Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Wed. Aug. 2, 2006

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $54.6800 (2.32%) ($54.1600 - $54.8000) on Wed. Aug. 2, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.72% (three month average)
RSI   64
Latest Price   $54.6800(2.32%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.9% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2.8% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(73%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.86% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(9%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.86% (StdDev 1.72%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.9%

5 Day Moving Average   $53.92(1.41%)
10 Day Moving Average   $52.91(3.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.74(3.68%)
To recent high   -12.1%
To recent low   11.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.69% (three month std-dev: 1.72%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060902

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_2_2006	55.74	52.74	52.91	53.92	54.07	54.01	54.68(2.32%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	43	0	22	107	4.6	42%	-0.02	3.7	1.72%	0	1.4	64	0
2	Aug_1_2006	55.75	52.67	52.57	53.42	53.71	53.86	53.44(-1.55%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	40	3	72	2.96	39%	-0.04	1.5	1.7%	0	0.6	49	0
3	Jul_31_2006	55.77	52.67	52.26	53.22	53.33	54.13	54.28(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	39	110	35	51	3.79	39%	0	7.6	1.71%	0	1	44	0
4	Jul_28_2006	55.77	52.75	51.9	52.77	52.87	53.56	54.32(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	46	100	55	18	4.41	39%	0	7.6	1.71%	0	1	44	0
5	Jul_27_2006	55.77	52.72	51.58	52.12	52.31	52.53	52.88(1.38%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	12	40	27	-34	5.28	37%	0	2.1	1.67%	0	0.1	43	0

6	Jul_26_2006	55.77	52.68	51.46	51.75	51.88	52.17	52.16(-0.53%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-11	50	9	-71	3.54	37%	-0.02	-5.5	1.66%	0	-0.3	37	0
7	Jul_25_2006	55.78	52.65	51.53	51.58	51.73	52.09	52.44(0.77%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	60	33	-72	5.77	37%	-0.04	-9.1	1.66%	0	-0.1	42	0
8	Jul_24_2006	55.8	52.64	51.72	51.15	51.32	51.59	52.04(1.88%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.6	-10	50	20	-100	6.32	37%	-0.04	-14.8	1.66%	0	-0.4	32	0
9	Jul_21_2006	55.82	52.63	51.96	50.9	50.88	51.37	51.08(0.08%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-21	70	11	-115	6.39	35%	-0.07	-19.1	1.64%	0	-1	34	0
10	Jul_20_2006	55.86	52.69	52.23	50.96	50.74	51.05	51.04(-0.55%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-16	30	17	-114	8.87	35%	-0.09	-19.2	1.64%	0	-1.1	36	0

11	Jul_19_2006	55.91	52.77	52.54	51.12	50.71	50.38	51.32(2.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.1	-41	-70	-18	-110	8.45	35%	-0.07	-11.6	1.64%	0	-1	50	0
12	Jul_18_2006	55.95	52.79	52.78	51.5	51.12	50.43	50.28(-0.95%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-65	-120	-54	-99	4.96	36%	-0.09	2.5	1.62%	0	-1.7	50	0
13	Jul_17_2006	56	52.87	53.31	52.38	51.93	51.03	50.76(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-55	-150	-58	-47	3.35	36%	-0.09	22.1	1.67%	0	-1.5	47	0
14	Jul_14_2006	56.05	52.94	53.71	53.18	52.85	51.8	51.4(-0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.3	-43	-160	-57	-0	6.24	36%	-0.05	41.2	1.67%	0	-1.1	52	0
15	Jul_13_2006	56.08	52.99	54.01	53.68	53.71	52.83	51.84(-2.56%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-29	-110	-50	35	8.49	36%	-0.04	55.9	1.68%	0	-0.9	52	0

16	Jul_12_2006	56.1	52.94	54.07	54.14	54.17	53.9	53.2(-2.78%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-30	-27	63	4.16	38%	0	52.3	1.66%	0	0.2	56	0
17	Jul_11_2006	56.1	52.75	53.91	54.24	54.37	54.6	54.72(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	23	40	4	80	3.22	40%	-0.02	32.6	1.62%	0	1.2	66	0
18	Jul_10_2006	56.11	52.56	53.67	54.4	54.23	54.44	54.72(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	20	8	95	5.67	40%	0.02	23.4	1.63%	0	1.4	67	0
19	Jul_7_2006	56.1	52.39	53.37	54.37	54.35	54.14	53.92(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	-30	1	94	5.21	40%	0	7.6	1.62%	0	1	62	0
20	Jul_6_2006	56.1	52.27	53.19	54.41	54.47	54.01	54.16(0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-60	-3	96	4.33	40%	0	-5.3	1.62%	0	1.3	60	0

21	Jul_5_2006	56.1	52.21	52.99	53.96	54.27	54.56	53.68(-3.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	50	10	97	4.66	40%	0.04	-22.1	1.62%	0	1	66	0
22	Jul_3_2006	56.08	52.23	52.78	53.48	53.73	54.92	55.52(1.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	78	170	63	121	1.36	44%	0.04	-31.2	1.55%	0	2	80	0
23	Jun_30_2006	56.06	52.19	52.35	52.82	52.86	53.98	54.56(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	81	150	73	103	6.21	42%	0	-43.6	1.54%	0	1.3	64	0
24	Jun_29_2006	56.06	52.27	52.05	52.26	52.26	52.53	54.12(4.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	50	40	43	71	7.87	45%	-0.02	-47.8	1.54%	0	1	60	0
25	Jun_28_2006	56.07	52.34	51.83	51.83	51.91	51.75	51.92(1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-20	-12	38	4.87	40%		-50.3	1.49%	0	-0.2	51	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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