Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

^ EWJ: Intraday Hourly Forecast Similar Waves GapOpen Research Timing Gains Losses Strategies Practice

Fri. May. 26, 2006

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $57.1200 (1.28%) ($56.6000 - $57.2700) on Fri. May. 26, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.22% (three month average)
RSI   26
Latest Price   $57.1200(1.28%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ declines -0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ declines -3.9% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.61% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(10%)

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.61% (StdDev 1.22%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0.4%

1 - 5 Day Possible Target   $50.32(-11.9%)
Resistance Level   $58.91
5 Day Moving Average   $56.25(1.55%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.25(-0.23%)
20 Day Moving Average   $58.91(-3.04%)
To recent high   -8.2%
To recent low   7.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 3.41% (three month std-dev: 1.22%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 1.71%(100%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: -7.7%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: -15.55%(100%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060626

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	May_26_2006	56.65	58.91	57.25	56.25	56.27	56.57	57.12(1.28%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-28	40	24	-183	5.92	48%	0.02	-40.5	1.22%	0	-0.9	26	NAN
2	May_25_2006	56.64	59.02	57.46	56.41	56.09	55.99	56.4(1.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-64	-30	-15	-212	5.94	45%	0	-38.9	1.22%	0	-1.3	24	NAN
3	May_24_2006	56.64	59.19	57.82	56.62	56.49	55.97	55.72(0.22%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-77	-70	-31	-215	8.92	47%	0	-36.7	1.22%	0	-1.9	29	NAN
4	May_23_2006	56.64	59.4	58.37	56.95	56.98	56.19	55.6(-1.42%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.8	-100	-100	-65	-204	6.59	47%	-0.02	-34.6	1.25%	0	-2.2	31	NAN
5	May_22_2006	56.65	59.59	59.03	57.69	57.46	57.02	56.4(-2.62%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.9	-93	-70	-69	-164	11.73	49%	0.04	-27.4	1.24%	0	-2.2	32	NAN

6	May_19_2006	56.63	59.73	59.59	58.39	58.24	57.78	57.92(0.84%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-46	-60	-26	-104	3.73	54%	0.07	-11.5	1.18%	0	-1.4	45	NAN
7	May_18_2006	56.59	59.8	59.97	58.68	58.73	57.91	57.44(0.07%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-1	-69	-100	-62	-89	6.49	54%	0.05	-1.4	1.19%	0	-1.9	43	NAN
8	May_17_2006	56.56	59.89	60.3	59.22	59.23	58.71	57.4(-3.17%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.6	-70	-60	-73	-61	8.85	50%	0.07	14.4	1.2%	0	-2.1	42	NAN
9	May_16_2006	56.52	59.99	60.62	60	59.87	59.56	59.28(-1.07%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.7	-31	-40	-39	-6	9.16	57%	0.05	41.3	1.16%	0	-0.7	51	NAN
10	May_15_2006	56.49	60	60.75	60.58	60.4	59.76	59.92(0.94%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-26	-80	-45	32	3.91	57%	0.09	51.8	1.15%	0	-0.1	60	NAN

11	May_12_2006	56.44	59.88	60.72	60.99	60.97	60.18	59.36(-1.26%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.4	-35	-90	-62	48	5.21	56%	0.09	55.8	1.21%	0	-0.4	58	NAN
12	May_11_2006	56.39	59.82	60.74	61.45	61.51	61.05	60.12(-1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-7	-50	-36	82	10.31	59%	0.11	59.2	1.21%	0	0.2	60	NAN
13	May_10_2006	56.33	59.72	60.69	61.53	61.69	61.75	61.32(-1.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	31	10	4	112	3.07	64%	0.14	55.7	1.19%	0	1.2	73	NAN
14	May_9_2006	56.25	59.57	60.51	61.3	61.41	61.97	62.2(0.39%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.7	58	70	37	121	3.89	68%	0.18	52.1	1.17%	0	2	77	NAN
15	May_8_2006	56.15	59.4	60.17	60.94	60.93	61.62	61.96(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	72	80	59	112	4.16	68%	0.16	52.6	1.17%	0	2.3	75	NAN

16	May_5_2006	56.06	59.22	59.84	60.42	60.5	60.85	61.64(1.85%)	UT	HoldLong	65	1.3	62	40	50	97	2.98	68%	0.18	53.1	1.17%	0	2.5	82	NAN
17	May_4_2006	55.96	59.08	59.58	59.95	60.09	60.24	60.52(0.53%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	31	20	17	73	2.86	65%	0.14	56.1	1.15%	0	1.8	70	NAN
18	May_3_2006	55.88	58.99	59.4	59.74	59.82	60.16	60.2(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.7	32	40	19	71	1.82	65%	0.13	63.9	1.16%	0	1.7	69	NAN
19	May_2_2006	55.81	58.9	59.28	59.59	59.62	59.93	60.36(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	44	40	33	76	2.62	60%	0.14	84.4	1.17%	0	2.3	65	NAN
20	May_1_2006	55.73	58.81	59.15	59.3	59.4	59.49	59.4(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	26	20	15	57	3.87	57%	0.14	101.1	1.17%	0	1.1	52	NAN

21	Apr_28_2006	55.65	58.72	58.96	59.17	59.26	59.49	59.28(-0.27%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	13	10	5	38	2.54	57%	0.16	100	1.15%	0	0.9	54	NAN
22	Apr_27_2006	55.56	58.65	58.83	59.14	59.11	59.31	59.44(-0.07%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	14	20	9	29	4.41	61%	0.16	113.7	1.16%	0	1.3	51	NAN
23	Apr_26_2006	55.47	58.54	58.68	59	59.07	59.21	59.48(1.02%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	18	20	18	18	4.46	65%	0.14	108.3	1.19%	0	1.5	54	NAN
24	Apr_25_2006	55.39	58.37	58.56	58.93	58.94	58.9	58.88(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.1	0	-0	-2	6	3.48	65%	0.14	80.3	1.22%	0	0.6	53	NAN
25	Apr_24_2006	55.31	58.25	58.57	58.99	58.87	58.94	58.76(-0.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	9	0	7	15	4.02	67%		75.6	1.23%	0	0.6	52	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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