Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Mar. 2, 2006

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $54.8800 (-1.51%) ($54.4400 - $55.0000) on Thu. Mar. 2, 2006.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.47% (three month average)
RSI   51
Latest Price   $54.8800(-1.51%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.735% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(10%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.735% (StdDev 1.47%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.2%

5 Day Moving Average   $55.41(-0.96%)
10 Day Moving Average   $54.63(0.46%)
20 Day Moving Average   $54.6(0.51%)
To recent high   -3.8%
To recent low   8.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.5% (three month std-dev: 1.47%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

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i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Mar_2_2006	52.3	54.6	54.63	55.41	55.4	55.13	54.88(-1.51%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	7	-30	-8	52	4.65	56%	0.15	-12	1.47%	0	0.3	51	NAN
2	Mar_1_2006	52.22	54.6	54.52	55.28	55.44	55.45	55.72(0.94%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	18	10	8	49	4.63	60%	0.15	-6.3	1.45%	0	1.2	54	NAN
3	Feb_28_2006	52.14	54.64	54.38	54.87	55.18	55.67	55.2(-1.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	29	80	27	35	5.83	60%	0.17	-10.9	1.46%	0	0.6	50	NAN
4	Feb_27_2006	52.05	54.69	54.17	54.5	54.69	55.44	55.96(1.23%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	44	110	54	15	4.18	60%	0.17	-9.1	1.45%	0	1.3	51	NAN
5	Feb_24_2006	51.96	54.69	53.99	53.94	54.03	54.68	55.28(1.92%)	RB	SmallLong	20	1.3	24	90	40	-23	6.01	59%	0.17	-7.7	1.45%	0	0.6	46	NAN

6	Feb_23_2006	51.87	54.7	53.89	53.76	53.55	53.93	54.24(1.04%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.5	7	40	23	-42	4.56	57%	0.14	-8.6	1.44%	0	-0.5	44	NAN
7	Feb_22_2006	51.8	54.69	53.93	53.66	53.47	53.38	53.68(0.68%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0	-15	-20	2	-64	6.29	57%	0.12	-6.5	1.44%	0	-1	35	NAN
8	Feb_21_2006	51.74	54.75	54.06	53.82	53.53	53.17	53.32(0.23%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-32	-60	-18	-74	10.18	57%	0.15	-2.2	1.44%	0	-1.5	32	NAN
9	Feb_17_2006	51.66	54.75	54.27	53.78	53.75	53.57	53.2(-2.13%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.6	-34	-30	-18	-83	4.63	59%	0.08	-14.4	1.43%	0	-1.5	30	NAN
10	Feb_16_2006	51.62	54.75	54.5	54.01	53.78	53.89	54.36(1.12%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.4	-22	0	-4	-76	4.17	62%	0.12	-24.3	1.43%	0	-0.4	33	NAN

11	Feb_15_2006	51.56	54.78	54.57	54.05	53.84	53.94	53.76(-1.25%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.3	-20	0	-1	-76	5.4	60%	0.14	-31.6	1.44%	0	-1	41	NAN
12	Feb_14_2006	51.49	54.76	54.78	54.24	54.09	53.67	54.44(2.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	0.2	-20	-60	-7	-59	5.23	59%	0.14	-40.3	1.44%	0	-0.3	54	NAN
13	Feb_13_2006	51.42	54.77	54.94	54.36	54.18	53.74	53.16(-2.14%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-53	-70	-50	-63	6.59	57%	0.12	-46.9	1.42%	0	-1.5	44	NAN
14	Feb_10_2006	51.36	54.93	55.26	54.82	54.69	54.51	54.32(-0.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-15	-30	-16	-13	7.16	59%	0.16	-38.3	1.39%	0	-0.6	58	NAN
15	Feb_9_2006	51.28	55.02	55.49	55.06	54.99	54.61	54.56(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-50	-16	24	4.39	59%	0.16	-30.1	1.39%	0	-0.4	64	NAN

16	Feb_8_2006	51.2	55.11	55.58	55.17	55.16	54.87	54.72(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.4	-14	-40	-29	31	9.02	59%	0.16	-25.4	1.39%	0	-0.4	53	NAN
17	Feb_7_2006	51.12	55.17	55.54	55.41	55.39	55.37	55.04(-0.72%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	6	-0	-12	58	9.94	59%	0.18	-18.7	1.39%	0	-0.1	62	NAN
18	Feb_6_2006	51.03	55.27	55.5	55.62	55.54	55.46	55.44(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	13	-10	-6	71	4.6	59%	0.18	-1.9	1.39%	0	0.1	54	NAN
19	Feb_3_2006	50.94	55.32	55.34	55.78	55.71	55.4	55.56(0.87%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.2	2	-40	-17	57	5.3	59%	0.18	10.4	1.4%	0	0.2	47	NAN
20	Feb_2_2006	50.85	55.34	55.09	55.98	55.9	55.62	55.08(-1.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.7	-5	-40	-21	42	8.17	59%	0.2	20.5	1.39%	0	-0.2	45	NAN

21	Feb_1_2006	50.75	55.39	55.03	56.03	56.13	56.02	55.92(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	16	-10	7	41	7.85	61%	0.2	32.3	1.38%	0	0.4	46	NAN
22	Jan_31_2006	50.65	55.38	54.74	55.66	55.96	56.19	56.08(-0.36%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.3	15	40	18	7	9.19	61%	0.2	28.3	1.38%	0	0.6	49	NAN
23	Jan_30_2006	50.55	55.29	54.57	55.36	55.44	56.23	56.28(-0.5%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	28	100	42	-15	6.1	61%	0.22	19	1.38%	0	0.8	46	NAN
24	Jan_27_2006	50.44	55.19	54.54	54.83	54.98	55.74	56.56(2.24%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	48	100	74	-29	8.31	61%	0.24	8.5	1.38%	0	1.1	48	NAN
25	Jan_26_2006	50.32	55.08	54.46	54.09	54.31	54.66	55.32(2.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	3	60	30	-80	9.58	59%		-4.4	1.36%	0	0.2	48	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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