Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 29, 2007

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $55.4400 (0.95%) ($55.0000 - $55.6800) on Wed. Aug. 29, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.8% (three month average)
RSI   40
Latest Price   $55.4400(0.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(78%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.4% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(8%)    LQD(20%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.4% (StdDev 0.8%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

Resistance Level   $55.6
5 Day Moving Average   $55.46(-0.04%)
10 Day Moving Average   $55.02(0.76%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.6(-0.29%)
To recent high   -6.2%
To recent low   3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.8% (three month std-dev: 0.8%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.05%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -1.86%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1.37%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_29_2007	57.6	55.6	55.02	55.46	55.43	55.23	55.44(0.95%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-11	-30	-11	-9	5.24	50%	-0.07	-48.3	0.8%	0	-0.2	40	NAN
2	Aug_28_2007	57.64	55.68	54.94	55.41	55.54	55.37	54.92(-0.94%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-21	-10	-12	-46	4.11	48%	-0.07	-52.1	0.8%	0	-0.7	31	NAN
3	Aug_27_2007	57.68	55.82	55	55.32	55.52	55.64	55.44(-0.79%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	2	30	21	-57	3.91	50%	-0.03	-54.3	0.8%	0	-0.3	38	NAN
4	Aug_24_2007	57.7	55.93	55.02	54.99	55.22	55.72	55.88(0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	14	80	48	-87	3.9	50%	-0.05	-65.1	0.8%	0	-0	39	NAN
5	Aug_23_2007	57.73	55.99	54.99	54.7	54.84	55.4	55.6(0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	18	80	61	-113	5.3	50%	-0.05	-74.8	0.8%	0	-0.3	45	NAN

6	Aug_22_2007	57.76	56.08	55.05	54.54	54.53	54.73	55.2(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-7	30	39	-145	6.01	52%	-0.05	-76.6	0.79%	0	-0.7	38	NAN
7	Aug_21_2007	57.79	56.25	55.25	54.43	54.39	54.28	54.48(1.26%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-59	-20	-19	-179	9.62	49%	-0.07	-74.9	0.78%	0	-1.3	31	NAN
8	Aug_20_2007	57.83	56.45	55.49	54.66	54.51	54.33	53.8(-1.1%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.6	-83	-30	-47	-190	9.94	47%	-0.09	-71	0.76%	0	-1.9	23	NAN
9	Aug_17_2007	57.88	56.71	55.82	55.05	54.92	54.51	54.4(-0.73%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.5	-72	-60	-38	-174	10.68	47%	-0.07	-69.9	0.75%	0	-1.8	23	NAN
10	Aug_16_2007	57.92	56.91	56.01	55.3	55.26	54.7	54.8(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-95	-70	-68	-176	15.92	47%	-0.07	-71.3	0.76%	0	-1.7	36	NAN

11	Aug_15_2007	57.96	57.11	56.24	55.64	55.53	55.32	54.68(-1.65%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-98	-30	-76	-165	9.17	46%	-0.07	-69.7	0.76%	0	-2.1	32	NAN
12	Aug_14_2007	58	57.3	56.51	56.18	55.96	55.83	55.6(-0.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-48	-30	-23	-124	8.45	49%	-0.07	-63.7	0.74%	0	-1.6	31	NAN
13	Aug_13_2007	58.04	57.46	56.72	56.45	56.34	55.75	55.76(0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-65	-80	-45	-125	5.17	49%	-0.07	-59.2	0.74%	0	-1.7	32	NAN
14	Aug_10_2007	58.08	57.63	56.94	56.7	56.58	56.09	55.68(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-89	-70	-76	-129	6.85	46%	-0.07	-52.4	0.74%	0	-2	30	NAN
15	Aug_9_2007	58.12	57.8	57.09	56.81	56.92	56.93	56.48(-1.6%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-39	10	-13	-115	7.12	51%	-0.05	-52	0.74%	0	-1.5	37	NAN

16	Aug_8_2007	58.15	57.92	57.21	56.91	56.88	57.08	57.4(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-16	20	16	-111	8.14	55%	-0.02	-52.1	0.74%	0	-0.6	40	NAN
17	Aug_7_2007	58.16	57.98	57.31	56.89	56.81	56.9	56.92(-0.21%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-26	10	5	-119	6.55	53%	-0.03	-56.7	0.73%	0	-1.3	39	NAN
18	Aug_6_2007	58.18	58.06	57.48	57.05	56.86	56.69	57.04(1.49%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-47	-30	-22	-121	4.38	53%	0	-58.2	0.73%	0	-1.3	38	NAN
19	Aug_3_2007	58.18	58.14	57.64	57.24	57.12	56.72	56.2(-1.4%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.4	-66	-60	-47	-123	8.04	50%	-0.03	-51.2	0.71%	0	-2.6	28	NAN
20	Aug_2_2007	58.2	58.26	57.88	57.41	57.51	57.03	57(-0.49%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-64	-50	-45	-122	6.29	53%	0	-47.6	0.69%	0	-2.1	31	NAN

21	Aug_1_2007	58.2	58.36	58.05	57.53	57.58	57.52	57.28(-0.76%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-72	-0	-56	-121	10.27	53%	-0.02	-38.3	0.69%	0	-2	36	NAN
22	Jul_31_2007	58.21	58.44	58.17	57.8	57.76	57.99	57.72(-0.48%)	DT	HoldShort	-50	-0.2	-13	30	8	-75	6.75	55%	-0.03	-14	0.69%	0	-1.4	44	NAN
23	Jul_30_2007	58.23	58.51	58.27	57.98	57.94	57.65	58(1.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0	-22	-40	-7	-66	12.06	55%	-0.02	10.7	0.68%	0	-1	46	NAN
24	Jul_27_2007	58.24	58.52	58.36	58.14	58.12	57.53	57.04(-0.97%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2.2	-83	-70	-84	-80	10.46	51%	-0.02	22.6	0.66%	0	-3	35	NAN
25	Jul_26_2007	58.25	58.56	58.58	58.42	58.49	58.23	57.6(-1.77%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-2	-52	-30	-57	-38	6.47	54%		37.5	0.65%	0	-2.3	40	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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