Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Fri. Apr. 7, 2006

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $58.7200 (-0.68%) ($58.6000 - $59.6000) on Fri. Apr. 7, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.4% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $58.7200(-0.68%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2.3% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    EEM(76%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.7% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(0%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.7% (StdDev 1.4%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1%

5 Day Moving Average   $58.76(-0.07%)
10 Day Moving Average   $57.94(1.35%)
20 Day Moving Average   $56.97(3.07%)
To recent high   -0.7%
To recent low   11.1%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.33% (three month std-dev: 1.4%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 6 Average positive next day return: 0.95%(50%) Average negative next day return: -0.88%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next three day return: 3.57%(50%) Average negative next three day return: -1.02%(50%) Sample size 6 Average positive next weekly return: 2.88%(67%) Average negative next weekly return: -1.72%(33%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060507

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Apr_7_2006	54.47	56.97	57.94	58.76	58.84	59.11	58.72(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0	39	40	17	105	4.19	50%	0.17	94.4	1.4%	0	1.3	62	NAN
2	Apr_6_2006	54.38	56.77	57.71	58.54	58.66	58.9	59.12(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	30	27	104	4.16	51%	0.2	90	1.41%	0	1.7	68	NAN
3	Apr_5_2006	54.27	56.51	57.36	58.27	58.25	58.57	58.84(0.48%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	36	40	17	94	3.53	51%	0.22	80.6	1.42%	0	1.7	71	NAN
4	Apr_4_2006	54.15	56.25	57.13	57.98	58.02	58.43	58.56(0%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.4	55	50	40	99	4.78	51%	0.19	66.9	1.42%	0	1.6	65	NAN
5	Apr_3_2006	54.05	55.98	56.86	57.42	57.62	57.94	58.56(1.67%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	45	50	34	76	5.76	55%	0.17	51.6	1.42%	0	1.9	64	NAN

6	Mar_31_2006	53.96	55.74	56.64	57.01	57.06	57.6	57.6(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.5	32	70	22	62	3.31	53%	0.17	39	1.46%	0	1.4	63	NAN
7	Mar_30_2006	53.87	55.56	56.47	56.74	56.8	57.31	57.8(0.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	52	70	46	70	4.01	53%	0.17	31.7	1.47%	0	1.9	67	NAN
8	Mar_29_2006	53.78	55.4	56.2	56.32	56.35	56.52	57.36(2.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	25	20	17	49	6.82	53%	0.17	26.6	1.47%	0	1.8	69	NAN
9	Mar_28_2006	53.69	55.31	56.03	56.18	56.07	56.29	55.8(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	15	20	2	55	4.83	52%	0.11	34.8	1.43%	0	0.5	66	NAN
10	Mar_27_2006	53.63	55.28	56.04	56.2	56.15	56.18	56.48(0.36%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	30	0	13	79	3.54	49%	0.15	43.7	1.44%	0	1.2	73	NAN

11	Mar_24_2006	53.55	55.24	55.92	56.22	56.06	55.84	56.28(1.08%)	UT	HoldLong	50	0.1	11	-40	-12	81	3.65	49%	0.13	59.7	1.47%	0	1.1	66	NAN
12	Mar_23_2006	53.48	55.18	55.77	56.15	56.25	56.12	55.68(-1.69%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	19	-10	-4	87	5.73	49%	0.13	63.8	1.47%	0	0.5	60	NAN
13	Mar_22_2006	53.41	55.11	55.63	56.05	56.26	56.29	56.64(1.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	27	10	8	85	3.48	51%	0.15	60.8	1.46%	0	1.5	60	NAN
14	Mar_21_2006	53.33	54.96	55.32	55.86	55.95	56.39	55.92(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	60	9	64	8.12	53%	0.15	53.3	1.45%	0	1	50	NAN
15	Mar_20_2006	53.25	54.84	55.06	55.84	55.81	56.23	56.6(1.22%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	44	50	38	63	4.95	53%	0.17	54.1	1.45%	0	1.8	57	NAN

16	Mar_17_2006	53.16	54.66	54.77	55.58	55.48	55.5	55.92(1.38%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	17	-0	13	28	5.05	53%	0.17	43.7	1.44%	0	1.3	48	NAN
17	Mar_16_2006	53.07	54.58	54.58	55.34	55.32	55.38	55.16(-0.93%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.2	8	10	8	8	3.56	55%	0.15	37.7	1.44%	0	0.6	49	NAN
18	Mar_15_2006	52.99	54.51	54.54	55.12	55.11	55.45	55.68(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	20	40	24	9	5.21	55%	0.17	26.3	1.44%	0	1.3	58	NAN
19	Mar_14_2006	52.9	54.44	54.52	54.69	54.8	55.26	55.84(1.01%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	34	60	41	11	5.51	55%	0.17	11.3	1.45%	0	1.6	62	NAN
20	Mar_13_2006	52.81	54.31	54.43	54.15	54.3	54.78	55.28(1.02%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	24	70	32	-2	3.6	55%	0.17	-18.5	1.44%	0	1.1	62	NAN

21	Mar_10_2006	52.72	54.25	54.47	53.85	53.84	54.35	54.72(1.18%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.1	17	70	23	-0	5.8	56%	0.17	-36.4	1.45%	0	0.6	61	NAN
22	Mar_9_2006	52.63	54.24	54.52	53.73	53.75	53.82	54.08(1.05%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	9	10	13	-3	4.48	58%	0.15	-43.7	1.45%	0	-0.2	49	NAN
23	Mar_8_2006	52.55	54.27	54.54	53.89	53.71	53.34	53.52(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-25	-60	-30	-10	5.02	56%	0.13	-45	1.47%	0	-0.9	50	NAN
24	Mar_7_2006	52.48	54.35	54.58	54.33	54.09	53.68	53.16(-1.12%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-25	-70	-34	2	5	56%	0.11	-36.4	1.48%	0	-1.5	44	NAN
25	Mar_6_2006	52.42	54.46	54.63	54.74	54.61	54.08	53.76(-0.67%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.2	-19	-80	-32	21	4.62	56%		-27.5	1.48%	0	-0.9	55	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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