Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 11, 2007

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $55.9200 (-2.17%) ($55.7200 - $57.2800) on Tue. Dec. 11, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $55.9200(-2.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    JNK(6%)    GLD(8%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -2.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $56.88(-1.69%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.51(-1.04%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.44(0.87%)
To recent high   -4.6%
To recent low   5.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.31% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.31%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -0.69%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -0.23%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20080111

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_11_2007	55.97	55.44	56.51	56.88	56.93	56.81	55.92(-2.17%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.8	19	-10	-11	110	4	56%	-0.05	48.1	1.12%	0	0.4	62	NAN
2	Dec_10_2007	56	55.33	56.48	56.85	56.97	57.05	57.16(0.28%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	47	20	14	147	2.04	58%	-0.02	39.6	1.09%	0	1.4	76	NAN
3	Dec_7_2007	56.01	55.15	56.23	56.69	56.63	57.06	57(-0.9%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	50	50	17	150	2.85	58%	-0.04	26.7	1.09%	0	1.4	67	NAN
4	Dec_6_2007	56.03	55.01	55.99	56.54	56.47	56.9	57.52(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	74	50	45	159	3.46	58%	-0.02	16.5	1.09%	0	2	67	NAN
5	Dec_5_2007	56.04	54.88	55.58	56.27	56.32	56.2	56.8(1.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	-10	16	125	4.7	54%	-0.04	2.5	1.08%	0	1.8	60	NAN

6	Dec_4_2007	56.06	54.83	55.33	56.1	56.2	56.05	55.76(-1.06%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	-10	-15	103	4.01	52%	-0.05	-5.3	1.08%	0	0.9	57	NAN
7	Dec_3_2007	56.09	54.83	55.06	56.04	56.17	56.43	56.36(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	46	40	24	111	3.18	52%	-0.05	-14.9	1.08%	0	1.5	66	NAN
8	Nov_30_2007	56.12	54.83	54.8	55.68	55.89	56.35	56.28(0.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	57	70	42	100	3.56	54%	-0.05	-24	1.11%	0	1.4	66	NAN
9	Nov_29_2007	56.15	54.81	54.59	55.34	55.46	55.91	56.16(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	61	60	52	86	4.55	55%	-0.04	-27.9	1.11%	0	1.2	59	NAN
10	Nov_28_2007	56.17	54.85	54.42	54.78	55	55.43	55.96(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	47	70	46	48	8.64	54%	-0.04	-32.7	1.12%	0	0.9	52	NAN

11	Nov_27_2007	56.19	54.89	54.26	54.45	54.42	55	55.44(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	70	43	15	5.53	54%	-0.07	-34.8	1.12%	0	0.4	44	NAN
12	Nov_26_2007	56.23	54.97	54.07	53.94	54.15	54.58	54.56(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	30	70	49	-29	4.64	52%	-0.07	-38.5	1.1%	0	-0.3	44	NAN
13	Nov_23_2007	56.27	55.06	53.98	53.8	53.76	53.84	54.56(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	10	10	-80	1.52	52%	-0.07	-37.4	1.11%	0	-0.4	39	NAN
14	Nov_21_2007	56.31	55.11	53.94	53.74	53.66	53.73	53.36(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	0	-14	-118	6.63	53%	-0.09	-43	1.08%	0	-1.3	32	NAN
15	Nov_20_2007	56.36	55.24	54.12	54.01	53.92	53.68	54.32(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-33	-40	-3	-122	6.28	54%	-0.09	-42.2	1.07%	0	-0.7	32	NAN

16	Nov_19_2007	56.41	55.33	54.29	54.06	54.09	53.6	52.92(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-69	-60	-41	-151	4.51	50%	-0.09	-43.3	1.02%	0	-1.9	26	NAN
17	Nov_16_2007	56.46	55.49	54.56	54.2	54.36	54.17	53.84(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-50	-20	-16	-152	3.68	53%	-0.07	-50.2	1.01%	0	-1.4	28	NAN
18	Nov_15_2007	56.5	55.59	54.82	54.15	54.27	54.58	54.24(-0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-33	50	6	-150	4.55	50%	-0.05	-64	1%	0	-1.2	36	NAN
19	Nov_14_2007	56.53	55.71	55.06	54.17	54.09	54.56	54.72(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	60	28	-129	6.06	50%	-0.05	-71.9	1.02%	0	-0.9	46	NAN
20	Nov_13_2007	56.56	55.8	55.31	54.26	54.03	53.96	54.56(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-33	-20	-3	-124	3.69	50%	-0.05	-78.1	1.02%	0	-1.2	44	NAN

21	Nov_12_2007	56.59	55.9	55.56	54.6	54.3	53.62	53.64(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-74	-100	-58	-122	4.41	48%	-0.07	-77.5	0.99%	0	-2.1	37	NAN
22	Nov_9_2007	56.63	56.09	55.93	54.99	54.93	54.1	53.6(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-84	-110	-80	-94	8.69	45%	-0.09	-75.3	1.01%	0	-2.4	38	NAN
23	Nov_8_2007	56.68	56.32	56.25	55.58	55.44	54.98	54.32(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-64	-70	-70	-47	7.93	47%	-0.07	-69.9	1.01%	0	-2.2	45	NAN
24	Nov_7_2007	56.72	56.51	56.41	56.06	55.91	55.77	55.2(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-29	-30	-34	-15	4.26	49%	-0.05	-59.3	1%	0	-1.5	42	NAN
25	Nov_6_2007	56.75	56.65	56.49	56.51	56.3	55.89	56.24(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-15	-60	-23	11	3.82	54%		-45.3	0.98%	0	-0.5	49	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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