Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Oct. 4, 2005

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $48.3200 (-0.41%) ($48.2400 - $48.8400) on Tue. Oct. 4, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.17% (three month average)
RSI   71
Latest Price   $48.3200(-0.41%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.4% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2.5% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(74%)    VWO(73%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.585% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.585% (StdDev 1.17%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend -0.8%

5 Day Moving Average   $48.66(-0.7%)
10 Day Moving Average   $47.96(0.75%)
20 Day Moving Average   $47.04(2.72%)
To recent high   -2.5%
To recent low   19.7%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 2.55% (three month std-dev: 1.17%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 1 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: -0.65%(100%) Sample size 1 Average positive next three day return: 2.24%(100%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 1 Average positive next weekly return: 2.71%(100%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20051104

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Oct_4_2005	42.77	47.04	47.96	48.66	48.75	48.49	48.32(-0.41%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	36	-30	5	130	10.81	73%	0.19	82	1.17%	0	1.1	71	0
2	Oct_3_2005	42.69	46.91	47.8	48.47	48.67	48.58	48.52(-0.49%)	UD	OpenLong	65	0	27	-0	-5	124	5.24	73%	0.21	84.6	1.18%	0	1.4	70	0
3	Sep_30_2005	42.6	46.74	47.58	48.3	48.38	49.01	48.76(-1.61%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.4	56	100	31	131	6.85	73%	0.19	86.8	1.17%	0	1.7	67	0
4	Sep_29_2005	42.52	46.55	47.37	47.92	48.11	48.77	49.56(2.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.5	93	110	78	136	6.61	76%	0.19	83.1	1.15%	0	2.7	75	0
5	Sep_28_2005	42.44	46.29	47.04	47.42	47.51	47.75	48.16(1.69%)	UT	HoldLong	65	0.8	51	40	31	109	6.11	74%	0.17	85	1.11%	0	1.9	77	0

6	Sep_27_2005	42.37	46.08	46.8	47.18	47.21	47.45	47.36(-0.59%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	36	40	16	95	6.57	73%	0.14	74.2	1.1%	0	1.3	67	0
7	Sep_26_2005	42.31	45.92	46.65	47.03	47.13	47.28	47.64(1.62%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	46	30	30	95	5.94	73%	0.14	66.1	1.1%	0	1.7	65	0
8	Sep_23_2005	42.25	45.75	46.51	46.75	46.93	46.97	46.88(-0.34%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	23	20	4	81	3.33	71%	0.12	63.2	1.08%	0	1.2	64	0
9	Sep_22_2005	42.2	45.63	46.44	46.72	46.78	46.99	47.04(0.17%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	34	40	12	98	4.98	71%	0.12	66.7	1.09%	0	1.5	68	0
10	Sep_21_2005	42.15	45.49	46.22	46.61	46.67	46.89	46.96(0.69%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	46	40	28	101	6.96	72%	0.14	66.5	1.09%	0	1.5	70	0

11	Sep_20_2005	42.09	45.36	46.05	46.36	46.53	46.57	46.64(0.87%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.3	37	20	17	97	6.73	70%	0.14	68.2	1.09%	0	1.4	72	0
12	Sep_19_2005	42.03	45.27	45.95	46.21	46.31	46.46	46.24(-1.03%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	25	30	1	97	3.85	70%	0.12	70.7	1.1%	0	1.1	67	0
13	Sep_16_2005	41.98	45.14	45.85	46.22	46.2	46.5	46.72(0.52%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	47	40	22	121	4.25	70%	0.17	68.7	1.09%	0	1.8	71	0
14	Sep_15_2005	41.91	44.99	45.67	46.12	46.13	46.16	46.48(1.66%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	52	10	28	125	5.98	70%	0.14	67.2	1.1%	0	1.8	68	0
15	Sep_14_2005	41.85	44.86	45.47	45.78	46.01	45.91	45.72(-0.35%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.1	26	-0	2	97	4.08	69%	0.12	68	1.08%	0	1.1	65	0

16	Sep_13_2005	41.8	44.76	45.31	45.69	45.74	46.1	45.88(-0.86%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	27	60	6	89	8.09	69%	0.12	76.8	1.08%	0	1.4	62	0
17	Sep_12_2005	41.75	44.67	45.15	45.64	45.57	46.11	46.28(0.09%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	59	80	47	95	7.71	69%	0.14	102.4	1.08%	0	2.1	61	0
18	Sep_9_2005	41.69	44.55	44.94	45.43	45.4	45.38	46.24(3.31%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	44	-10	31	83	4.52	69%	0.12	128.1	1.08%	0	2.5	70	0
19	Sep_8_2005	41.64	44.42	44.74	45.17	45.22	45.04	44.76(-1.15%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.7	2	-20	-17	60	2.46	65%	0.12	162.5	1.01%	0	0.6	63	0
20	Sep_7_2005	41.59	44.33	44.7	45.12	45.24	45.41	45.28(-0.79%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	33	30	19	76	3.74	68%	0.12	144.4	1%	0	1.4	62	0

21	Sep_6_2005	41.54	44.14	44.62	44.86	45	45.4	45.64(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.9	51	70	42	78	4.48	68%	0.17	101.5	1%	0	1.7	69	0
22	Sep_2_2005	41.47	43.91	44.53	44.57	44.59	45.06	45.24(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.5	47	80	41	64	3.61	68%	0.1	63.1	1%	0	1.1	57	0
23	Sep_1_2005	41.43	43.69	44.37	44.37	44.3	44.6	44.92(0.9%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	35	40	32	45	3.59	68%	0.1	55.6	1%	0	1	60	0
24	Aug_31_2005	41.39	43.51	44.24	44.26	44.2	44.13	44.52(1.27%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.2	12	-20	7	25	3.67	68%	0.05	53.8	0.99%	0	0.8	56	0
25	Aug_30_2005	41.37	43.38	44.19	44.22	44.22	44.01	43.96(-0.54%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-10	-30	-22	27	4.14	66%		55.3	0.98%	0	0.4	63	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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