Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Mon. Oct. 15, 2007

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $57.4000 (-1.17%) ($57.2400 - $57.6800) on Mon. Oct. 15, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.93% (three month average)
RSI   72
Latest Price   $57.4000(-1.17%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.465% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    PCY(-3%)    GLD(8%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.465% (StdDev 0.93%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $57.94(-0.93%)
10 Day Moving Average   $58.01(-1.05%)
20 Day Moving Average   $57.07(0.58%)
To recent high   -2.7%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.51% (three month std-dev: 0.93%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.38%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.81%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.1%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071115

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_15_2007	57.06	57.07	58.01	57.94	57.96	57.79	57.4(-1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-17	-20	-35	38	3.54	54%	0	61.8	0.93%	0	0.2	72	NAN
2	Oct_12_2007	57.06	56.91	58.08	58.11	58.14	58.21	58.08(0%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	22	10	-1	92	3.39	57%	0.02	61.8	0.92%	0	0.8	83	NAN
3	Oct_11_2007	57.05	56.73	58.01	58.22	58.17	58.14	58.08(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	65	-0.1	36	-10	5	127	7.35	57%	0.02	60.9	0.92%	0	0.9	84	NAN
4	Oct_10_2007	57.04	56.54	57.95	58.17	58.2	58.06	58(-0.21%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	33	-20	-6	148	2.84	57%	0	58.4	0.92%	0	0.9	84	NAN
5	Oct_9_2007	57.04	56.37	57.78	58.14	58.19	58.2	58.12(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0	38	0	-3	162	3.74	57%	0.02	58.2	0.92%	0	1.1	82	NAN

6	Oct_8_2007	57.03	56.19	57.55	58.09	58.12	58.34	58.28(-0.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	55	30	13	180	2.24	57%	0.02	54.1	0.92%	0	1.3	86	NAN
7	Oct_5_2007	57.02	55.99	57.26	58.03	58.05	58.18	58.6(1.31%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.4	74	20	31	202	4.72	57%	0.04	49.4	0.92%	0	1.7	92	NAN
8	Oct_4_2007	57	55.78	56.92	57.78	57.86	57.9	57.84(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	53	10	7	192	1.79	55%	0	47.8	0.91%	0	1.5	85	NAN
9	Oct_3_2007	57	55.62	56.64	57.7	57.71	57.92	57.88(0.07%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.1	70	30	24	207	4.01	55%	0.02	47.5	0.91%	0	1.7	86	NAN
10	Oct_2_2007	56.99	55.46	56.37	57.34	57.56	57.82	57.84(-0.28%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	88	40	49	206	5.05	57%	-0.02	43.6	0.91%	0	2	78	NAN

11	Oct_1_2007	57	55.35	56.04	56.9	57.1	57.51	58(1.12%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1	79	60	47	173	5.14	57%	0	38.8	0.94%	0	2.4	78	NAN
12	Sep_28_2007	57	55.25	55.64	56.37	56.58	57.31	57.36(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	1	86	100	65	147	5.02	57%	0	32	0.94%	0	2.2	78	NAN
13	Sep_27_2007	57	55.12	55.33	55.92	56.08	56.7	57.4(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	91	90	80	123	6.63	57%	-0.02	18.8	0.94%	0	2.8	71	NAN
14	Sep_26_2007	57.01	55.01	54.99	55.44	55.54	55.86	56.12(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	47	50	38	72	5.02	54%	-0.04	5.2	0.89%	0	1.8	60	NAN
15	Sep_25_2007	57.03	54.94	54.82	55.26	55.29	55.47	55.64(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	20	25	52	5.27	54%	-0.05	0	0.89%	0	1.2	57	NAN

16	Sep_24_2007	57.06	54.93	54.72	55.05	55.24	55.21	55.32(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	10	26	25	3.83	54%	-0.04	2.9	0.89%	0	0.7	41	NAN
17	Sep_21_2007	57.08	54.95	54.6	54.79	54.94	55.12	55.12(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	30	7	-24	4.94	52%	-0.04	1.8	0.89%	0	0.3	37	NAN
18	Sep_20_2007	57.1	54.95	54.55	54.63	54.69	55.26	55(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	25	80	42	-27	4.59	51%	-0.05	0.9	0.89%	0	0	49	NAN
19	Sep_19_2007	57.13	54.97	54.53	54.46	54.49	54.75	55.2(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	27	40	50	-41	4.3	51%	-0.03	-3.6	0.9%	0	0.4	47	NAN
20	Sep_18_2007	57.15	54.94	54.49	54.34	54.19	54.11	54.6(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-28	-20	-11	-77	7.21	50%	-0.05	-16.8	0.88%	0	-0.5	48	NAN

21	Sep_17_2007	57.18	54.91	54.61	54.36	54.28	54.23	54.04(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-10	-7	-71	4.24	48%	-0.05	-27.9	0.87%	0	-1.3	40	NAN
22	Sep_14_2007	57.21	54.93	54.82	54.38	54.41	54.26	54.32(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-20	-6	-65	4.54	49%	-0.07	-37.3	0.88%	0	-0.9	38	NAN
23	Sep_13_2007	57.25	54.96	54.9	54.45	54.38	54.34	54.16(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10	-22	-74	6.07	49%	-0.07	-47	0.88%	0	-1.3	40	NAN
24	Sep_12_2007	57.29	54.99	55.04	54.6	54.47	54.56	54.56(-0.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	0	1	-53	5.8	48%	-0.05	-62.2	0.88%	0	-0.7	46	NAN
25	Sep_11_2007	57.32	55.05	55.08	54.66	54.59	54.43	54.72(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	-20	-10	-48	4.02	48%		-68.1	0.89%	0	-0.5	53	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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