Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Tue. Jun. 13, 2006

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $49.1600 (-3.46%) ($49.0800 - $50.3200) on Tue. Jun. 13, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   25
Latest Price   $49.1600(-3.46%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -2.1% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -4.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(10%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $43.95(-10.6%)
Resistance Level   $55.08
5 Day Moving Average   $51.3(-4.17%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.41(-7.96%)
20 Day Moving Average   $55.08(-10.75%)
To recent high   -21%
To recent low   0%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 4.65% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060713

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Jun_13_2006	56.49	55.08	53.41	51.3	51.11	50.56	49.16(-3.46%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-126	-90	-91	-231	15.73	32%	-0.09	-88	1.4%	0	-2.3	25	NAN
2	Jun_12_2006	56.54	55.63	54.08	52.38	52.12	51.67	50.92(-0.93%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-76	-80	-41	-179	7.54	35%	-0.04	-88.6	1.35%	0	-2	27	NAN
3	Jun_9_2006	56.56	56.06	54.72	53.28	52.87	51.65	51.4(-0.46%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.9	-107	-180	-87	-166	6.64	35%	-0.05	-89.5	1.35%	0	-2.1	24	NAN
4	Jun_8_2006	56.59	56.5	55.24	54.38	53.89	52.58	51.64(-3.22%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-115	-200	-108	-135	18.23	35%	-0.02	-83.1	1.36%	0	-2.3	28	NAN
5	Jun_7_2006	56.6	56.99	55.69	55.3	55.14	54.09	53.36(-2.2%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1	-76	-140	-69	-96	6.06	38%	-0.02	-73.2	1.3%	0	-1.8	32	NAN

6	Jun_6_2006	56.61	57.43	55.94	55.82	55.66	55.2	54.56(-1.59%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-64	-70	-53	-95	8.28	40%	-0.04	-59.9	1.28%	0	-1.4	29	NAN
7	Jun_5_2006	56.63	57.79	56.14	56.03	56	56.2	55.44(-2.53%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-30	20	-8	-95	5.9	42%	-0.02	-50.4	1.27%	0	-1.1	29	NAN
8	Jun_2_2006	56.64	58.1	56.38	56.37	56.04	56.13	56.88(1.14%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.2	-12	-10	13	-86	5.97	44%	0.02	-40.9	1.24%	0	-0.5	37	NAN
9	Jun_1_2006	56.63	58.28	56.42	56.27	56.16	55.81	56.24(0.43%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-33	-50	-5	-118	4.05	44%	-0.02	-39.8	1.25%	0	-0.9	31	NAN
10	May_31_2006	56.64	58.48	56.53	56.17	56.26	55.95	56(0.72%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.1	-55	-30	-20	-160	6.17	46%	0	-40.5	1.25%	0	-1.1	26	NAN

11	May_30_2006	56.64	58.7	56.84	56.09	56.25	56.51	55.6(-2.66%)	DT	HoldShort	-65	-0.2	-50	40	-7	-180	3.26	44%	-0.02	-39.9	1.26%	0	-1.4	22	NAN
12	May_26_2006	56.65	58.91	57.25	56.25	56.27	56.57	57.12(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-28	40	24	-183	5.92	48%	0.02	-40.5	1.22%	0	-0.9	26	NAN
13	May_25_2006	56.64	59.02	57.46	56.41	56.09	55.99	56.4(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-64	-30	-15	-212	5.94	45%	0	-38.9	1.22%	0	-1.3	24	NAN
14	May_24_2006	56.64	59.19	57.82	56.62	56.49	55.97	55.72(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-77	-70	-31	-215	8.92	47%	0	-36.7	1.22%	0	-1.9	29	NAN
15	May_23_2006	56.64	59.4	58.37	56.95	56.98	56.19	55.6(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-100	-100	-65	-204	6.59	47%	-0.02	-34.6	1.25%	0	-2.2	31	NAN

16	May_22_2006	56.65	59.59	59.03	57.69	57.46	57.02	56.4(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-93	-70	-69	-164	11.73	49%	0.04	-27.4	1.24%	0	-2.2	32	NAN
17	May_19_2006	56.63	59.73	59.59	58.39	58.24	57.78	57.92(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-46	-60	-26	-104	3.73	54%	0.07	-11.5	1.18%	0	-1.4	45	NAN
18	May_18_2006	56.59	59.8	59.97	58.68	58.73	57.91	57.44(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-69	-100	-62	-89	6.49	54%	0.05	-1.4	1.19%	0	-1.9	43	NAN
19	May_17_2006	56.56	59.89	60.3	59.22	59.23	58.71	57.4(-3.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-70	-60	-73	-61	8.85	50%	0.07	14.4	1.2%	0	-2.1	42	NAN
20	May_16_2006	56.52	59.99	60.62	60	59.87	59.56	59.28(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-40	-39	-6	9.16	57%	0.05	41.3	1.16%	0	-0.7	51	NAN

21	May_15_2006	56.49	60	60.75	60.58	60.4	59.76	59.92(0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-26	-80	-45	32	3.91	57%	0.09	51.8	1.15%	0	-0.1	60	NAN
22	May_12_2006	56.44	59.88	60.72	60.99	60.97	60.18	59.36(-1.26%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-35	-90	-62	48	5.21	56%	0.09	55.8	1.21%	0	-0.4	58	NAN
23	May_11_2006	56.39	59.82	60.74	61.45	61.51	61.05	60.12(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-7	-50	-36	82	10.31	59%	0.11	59.2	1.21%	0	0.2	60	NAN
24	May_10_2006	56.33	59.72	60.69	61.53	61.69	61.75	61.32(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	10	4	112	3.07	64%	0.14	55.7	1.19%	0	1.2	73	NAN
25	May_9_2006	56.25	59.57	60.51	61.3	61.41	61.97	62.2(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	58	70	37	121	3.89	68%		52.1	1.17%	0	2	77	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

Click to see actual return for next trading day.