Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 29, 2007

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $56.1600 (0.36%) ($56.0400 - $56.6000) on Thu. Nov. 29, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.11% (three month average)
RSI   59
Latest Price   $56.1600(0.36%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.555% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.555% (StdDev 1.11%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.34(1.48%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.59(2.88%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.81(2.46%)
To recent high   -4.2%
To recent low   6.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.97% (three month std-dev: 1.11%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.3%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -3.56%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -3.26%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071229

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_29_2007	56.15	54.81	54.59	55.34	55.46	55.91	56.16(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	61	60	52	86	4.55	55%	-0.04	-27.9	1.11%	0	1.2	59	0
2	Nov_28_2007	56.17	54.85	54.42	54.78	55	55.43	55.96(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	47	70	46	48	8.64	54%	-0.04	-32.7	1.12%	0	0.9	52	0
3	Nov_27_2007	56.19	54.89	54.26	54.45	54.42	55	55.44(1.61%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	36	70	43	15	5.53	54%	-0.07	-34.8	1.12%	0	0.4	44	0
4	Nov_26_2007	56.23	54.97	54.07	53.94	54.15	54.58	54.56(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	30	70	49	-29	4.64	52%	-0.07	-38.5	1.1%	0	-0.3	44	0
5	Nov_23_2007	56.27	55.06	53.98	53.8	53.76	53.84	54.56(2.25%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-13	10	10	-80	1.52	52%	-0.07	-37.4	1.11%	0	-0.4	39	0

6	Nov_21_2007	56.31	55.11	53.94	53.74	53.66	53.73	53.36(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-40	0	-14	-118	6.63	53%	-0.09	-43	1.08%	0	-1.3	32	0
7	Nov_20_2007	56.36	55.24	54.12	54.01	53.92	53.68	54.32(2.65%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-33	-40	-3	-122	6.28	54%	-0.09	-42.2	1.07%	0	-0.7	32	0
8	Nov_19_2007	56.41	55.33	54.29	54.06	54.09	53.6	52.92(-1.71%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-69	-60	-41	-151	4.51	50%	-0.09	-43.3	1.02%	0	-1.9	26	0
9	Nov_16_2007	56.46	55.49	54.56	54.2	54.36	54.17	53.84(-0.74%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-50	-20	-16	-152	3.68	53%	-0.07	-50.2	1.01%	0	-1.4	28	0
10	Nov_15_2007	56.5	55.59	54.82	54.15	54.27	54.58	54.24(-0.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-33	50	6	-150	4.55	50%	-0.05	-64	1%	0	-1.2	36	0

11	Nov_14_2007	56.53	55.71	55.06	54.17	54.09	54.56	54.72(0.29%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-11	60	28	-129	6.06	50%	-0.05	-71.9	1.02%	0	-0.9	46	0
12	Nov_13_2007	56.56	55.8	55.31	54.26	54.03	53.96	54.56(1.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.3	-33	-20	-3	-124	3.69	50%	-0.05	-78.1	1.02%	0	-1.2	44	0
13	Nov_12_2007	56.59	55.9	55.56	54.6	54.3	53.62	53.64(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-74	-100	-58	-122	4.41	48%	-0.07	-77.5	0.99%	0	-2.1	37	0
14	Nov_9_2007	56.63	56.09	55.93	54.99	54.93	54.1	53.6(-1.33%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-84	-110	-80	-94	8.69	45%	-0.09	-75.3	1.01%	0	-2.4	38	0
15	Nov_8_2007	56.68	56.32	56.25	55.58	55.44	54.98	54.32(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-64	-70	-70	-47	7.93	47%	-0.07	-69.9	1.01%	0	-2.2	45	0

16	Nov_7_2007	56.72	56.51	56.41	56.06	55.91	55.77	55.2(-1.85%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-29	-30	-34	-15	4.26	49%	-0.05	-59.3	1%	0	-1.5	42	0
17	Nov_6_2007	56.75	56.65	56.49	56.51	56.3	55.89	56.24(1.15%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-15	-60	-23	11	3.82	54%	-0.04	-45.3	0.98%	0	-0.5	49	0
18	Nov_5_2007	56.77	56.74	56.48	56.67	56.59	56.05	55.6(-1.7%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-42	-70	-57	4	2.7	52%	-0.05	-36.5	0.98%	0	-1.3	46	0
19	Nov_2_2007	56.8	56.87	56.52	56.67	56.95	56.7	56.56(-0.28%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-15	-30	-27	23	4.12	53%	-0.04	-24.4	0.98%	0	-0.3	43	0
20	Nov_1_2007	56.82	56.96	56.43	57.02	57.13	57.13	56.72(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	10	8	13	6.68	51%	-0.02	-18.8	0.98%	0	-0.3	39	0

21	Oct_31_2007	56.83	57.02	56.42	56.79	57.03	57.2	57.44(0.7%)	RB	SmallLong	20	0.7	20	30	29	-6	3.37	53%	0	-22.6	0.97%	0	0.4	43	0
22	Oct_30_2007	56.83	57.03	56.31	56.46	56.58	57.14	57.04(-0.49%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	14	80	32	-41	2.55	55%	-0.04	-24.1	0.97%	0	0	40	0
23	Oct_29_2007	56.85	57.07	56.23	56.26	56.24	56.86	57.32(1.34%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.1	32	80	62	-58	3.52	55%	-0.02	-19.8	0.99%	0	0.3	41	0
24	Oct_26_2007	56.86	57.1	56.21	55.98	55.93	56.01	56.56(1.73%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-1	10	32	-98	4.61	50%	-0.04	-16.2	0.98%	0	-0.5	32	0
25	Oct_25_2007	56.88	57.14	56.34	55.78	55.76	55.62	55.6(-0.36%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-52	-20	-23	-138	4.58	48%		-11.6	0.98%	0	-1.6	18	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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