Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Jul. 11, 2006

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $54.7200 (0%) ($53.9200 - $54.8000) on Tue. Jul. 11, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.62% (three month average)
RSI   66
Latest Price   $54.7200(0%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(73%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.81% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-17%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(9%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.81% (StdDev 1.62%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.7%

5 Day Moving Average   $54.24(0.88%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.91(1.5%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.75(3.73%)
To recent high   -12%
To recent low   11.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 3.07% (three month std-dev: 1.62%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060811

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jul_11_2006	56.1	52.75	53.91	54.24	54.37	54.6	54.72(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.3	23	40	4	80	3.22	40%	-0.02	32.6	1.62%	0	1.2	66	0
2	Jul_10_2006	56.11	52.56	53.67	54.4	54.23	54.44	54.72(1.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	30	20	8	95	5.67	40%	0.02	23.4	1.63%	0	1.4	67	0
3	Jul_7_2006	56.1	52.39	53.37	54.37	54.35	54.14	53.92(-0.44%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	24	-30	1	94	5.21	40%	0	7.6	1.62%	0	1	62	0
4	Jul_6_2006	56.1	52.27	53.19	54.41	54.47	54.01	54.16(0.89%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	22	-60	-3	96	4.33	40%	0	-5.3	1.62%	0	1.3	60	0
5	Jul_5_2006	56.1	52.21	52.99	53.96	54.27	54.56	53.68(-3.31%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	32	50	10	97	4.66	40%	0.04	-22.1	1.62%	0	1	66	0

6	Jul_3_2006	56.08	52.23	52.78	53.48	53.73	54.92	55.52(1.76%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	78	170	63	121	1.36	44%	0.04	-31.2	1.55%	0	2	80	0
7	Jun_30_2006	56.06	52.19	52.35	52.82	52.86	53.98	54.56(0.81%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	81	150	73	103	6.21	42%	0	-43.6	1.54%	0	1.3	64	0
8	Jun_29_2006	56.06	52.27	52.05	52.26	52.26	52.53	54.12(4.24%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	50	40	43	71	7.87	45%	-0.02	-47.8	1.54%	0	1	60	0
9	Jun_28_2006	56.07	52.34	51.83	51.83	51.91	51.75	51.92(1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	1	-20	-12	38	4.87	40%	-0.05	-50.3	1.49%	0	-0.2	51	0
10	Jun_27_2006	56.1	52.53	51.69	51.9	52.02	51.99	51.28(-1.76%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	2	0	-5	24	7.66	40%	-0.07	-46.8	1.48%	0	-0.6	40	0

11	Jun_26_2006	56.14	52.74	51.51	51.95	52.05	52.08	52.2(0.85%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.1	4	10	8	-7	3.66	42%	-0.07	-47.8	1.47%	0	-0.3	38	0
12	Jun_23_2006	56.18	52.97	51.38	51.8	51.89	52.05	51.76(-0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	-0	-11	30	2	-48	4.21	40%	-0.05	-47.7	1.47%	0	-0.5	33	0
13	Jun_22_2006	56.21	53.19	51.34	51.79	51.85	52.02	52(-0.46%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.1	-14	30	10	-84	7.56	40%	-0.07	-48.3	1.48%	0	-0.5	30	0
14	Jun_21_2006	56.25	53.37	51.29	51.83	51.79	51.73	52.24(1.32%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-19	-10	13	-114	10.21	40%	-0.07	-50.8	1.49%	0	-0.5	34	0
15	Jun_20_2006	56.29	53.54	51.37	51.46	51.7	51.69	51.56(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-27	10	14	-148	9.42	40%	-0.09	-61.2	1.49%	0	-0.8	32	0

16	Jun_19_2006	56.34	53.78	51.63	50.98	51.33	51.86	51.44(-0.54%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-30	90	18	-174	4.92	40%	-0.09	-72.5	1.5%	0	-0.9	34	0
17	Jun_16_2006	56.39	54.09	52	50.88	50.78	51.72	51.72(-0.92%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-20	120	34	-183	7.56	40%	-0.07	-74.5	1.51%	0	-0.9	30	0
18	Jun_15_2006	56.43	54.38	52.47	50.82	50.68	50.8	52.2(3.57%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-22	10	33	-186	13.26	40%	-0.04	-79.3	1.51%	0	-0.8	35	0
19	Jun_14_2006	56.45	54.63	52.85	50.7	50.76	49.85	50.4(2.52%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-94	-120	-48	-232	10.18	36%	-0.07	-87.3	1.44%	0	-1.6	31	0
20	Jun_13_2006	56.49	55.08	53.41	51.3	51.11	50.56	49.16(-3.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-126	-90	-91	-231	15.73	32%	-0.09	-88	1.4%	0	-2.3	25	0

21	Jun_12_2006	56.54	55.63	54.08	52.38	52.12	51.67	50.92(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-76	-80	-41	-179	7.54	35%	-0.04	-88.6	1.35%	0	-2	27	0
22	Jun_9_2006	56.56	56.06	54.72	53.28	52.87	51.65	51.4(-0.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-107	-180	-87	-166	6.64	35%	-0.05	-89.5	1.35%	0	-2.1	24	0
23	Jun_8_2006	56.59	56.5	55.24	54.38	53.89	52.58	51.64(-3.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-115	-200	-108	-135	18.23	35%	-0.02	-83.1	1.36%	0	-2.3	28	0
24	Jun_7_2006	56.6	56.99	55.69	55.3	55.14	54.09	53.36(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-76	-140	-69	-96	6.06	38%	-0.02	-73.2	1.3%	0	-1.8	32	0
25	Jun_6_2006	56.61	57.43	55.94	55.82	55.66	55.2	54.56(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-64	-70	-53	-95	8.28	40%		-59.9	1.28%	0	-1.4	29	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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