Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Sun. Jan. 14, 2007

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $56.2000 (1.3%) ($55.8400 - $56.4000) on Sun. Jan. 14, 2007.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.9% (three month average)
RSI   53
Latest Price   $56.2000(1.3%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -0.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.45% in a week (0% probabilities).
(0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)    (0%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.45% (StdDev 0.9%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.5%

Resistance Level   $56.37
5 Day Moving Average   $56.06(0.25%)
10 Day Moving Average   $56.38(-0.32%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.37(-0.3%)
To recent high   -2.1%
To recent low   7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 0.8% (three month std-dev: 0.9%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.36%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0.28%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 1%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jan_12_2007	54.99	56.37	56.38	56.06	55.97	55.78	56.2(1.3%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	3	-30	11	-20	2.91	57%	0.02	-16.3	0.9%	0	-0.4	53	NAN
2	Jan_11_2007	54.98	56.38	56.43	56	56	55.6	55.48(-0.5%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-51	-50	-53	-43	3.86	54%	0	-16.3	0.89%	0	-2	47	NAN
3	Jan_10_2007	54.98	56.42	56.54	56.38	56.19	56.16	55.76(-1.48%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-27	-10	-33	-7	3.89	54%	0	11.3	0.9%	0	-1.7	47	NAN
4	Jan_9_2007	54.98	56.45	56.62	56.59	56.52	56.41	56.6(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	10	-20	6	22	3.72	58%	0.02	39.1	0.88%	0	0.4	50	NAN
5	Jan_8_2007	54.97	56.44	56.6	56.64	56.59	56.22	56.24(0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-23	-50	-33	7	2.54	58%	0	56.1	0.89%	0	-0.5	46	NAN

6	Jan_5_2007	54.97	56.45	56.59	56.74	56.75	56.64	55.92(-2.58%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-2.2	-18	-10	-29	16	4.62	55%	0	84.8	0.9%	0	-1.4	51	NAN
7	Jan_4_2007	54.97	56.46	56.61	56.9	56.89	56.96	57.4(1.06%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	24	10	17	44	3.77	61%	0.04	133.9	0.84%	0	2.7	66	NAN
8	Jan_3_2007	54.95	56.38	56.49	56.72	56.8	56.85	56.8(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	13	10	8	28	5.1	60%	0.05	217.4	0.84%	0	1.6	60	NAN
9	Dec_29_2006	54.92	56.31	56.46	56.66	56.7	56.82	56.84(0.14%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	17	20	12	31	1.88	60%	0.05	191.9	0.84%	0	1.5	62	NAN
10	Dec_28_2006	54.89	56.23	56.43	56.56	56.58	56.76	56.76(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	24	20	21	31	2.22	60%	0.05	192.8	0.84%	0	1.4	55	NAN

11	Dec_27_2006	54.86	56.13	56.36	56.41	56.48	56.58	56.72(0.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	21	20	22	17	2.32	62%	0.05	166.7	0.84%	0	1.2	55	NAN
12	Dec_26_2006	54.83	55.99	56.31	56.26	56.34	56.41	56.48(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	10	6	4	1.41	62%	0.07	119.2	0.86%	0	0.7	59	NAN
13	Dec_22_2006	54.79	55.82	56.29	56.22	56.24	56.39	56.52(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	6	20	6	4	2.2	59%	0.04	69.6	0.86%	0	0.6	60	NAN
14	Dec_21_2006	54.77	55.65	56.25	56.23	56.25	56.28	56.32(0.57%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	7	0	5	14	2.91	59%	0.04	64.7	0.88%	0	0.6	67	NAN
15	Dec_20_2006	54.75	55.49	56.26	56.29	56.35	56.09	56(0%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-3	-30	-12	24	3.06	59%	0.05	55.9	0.88%	0	0.4	65	NAN

16	Dec_19_2006	54.72	55.33	56.29	56.3	56.46	56.23	56(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-9	-20	-25	38	4.93	59%	0.02	43.9	0.88%	0	0.5	71	NAN
17	Dec_18_2006	54.71	55.17	56.3	56.3	56.48	56.62	56.24(-0.64%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	19	20	-1	79	5.66	59%	0.04	40.1	0.88%	0	0.7	82	NAN
18	Dec_15_2006	54.69	55.04	56.28	56.36	56.41	56.68	56.6(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.2	53	40	28	128	3.57	59%	0.07	40.1	0.88%	0	1	91	NAN
19	Dec_14_2006	54.65	54.91	56.15	56.27	56.25	56.35	56.6(1%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.2	49	10	16	148	2.79	59%	0.07	40.7	0.88%	0	1.1	90	NAN
20	Dec_13_2006	54.61	54.8	56.02	56.23	56.18	56.14	56.04(-0.5%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	37	-10	-7	167	2.58	57%	0.07	42.1	0.87%	0	0.9	84	NAN

21	Dec_12_2006	54.57	54.73	55.9	56.3	56.28	56.16	56.32(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	49	-20	-2	201	4.11	57%	0.07	43.7	0.88%	0	1.1	90	NAN
22	Dec_11_2006	54.53	54.57	55.65	56.23	56.29	56.23	56.24(0.14%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0	49	-0	-5	212	4.42	53%	0.11	36.7	0.89%	0	1.2	90	NAN
23	Dec_8_2006	54.47	54.44	55.33	56.18	56.22	56.4	56.16(-0.43%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	62	20	14	207	2.41	53%	0.09	33.6	0.91%	0	1.3	70	NAN
24	Dec_7_2006	54.42	54.32	55.01	56.01	56.08	56.35	56.4(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	77	40	37	195	4.43	53%	0.09	27.4	0.91%	0	1.7	66	NAN
25	Dec_6_2006	54.37	54.21	54.68	55.78	55.75	56.04	56.36(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	67	30	34	166	3.35	53%		22	0.91%	0	1.9	60	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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