Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Nov. 30, 2006

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $55.2400 (0.95%) ($55.0000 - $55.4400) on Thu. Nov. 30, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.94% (three month average)
RSI   57
Latest Price   $55.2400(0.95%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -0.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(73%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.47% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.47% (StdDev 0.94%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.1%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.86(2.56%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.54(3.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $53.98(2.33%)
To recent high   -1.9%
To recent low   5.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.7% (three month std-dev: 0.94%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.8%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 1.23%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.19%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061230

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_30_2006	54.18	53.98	53.54	53.86	54.06	54.88	55.24(0.95%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	70	120	83	29	4.46	51%	0.06	-41.8	0.94%	0	1.4	57	0
2	Nov_29_2006	54.15	53.95	53.44	53.42	53.48	54	54.72(1.94%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.4	51	70	70	-5	4.86	49%	0	-61.1	0.94%	0	0.9	49	0
3	Nov_28_2006	54.15	53.97	53.42	52.98	53.11	53.24	53.68(1.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	12	20	34	-54	4.2	44%	-0.04	-75	0.91%	0	-0.3	39	0
4	Nov_27_2006	54.17	54.05	53.37	52.75	52.84	52.96	52.8(-0.08%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-31	20	-4	-111	3.93	39%	-0.02	-81	0.89%	0	-1.3	32	0
5	Nov_24_2006	54.18	54.19	53.47	52.92	52.7	52.98	52.84(-0.38%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	20	-2	-113	3.85	39%	0	-74	0.89%	0	-1.4	36	0

6	Nov_22_2006	54.18	54.36	53.57	53.18	52.84	52.73	53.04(0.91%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-30	-30	-3	-112	3.55	39%	-0.04	-58.5	0.89%	0	-1.3	35	0
7	Nov_21_2006	54.2	54.51	53.72	53.48	53.08	52.41	52.56(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-82	-110	-67	-125	4.04	36%	-0.06	-49.2	0.88%	0	-1.9	32	0
8	Nov_20_2006	54.23	54.68	53.98	53.92	53.59	52.96	52.52(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-76	-100	-69	-98	6.11	36%	-0.04	-36.8	0.89%	0	-2.3	31	0
9	Nov_17_2006	54.25	54.84	54.25	54.06	54.12	53.76	53.64(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-40	-27	-78	6.8	41%	0	-35.8	0.85%	0	-1.5	35	0
10	Nov_16_2006	54.25	54.93	54.37	54.08	54.09	54.22	54.12(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	20	-12	-81	4.44	43%	0.04	-34.8	0.85%	0	-1.1	35	0

11	Nov_15_2006	54.23	54.98	54.47	54.08	54.04	54.49	54.56(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	60	35	-81	4.69	51%	0.06	-35.3	0.85%	0	-0.6	33	0
12	Nov_14_2006	54.2	55.02	54.51	54.02	53.93	53.96	54.76(2.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-10	-0	19	-95	4.73	51%	0.06	-30.1	0.9%	0	-0.4	39	0
13	Nov_13_2006	54.17	55.03	54.55	54.09	53.9	53.59	53.2(-1.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-75	-50	-54	-138	4.06	41%	0.02	-27.1	0.82%	0	-2.5	23	0
14	Nov_10_2006	54.16	55.14	54.77	54.49	54.36	53.9	53.76(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-58	-70	-40	-110	4	44%	0.04	-7.2	0.82%	0	-2.3	27	0
15	Nov_9_2006	54.14	55.19	54.97	54.7	54.67	54.21	53.84(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-67	-60	-57	-96	6.88	44%	0.04	1	0.83%	0	-2.5	39	0

16	Nov_8_2006	54.12	55.25	55.22	54.96	54.91	54.83	54.52(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-36	-10	-29	-55	4.07	49%	0.06	10.1	0.82%	0	-1.5	44	0
17	Nov_7_2006	54.09	55.24	55.36	55.06	55.07	55.13	55.12(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	10	6	-26	3.56	45%	0.07	8	0.81%	0	-0.3	50	0
18	Nov_6_2006	54.05	55.22	55.43	55.08	55.09	55	55.2(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-10	-3	-17	6.42	45%	0.06	10.6	0.86%	0	-0	56	0
19	Nov_3_2006	54.02	55.22	55.48	55.11	55.12	55.01	54.84(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10	-21	-15	1.97	45%	0.06	9.6	0.85%	0	-0.7	47	0
20	Nov_2_2006	53.99	55.18	55.53	55.28	55.21	55.19	55.12(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-13	-10	-19	4	2.56	53%	0.07	23.4	0.86%	0	-0.1	59	0

21	Nov_1_2006	53.95	55.18	55.54	55.52	55.39	55.23	55(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-5	-30	-15	26	3.56	53%	0.11	46.9	0.9%	0	-0.4	55	0
22	Oct_31_2006	53.89	55.2	55.57	55.71	55.6	55.24	55.24(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-9	-50	-27	45	3.13	53%	0.09	64.3	0.92%	0	0.1	65	0
23	Oct_30_2006	53.84	55.17	55.55	55.82	55.75	55.56	55.36(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-7	-30	-28	55	2.99	53%	0.07	81	0.92%	0	0.3	58	0
24	Oct_27_2006	53.8	55.13	55.54	55.9	55.83	55.97	55.68(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	27	10	8	82	3.98	60%	0.07	94.3	0.98%	0	0.9	65	0
25	Oct_26_2006	53.76	55.06	55.44	55.8	55.75	55.94	56.32(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	43	20	29	83	3.85	64%		99.1	0.98%	0	2.1	64	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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