54.01	53.92	53.68	54.32(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-33	-40	-3	-122	6.28	54%	-0.09	-42.2	1.07%	0	-0.7	32	NAN
25	Nov_19_2007	56.41	55.33	54.29	54.06	54.09	53.6	52.92(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-69	-60	-41	-151	4.51	50%		-43.3	1.02%	0	-1.9	26	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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