Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Dec. 27, 2005

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $53.4400 (-2.12%) ($53.3600 - $54.2800) on Tue. Dec. 27, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.2% (three month average)
RSI   62
Latest Price   $53.4400(-2.12%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2.4% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(75%)    VWO(74%)    EWY(72%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.6% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.6% (StdDev 1.2%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $54.1(-1.22%)
10 Day Moving Average   $53.52(-0.15%)
20 Day Moving Average   $52.4(1.98%)
To recent high   -2.3%
To recent low   16.2%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.63% (three month std-dev: 1.2%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20060127

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Dec_27_2005	48.02	52.4	53.52	54.1	54.26	54.17	53.44(-2.12%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.5	22	-0	-9	114	4.36	51%	0.42	70	1.2%	0	0.8	62	NAN
2	Dec_23_2005	47.82	52.25	53.45	54	54.16	54.51	54.6(-0.22%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	54	50	25	139	2.59	56%	0.27	65.2	1.18%	0	1.6	72	NAN
3	Dec_22_2005	47.69	52.02	53.16	53.7	53.83	54.34	54.72(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	70	70	46	141	3.86	56%	0.27	64.2	1.18%	0	2	74	NAN
4	Dec_21_2005	47.56	51.81	52.76	53.24	53.47	53.82	54.24(1.42%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	59	60	41	114	3.97	56%	0.27	69	1.17%	0	2	72	NAN
5	Dec_20_2005	47.43	51.61	52.48	52.95	53.04	53.33	53.48(0.98%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	39	40	16	106	3.71	55%	0.25	78.1	1.17%	0	1.7	75	NAN

6	Dec_19_2005	47.31	51.46	52.29	52.87	52.88	53.12	52.96(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	44	30	19	117	4.53	55%	0.25	90.3	1.17%	0	1.4	68	NAN
7	Dec_16_2005	47.19	51.32	52.12	52.81	52.8	52.76	53.12(1.37%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	44	-10	17	124	4.18	55%	0.25	95.5	1.17%	0	1.7	69	NAN
8	Dec_15_2005	47.07	51.15	51.91	52.53	52.68	52.64	52.4(-0.76%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	35	0	8	116	5.79	55%	0.26	97.9	1.17%	0	1.3	68	NAN
9	Dec_14_2005	46.95	50.97	51.77	52.18	52.47	52.84	52.8(-0.53%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	48	70	28	109	6.99	55%	0.26	80.3	1.17%	0	1.7	64	NAN
10	Dec_13_2005	46.83	50.74	51.48	51.91	51.94	52.72	53.08(0.84%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	59	110	45	99	4.94	55%	0.26	64.1	1.17%	0	2.1	68	NAN

11	Dec_12_2005	46.71	50.52	51.2	51.63	51.59	52.1	52.64(1.78%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	63	70	55	87	4.65	55%	0.26	57.5	1.18%	0	2	64	NAN
12	Dec_9_2005	46.59	50.35	50.96	51.36	51.32	51.17	51.72(2.13%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	23	-20	11	57	4.57	57%	0.22	58	1.16%	0	1.4	62	NAN
13	Dec_8_2005	46.49	50.21	50.79	51.21	51.23	51.09	50.64(-1.63%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.6	-6	-20	-20	37	7.59	53%	0.22	51.8	1.2%	0	0.4	58	NAN
14	Dec_7_2005	46.39	50.13	50.8	51.28	51.3	51.48	51.48(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	34	30	19	77	8.03	55%	0.24	53.3	1.19%	0	1.4	75	NAN
15	Dec_6_2005	46.28	50.03	50.68	50.95	51.15	51.37	51.68(0.78%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	42	40	28	84	5.42	55%	0.24	48.9	1.19%	0	1.8	79	NAN

16	Dec_5_2005	46.17	49.91	50.56	50.69	50.76	51.13	51.28(0.63%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	36	60	20	84	5.72	55%	0.22	51.2	1.19%	0	1.6	70	NAN
17	Dec_2_2005	46.07	49.79	50.44	50.5	50.56	50.93	50.96(-0.08%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	50	33	87	10.51	55%	0.24	54.7	1.2%	0	1.5	61	NAN
18	Dec_1_2005	45.96	49.71	50.34	50.32	50.37	50.4	51(2.33%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	32	10	16	81	4.37	55%	0.22	65.6	1.2%	0	1.7	64	NAN
19	Nov_30_2005	45.86	49.62	50.11	50.26	50.19	50.18	49.84(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-10	-15	65	4.94	54%	0.2	82.7	1.18%	0	0.3	56	NAN
20	Nov_29_2005	45.77	49.58	49.97	50.37	50.35	50.35	50.36(0.08%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0	24	-0	8	71	6.66	54%	0.2	97.2	1.17%	0	1.1	57	NAN

21	Nov_28_2005	45.68	49.48	49.81	50.4	50.25	50.21	50.32(0.48%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	11	-10	-6	61	8.55	54%	0.22	107.5	1.17%	0	1.2	56	NAN
22	Nov_25_2005	45.58	49.36	49.71	50.38	50.28	50.34	50.08(-1.26%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.4	19	0	3	68	2.92	54%	0.33	108.3	1.17%	0	0.9	58	NAN
23	Nov_23_2005	45.43	49.22	49.59	50.34	50.3	50.29	50.72(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	34	-0	22	71	6.05	56%	0.22	94.8	1.15%	0	1.6	59	NAN
24	Nov_22_2005	45.33	49.06	49.42	49.94	50.09	50.22	50.36(-0.32%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	28	30	22	46	7.75	59%	0.11	82.7	1.16%	0	1.4	58	NAN
25	Nov_21_2005	45.28	48.9	49.31	49.49	49.72	50.3	50.52(0.64%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	39	100	41	32	6.5	59%		70.3	1.2%	0	1.6	62	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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