Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 1, 2005

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $48.9200 (0.99%) ($48.7200 - $49.0400) on Tue. Nov. 1, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.28% (three month average)
RSI   58
Latest Price   $48.9200(0.99%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.8% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 0.6% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(77%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(74%)    VWO(73%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.64% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.64% (StdDev 1.28%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $47.95(2.02%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.4(3.21%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.35(3.32%)
To recent high   -1.3%
To recent low   20.3%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.46% (three month std-dev: 1.28%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051201

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_1_2005	44.1	47.35	47.4	47.95	48.12	48.65	48.92(0.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.4	46	90	46	47	5.32	63%	0.2	-18.5	1.28%	0	2.3	58	NAN
2	Oct_31_2005	44.01	47.31	47.16	47.59	47.69	48.03	48.44(1.25%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.3	29	60	34	13	4.59	63%	0.18	-27.9	1.28%	0	1.7	53	NAN
3	Oct_28_2005	43.93	47.3	47.03	47.3	47.36	47.6	47.84(1.27%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.8	17	40	24	-4	5.89	63%	0.16	-34	1.28%	0	0.8	57	NAN
4	Oct_27_2005	43.86	47.33	47.05	47.05	47.11	47.36	47.24(-0.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	16	40	24	-7	5.62	64%	0.14	-26.6	1.28%	0	-0.1	52	NAN
5	Oct_26_2005	43.8	47.44	47.09	46.8	46.86	47.11	47.32(0.42%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	9	40	16	-13	6.2	64%	0.14	-21.1	1.28%	0	-0.1	57	NAN

6	Oct_25_2005	43.74	47.48	47.11	46.75	46.66	46.86	47.12(0.34%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	7	20	15	-16	5.59	64%	0.14	-16.6	1.29%	0	-0.4	48	NAN
7	Oct_24_2005	43.68	47.49	47.17	46.66	46.56	46.61	46.96(0.77%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.4	-6	0	2	-31	6.39	64%	0.16	-16	1.29%	0	-0.6	41	NAN
8	Oct_21_2005	43.61	47.53	47.16	46.74	46.59	46.46	46.6(1.3%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-25	-30	-17	-49	5.5	64%	0.11	-5.7	1.3%	0	-1.1	38	NAN
9	Oct_20_2005	43.56	47.55	47.22	47.06	46.78	46.51	46(-2.29%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.3	-34	-60	-28	-52	8.64	63%	0.14	5.3	1.31%	0	-1.9	33	NAN
10	Oct_19_2005	43.5	47.55	47.29	47.42	47.15	46.72	47.08(0.86%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-30	-80	-21	-58	7.59	66%	0.14	22.9	1.27%	0	-0.7	33	NAN

11	Oct_18_2005	43.44	47.55	47.33	47.5	47.37	47.05	46.68(-1.44%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-1.1	-42	-60	-34	-66	6.32	66%	0.09	33.3	1.27%	0	-1.2	43	NAN
12	Oct_17_2005	43.4	47.62	47.49	47.73	47.59	47.59	47.36(-1.66%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-12	-10	-4	-35	9.18	68%	0.14	44.6	1.25%	0	-0.3	51	NAN
13	Oct_14_2005	43.34	47.58	47.6	47.63	47.72	47.7	48.16(0.75%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.6	7	0	18	-25	13.76	71%	0.18	40.7	1.23%	0	0.7	53	NAN
14	Oct_13_2005	43.26	47.51	47.64	47.41	47.49	47.58	47.8(0.59%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.5	-2	20	6	-26	8.57	69%	0.19	35.4	1.23%	0	0.3	57	NAN
15	Oct_12_2005	43.18	47.44	47.79	47.41	47.34	47.75	47.52(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	12	70	20	-13	6.45	69%	0.16	32.8	1.24%	0	0.1	54	NAN

16	Oct_11_2005	43.11	47.36	47.86	47.14	47.08	47.4	47.8(1.96%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.7	10	40	15	-5	7.36	69%	0.16	33.5	1.24%	0	0.5	56	NAN
17	Oct_10_2005	43.04	47.27	47.82	47.24	47.07	46.94	46.88(-0.34%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.4	-12	-30	-14	-4	4.81	67%	0.16	38	1.22%	0	-0.4	54	NAN
18	Oct_7_2005	42.97	47.25	47.91	47.57	47.47	46.77	47.04(1.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-24	-110	-38	19	6.57	68%	0.16	51.4	1.23%	0	-0.2	58	NAN
19	Oct_6_2005	42.9	47.21	47.92	47.91	47.84	47.2	46.48(-2.11%)	CR	SmallShort	-20	-1.3	-49	-100	-74	27	10.29	67%	0.14	60.3	1.22%	0	-0.7	51	NAN
20	Oct_5_2005	42.84	47.14	48	48.53	48.37	48.17	47.48(-1.74%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.9	3	-40	-27	91	8.36	70%	0.16	74.6	1.2%	0	0.3	59	NAN

21	Oct_4_2005	42.77	47.04	47.96	48.66	48.75	48.49	48.32(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	36	-30	5	130	10.81	73%	0.19	82	1.17%	0	1.1	71	NAN
22	Oct_3_2005	42.69	46.91	47.8	48.47	48.67	48.58	48.52(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	27	-0	-5	124	5.24	73%	0.21	84.6	1.18%	0	1.4	70	NAN
23	Sep_30_2005	42.6	46.74	47.58	48.3	48.38	49.01	48.76(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	100	31	131	6.85	73%	0.19	86.8	1.17%	0	1.7	67	NAN
24	Sep_29_2005	42.52	46.55	47.37	47.92	48.11	48.77	49.56(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	93	110	78	136	6.61	76%	0.19	83.1	1.15%	0	2.7	75	NAN
25	Sep_28_2005	42.44	46.29	47.04	47.42	47.51	47.75	48.16(1.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	51	40	31	109	6.11	74%		85	1.11%	0	1.9	77	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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