Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Mon. Nov. 20, 2006

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $52.5200 (-2.09%) ($52.2400 - $52.5600) on Mon. Nov. 20, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.89% (three month average)
RSI   31
Latest Price   $52.5200(-2.09%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(73%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.445% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-25%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    GLD(9%)    LQD(19%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.445% (StdDev 0.89%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.2%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $50.94(-3.01%)
Resistance Level   $54.68
5 Day Moving Average   $53.92(-2.6%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.98(-2.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.68(-3.95%)
To recent high   -6.7%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.74% (three month std-dev: 0.89%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0.64%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 4.03%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 3.81%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20061220

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_20_2006	54.23	54.68	53.98	53.92	53.59	52.96	52.52(-2.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.5	-76	-100	-69	-98	6.11	36%	-0.04	-36.8	0.89%	0	-2.3	31	0
2	Nov_17_2006	54.25	54.84	54.25	54.06	54.12	53.76	53.64(-0.89%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-40	-40	-27	-78	6.8	41%	0	-35.8	0.85%	0	-1.5	35	0
3	Nov_16_2006	54.25	54.93	54.37	54.08	54.09	54.22	54.12(-0.81%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-29	20	-12	-81	4.44	43%	0.04	-34.8	0.85%	0	-1.1	35	0
4	Nov_15_2006	54.23	54.98	54.47	54.08	54.04	54.49	54.56(-0.37%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	6	60	35	-81	4.69	51%	0.06	-35.3	0.85%	0	-0.6	33	0
5	Nov_14_2006	54.2	55.02	54.51	54.02	53.93	53.96	54.76(2.93%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1	-10	-0	19	-95	4.73	51%	0.06	-30.1	0.9%	0	-0.4	39	0

6	Nov_13_2006	54.17	55.03	54.55	54.09	53.9	53.59	53.2(-1.04%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-1.2	-75	-50	-54	-138	4.06	41%	0.02	-27.1	0.82%	0	-2.5	23	0
7	Nov_10_2006	54.16	55.14	54.77	54.49	54.36	53.9	53.76(-0.15%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.2	-58	-70	-40	-110	4	44%	0.04	-7.2	0.82%	0	-2.3	27	0
8	Nov_9_2006	54.14	55.19	54.97	54.7	54.67	54.21	53.84(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-67	-60	-57	-96	6.88	44%	0.04	1	0.83%	0	-2.5	39	0
9	Nov_8_2006	54.12	55.25	55.22	54.96	54.91	54.83	54.52(-1.09%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-36	-10	-29	-55	4.07	49%	0.06	10.1	0.82%	0	-1.5	44	0
10	Nov_7_2006	54.09	55.24	55.36	55.06	55.07	55.13	55.12(-0.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-2	10	6	-26	3.56	45%	0.07	8	0.81%	0	-0.3	50	0

11	Nov_6_2006	54.05	55.22	55.43	55.08	55.09	55	55.2(0.66%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-7	-10	-3	-17	6.42	45%	0.06	10.6	0.86%	0	-0	56	0
12	Nov_3_2006	54.02	55.22	55.48	55.11	55.12	55.01	54.84(-0.51%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-20	-10	-21	-15	1.97	45%	0.06	9.6	0.85%	0	-0.7	47	0
13	Nov_2_2006	53.99	55.18	55.53	55.28	55.21	55.19	55.12(0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.3	-13	-10	-19	4	2.56	53%	0.07	23.4	0.86%	0	-0.1	59	0
14	Nov_1_2006	53.95	55.18	55.54	55.52	55.39	55.23	55(-0.43%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1	-5	-30	-15	26	3.56	53%	0.11	46.9	0.9%	0	-0.4	55	0
15	Oct_31_2006	53.89	55.2	55.57	55.71	55.6	55.24	55.24(-0.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.9	-9	-50	-27	45	3.13	53%	0.09	64.3	0.92%	0	0.1	65	0

16	Oct_30_2006	53.84	55.17	55.55	55.82	55.75	55.56	55.36(-0.57%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-7	-30	-28	55	2.99	53%	0.07	81	0.92%	0	0.3	58	0
17	Oct_27_2006	53.8	55.13	55.54	55.9	55.83	55.97	55.68(-1.14%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	27	10	8	82	3.98	60%	0.07	94.3	0.98%	0	0.9	65	0
18	Oct_26_2006	53.76	55.06	55.44	55.8	55.75	55.94	56.32(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	43	20	29	83	3.85	64%	0.06	99.1	0.98%	0	2.1	64	0
19	Oct_25_2006	53.73	54.95	55.28	55.58	55.51	55.68	55.96(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	28	20	17	59	5.71	64%	0.02	102	0.98%	0	1.8	53	0
20	Oct_24_2006	53.72	54.85	55.1	55.42	55.36	55.56	55.8(0.07%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	28	20	22	45	1.93	67%	0.02	89.2	0.98%	0	1.6	57	0

21	Oct_23_2006	53.71	54.72	54.99	55.24	55.24	55.34	55.76(1.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	21	10	17	33	2.86	67%	-0.04	74.8	1%	0	1.6	60	0
22	Oct_20_2006	53.73	54.59	54.84	55.13	55.24	55.17	55.16(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	8	10	5	18	4.16	65%	-0.02	60	1%	0	0.8	54	0
23	Oct_19_2006	53.74	54.48	54.8	55.02	55.09	55.15	55.2(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	16	10	14	21	2.81	69%	0	50.8	1%	0	1	59	0
24	Oct_18_2006	53.74	54.4	54.81	54.93	54.96	55.01	55.2(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	15	10	11	26	3.47	69%	-0.02	47	1.03%	0	1.1	58	0
25	Oct_17_2006	53.75	54.32	54.78	54.73	54.79	55.03	54.88(-0.58%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	15	30	12	24	5.05	69%		38.3	1.04%	0	0.8	59	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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