Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Sep. 27, 2007

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $57.4000 (2.28%) ($57.0400 - $57.4800) on Thu. Sep. 27, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $57.4000(2.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.3%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.92(2.65%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.33(3.74%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.12(4.14%)
To recent high   -2.9%
To recent low   6.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.49% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 2 Average positive next day return: 0.18%(50%) Average negative next day return: -1.57%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next three day return: 1.42%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -0.93%(50%) Sample size 2 Average positive next weekly return: 0.97%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20071027

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Sep_27_2007	57	55.12	55.33	55.92	56.08	56.7	57.4(2.28%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.8	91	90	80	123	6.63	57%	-0.02	18.8	0.94%	0	2.8	71	0
2	Sep_26_2007	57.01	55.01	54.99	55.44	55.54	55.86	56.12(0.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	47	50	38	72	5.02	54%	-0.04	5.2	0.89%	0	1.8	60	0
3	Sep_25_2007	57.03	54.94	54.82	55.26	55.29	55.47	55.64(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	20	25	52	5.27	54%	-0.05	0	0.89%	0	1.2	57	0
4	Sep_24_2007	57.06	54.93	54.72	55.05	55.24	55.21	55.32(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	26	10	26	25	3.83	54%	-0.04	2.9	0.89%	0	0.7	41	0
5	Sep_21_2007	57.08	54.95	54.6	54.79	54.94	55.12	55.12(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-1	30	7	-24	4.94	52%	-0.04	1.8	0.89%	0	0.3	37	0

6	Sep_20_2007	57.1	54.95	54.55	54.63	54.69	55.26	55(-0.36%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	25	80	42	-27	4.59	51%	-0.05	0.9	0.89%	0	0	49	0
7	Sep_19_2007	57.13	54.97	54.53	54.46	54.49	54.75	55.2(1.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.2	27	40	50	-41	4.3	51%	-0.03	-3.6	0.9%	0	0.4	47	0
8	Sep_18_2007	57.15	54.94	54.49	54.34	54.19	54.11	54.6(1.04%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-28	-20	-11	-77	7.21	50%	-0.05	-16.8	0.88%	0	-0.5	48	0
9	Sep_17_2007	57.18	54.91	54.61	54.36	54.28	54.23	54.04(-0.52%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-23	-10	-7	-71	4.24	48%	-0.05	-27.9	0.87%	0	-1.3	40	0
10	Sep_14_2007	57.21	54.93	54.82	54.38	54.41	54.26	54.32(0.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-21	-20	-6	-65	4.54	49%	-0.07	-37.3	0.88%	0	-0.9	38	0

11	Sep_13_2007	57.25	54.96	54.9	54.45	54.38	54.34	54.16(-0.73%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-35	-10	-22	-74	6.07	49%	-0.07	-47	0.88%	0	-1.3	40	0
12	Sep_12_2007	57.29	54.99	55.04	54.6	54.47	54.56	54.56(-0.29%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.1	-13	0	1	-53	5.8	48%	-0.05	-62.2	0.88%	0	-0.7	46	0
13	Sep_11_2007	57.32	55.05	55.08	54.66	54.59	54.43	54.72(1.03%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-20	-20	-10	-48	4.02	48%	-0.05	-68.1	0.89%	0	-0.5	53	0
14	Sep_10_2007	57.35	55.1	55.15	54.91	54.65	54.39	54.16(-0.88%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-47	-50	-52	-32	3.74	46%	-0.09	-66.7	0.88%	0	-1.5	56	0
15	Sep_7_2007	57.4	55.17	55.33	55.34	55.06	54.74	54.64(-0.51%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-15	-60	-28	24	3.49	47%	-0.07	-55	0.88%	0	-0.9	53	0

16	Sep_6_2007	57.44	55.26	55.43	55.42	55.49	54.91	54.92(0.07%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-14	-70	-32	39	2.69	47%	-0.05	-50.8	0.87%	0	-0.5	52	0
17	Sep_5_2007	57.47	55.38	55.47	55.53	55.5	55.38	54.88(-1.93%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-20	-20	-43	48	3.67	47%	-0.07	-38.2	0.88%	0	-0.6	52	0
18	Sep_4_2007	57.51	55.47	55.45	55.54	55.61	56.07	55.96(-0.57%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	60	38	72	5.13	50%	-0.07	-39.9	0.84%	0	0.6	51	0
19	Aug_31_2007	57.55	55.52	55.24	55.43	55.42	55.62	56.28(2.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	39	20	37	43	3.7	52%	-0.03	-46.3	0.84%	0	0.8	52	0
20	Aug_30_2007	57.57	55.51	55.05	55.35	55.26	55.15	55.08(-0.65%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-12	-20	-16	2	4.2	48%	-0.05	-50.9	0.8%	0	-0.5	45	0

21	Aug_29_2007	57.6	55.6	55.02	55.46	55.43	55.23	55.44(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-30	-11	-9	5.24	50%	-0.07	-48.3	0.8%	0	-0.2	40	0
22	Aug_28_2007	57.64	55.68	54.94	55.41	55.54	55.37	54.92(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10	-12	-46	4.11	48%	-0.07	-52.1	0.8%	0	-0.7	31	0
23	Aug_27_2007	57.68	55.82	55	55.32	55.52	55.64	55.44(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	30	21	-57	3.91	50%	-0.03	-54.3	0.8%	0	-0.3	38	0
24	Aug_24_2007	57.7	55.93	55.02	54.99	55.22	55.72	55.88(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	14	80	48	-87	3.9	50%	-0.05	-65.1	0.8%	0	-0	39	0
25	Aug_23_2007	57.73	55.99	54.99	54.7	54.84	55.4	55.6(0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	18	80	61	-113	5.3	50%		-74.8	0.8%	0	-0.3	45	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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