Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Thu. Aug. 11, 2005

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $43.8800 (2.72%) ($43.2000 - $43.9200) on Thu. Aug. 11, 2005.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   0.96% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $43.8800(2.72%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 1.2% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 1.2% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(74%)    VWO(73%)    EWY(71%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.48% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-24%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    GLD(11%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.48% (StdDev 0.96%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 1.5%

5 Day Moving Average   $41.9(4.73%)
10 Day Moving Average   $41.72(5.18%)
20 Day Moving Average   $41.36(6.09%)
To recent high   0%
To recent low   9.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.84% (three month std-dev: 0.96%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20050911

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Aug_11_2005	41.11	41.36	41.72	41.9	42.14	43.13	43.88(2.72%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.6	106	180	102	116	6.29	61%	0.02	35.3	0.96%	0	3.3	69	NAN
2	Aug_10_2005	41.1	41.19	41.43	41.39	41.44	42.08	42.72(2.99%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.7	68	110	71	59	5.51	54%	0	28.9	0.91%	0	3.1	57	NAN
3	Aug_9_2005	41.1	41.08	41.25	41.2	41.13	41.15	41.48(1.77%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	16	-0	13	24	2.2	48%	-0.05	29.5	0.84%	0	1.1	56	NAN
4	Aug_8_2005	41.12	41.06	41.17	41.28	41.2	40.81	40.76(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.5	-22	-70	-33	10	2.17	44%	-0.07	42.4	0.81%	0	-0.9	50	NAN
5	Aug_5_2005	41.15	41.08	41.18	41.4	41.41	41.1	40.68(-1.55%)	N/A	N/A	0	-2.1	-25	-50	-40	19	1.9	44%	-0.07	57.6	0.81%	0	-1.1	50	NAN

6	Aug_4_2005	41.18	41.09	41.22	41.4	41.58	41.59	41.32(-1.05%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.4	7	10	-5	44	3.31	51%	-0.05	64.4	0.79%	0	0.6	55	NAN
7	Aug_3_2005	41.2	41.04	41.24	41.46	41.49	41.72	41.76(-0.29%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.8	35	40	24	68	1.95	53%	-0.05	56.8	0.8%	0	1.8	62	NAN
8	Aug_2_2005	41.22	40.97	41.14	41.31	41.33	41.57	41.88(1.26%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	48	40	43	64	1.9	53%	-0.05	43.5	0.8%	0	2.6	64	NAN
9	Aug_1_2005	41.24	40.92	41.04	41.05	41.13	41.25	41.36(0.88%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.1	26	30	25	27	1.61	50%	-0.07	29.6	0.79%	0	1.5	51	NAN
10	Jul_29_2005	41.27	40.87	40.99	41.05	40.91	41.09	41(-0.68%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.2	6	30	6	5	2.05	53%	-0.07	14.5	0.79%	0	0.5	50	NAN

11	Jul_28_2005	41.3	40.85	40.97	40.94	40.87	41.02	41.28(0.58%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	13	20	14	9	1.82	50%	-0.07	8.5	0.81%	0	1.5	55	NAN
12	Jul_27_2005	41.33	40.83	40.92	41	40.86	40.74	41.04(1.18%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.1	4	-30	-0	15	1.34	50%	-0.05	7.6	0.82%	0	0.8	60	NAN
13	Jul_26_2005	41.35	40.82	40.89	40.95	40.97	40.73	40.56(-0.59%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.4	-15	-40	-22	7	1.36	43%	-0.1	-4.5	0.81%	0	-1	55	NAN
14	Jul_25_2005	41.39	40.83	40.95	41.02	41.02	40.99	40.8(-0.58%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.8	-4	-10	-13	24	1.6	47%	-0.07	0	0.83%	0	-0.1	51	NAN
15	Jul_22_2005	41.42	40.84	40.97	41.03	40.99	41.22	41.04(-1.25%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0	20	40	13	42	3.03	47%	-0.05	-9.4	0.85%	0	0.8	57	NAN

16	Jul_21_2005	41.44	40.83	40.96	41	40.95	41.05	41.56(1.86%)	UT	OpenLong	75	2.2	37	10	31	53	5.06	54%	-0.05	-15.6	0.84%	0	2.8	65	NAN
17	Jul_20_2005	41.46	40.81	40.83	40.84	40.82	40.76	40.8(-0.29%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.2	-0	-10	-6	17	3.59	47%	-0.07	-27.8	0.85%	0	-0	51	NAN
18	Jul_19_2005	41.49	40.81	40.8	40.82	40.86	40.85	40.92(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.4	-2	0	-4	6	2.47	51%	-0.05	-12.5	0.87%	0	0.3	48	NAN
19	Jul_18_2005	41.51	40.83	40.78	40.86	40.85	40.89	40.84(-0.1%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.1	1	10	-3	11	1.82	49%	-0.05	1.6	0.9%	0	0	52	NAN
20	Jul_15_2005	41.53	40.86	40.76	40.86	40.89	40.88	40.88(0.29%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.1	5	-0	3	12	1.56	45%	-0.05	15.5	0.92%	0	0.1	49	NAN

21	Jul_14_2005	41.55	40.86	40.76	40.9	40.9	40.82	40.76(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	-0.5	3	-10	2	7	2.65	43%	-0.02	19.7	0.95%	0	-0.4	46	NAN
22	Jul_13_2005	41.56	40.87	40.72	40.82	40.85	40.9	40.68(-1.17%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	2	10	4	-6	2.61	42%	-0.05	5.6	0.97%	0	-0.7	40	NAN
23	Jul_12_2005	41.58	40.86	40.75	40.76	40.7	40.97	41.16(0.39%)	N/A	N/A	0	1.3	10	40	17	-12	1.44	43%	0	-11	0.97%	0	1	43	NAN
24	Jul_11_2005	41.58	40.83	40.7	40.69	40.56	40.8	41(0.2%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	15	30	26	-17	2.1	43%	-0.05	-26.3	0.97%	0	0.5	51	NAN
25	Jul_8_2005	41.6	40.81	40.69	40.6	40.5	40.42	40.92(1.39%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	1.1	-3	-20	9	-39	3.11	43%		-35.1	0.97%	0	0.4	42	NAN
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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