Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast

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Tue. Nov. 9, 2004

Trading Signals: EWJ Stock Price Prediction and Forecast (Tue. Apr. 1, 2003 - Fri. Dec. 22, 2023)

(iShares MSCI Japan ETF)
EWJ latest price $40.5600 (-0.39%) ($40.4800 - $40.6400) on Tue. Nov. 9, 2004.

Trend Analysis and Forecast

Average Daily Percentage Swing   1.12% (three month average)
RSI   69
Latest Price   $40.5600(-0.39%)
Stocks Behave Similarly   Similar Stock List
Top Holdings   Top Holding List
Daily Trend   EWJ advances 0.3% a day on average for past five trading days.
Weekly Trend   EWJ advances 2.1% a week on average for past two weeks.
Market Behavior   Normal for large cap. Normal for small cap.
Correlated ETFs   Broad market will support EWJ advance at 0% a week (0% probability)
SPY(76%)    EEM(75%)    EWG(74%)    EWY(71%)    EWI(69%)
Factors Impacting EWJ price   EWJ will decline at least -0.56% in a week (0% probabilities).
TLT(-23%)    SHY(-16%)    TIP(-7%)    REMX(1%)    LQD(19%)
Explanation The rally is not sustainable and not supported by the broad market.

Relative Volatility (options are extremely cheap)

Market Trend Strength   -0.56% (StdDev 1.12%)
Hourly BBV 0 ()
Intraday Trend 0%

5 Day Moving Average   $40.74(-0.44%)
10 Day Moving Average   $40.28(0.7%)
20 Day Moving Average   $39.74(2.06%)
To recent high   -1.2%
To recent low   7.4%
Market Cap   $N/A

$. EWJ price fluctuates within 1.66% (three month std-dev: 1.12%) daily (68% of days).

Sample size 0 Average positive next day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next day return: 0%(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next three day return: 0%(0%) Average negative next three day return: %(0%) Sample size 0 Average positive next weekly return: 0%(0%) Average negative next weekly return: 0%(0%)

Analysis News Options Weekly Chart Daily Chart 2 Month Daily Chart

> 20041209

i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD
1	Nov_9_2004	39.7	39.74	40.28	40.74	40.74	40.63	40.56(-0.39%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	23	-20	-5	108	2.09	61%	-0.03	39.8	1.12%	0	1.2	69	0
2	Nov_8_2004	39.71	39.68	40.14	40.64	40.72	40.85	40.72(-0.78%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	37	30	13	107	1.06	61%	0	36.6	1.13%	0	1.6	67	0
3	Nov_5_2004	39.71	39.65	39.98	40.42	40.56	40.86	41.04(0.2%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1	50	60	34	98	1.81	55%	0	30.5	1.12%	0	2.3	72	0
4	Nov_4_2004	39.71	39.58	39.76	40.15	40.2	40.59	40.96(1.39%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.6	43	70	32	75	1.52	55%	0	23.3	1.16%	0	2.7	74	0
5	Nov_3_2004	39.71	39.5	39.6	39.9	39.94	40.26	40.4(0.8%)	UT	OpenLong	75	1.2	40	60	31	65	1.65	53%	-0.03	18.9	1.16%	0	2.1	73	0

6	Nov_2_2004	39.72	39.47	39.47	39.76	39.72	39.81	40.08(1.21%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.8	28	10	21	50	1.65	53%	0.03	33.3	1.16%	0	1.6	60	0
7	Nov_1_2004	39.71	39.45	39.39	39.57	39.56	39.62	39.6(-0.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	0.1	12	10	7	28	0.98	51%	-0.03	38.3	1.15%	0	0.4	48	0
8	Oct_29_2004	39.72	39.45	39.36	39.46	39.45	39.63	39.72(0.1%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.7	17	30	17	16	1.78	51%	-0.03	55.3	1.16%	0	0.7	43	0
9	Oct_28_2004	39.73	39.46	39.29	39.3	39.29	39.5	39.68(-0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	10	40	15	-6	2.39	51%	0	57.6	1.16%	0	0.6	47	0
10	Oct_27_2004	39.73	39.42	39.2	39.26	39.16	39.27	39.72(1.53%)	N/A	N/A	0	1	6	10	14	-20	2.46	51%	-0.03	50.4	1.17%	0	0.7	51	0

11	Oct_26_2004	39.74	39.35	39.15	39.14	39.15	39.07	39.12(0.1%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0	-12	-10	-1	-45	2.47	47%	-0.05	36.4	1.15%	0	-0.4	38	0
12	Oct_25_2004	39.76	39.31	39.2	39.18	39.14	39.06	39.08(0.41%)	DP	OpenShort	-75	-0.2	-22	-20	-13	-48	1.05	47%	0	24.8	1.15%	0	-0.4	43	0
13	Oct_22_2004	39.76	39.26	39.29	39.23	39.27	39.24	38.92(-1.32%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0.5	-10	-0	-1	-37	0.89	43%	0	17.5	1.19%	0	-0.5	40	0
14	Oct_21_2004	39.76	39.24	39.38	39.26	39.28	39.23	39.44(0.82%)	DP	OpenShort	-65	0.3	-5	-10	4	-32	1.1	41%	-0.03	11.4	1.18%	0	0.3	47	0
15	Oct_20_2004	39.77	39.19	39.39	39.13	39.22	39.3	39.12(-0.61%)	DT	OpenShort	-75	-0	-10	20	-2	-35	1.82	41%	0	-0.6	1.22%	0	-0.1	55	0

16	Oct_19_2004	39.77	39.19	39.49	39.16	39.22	39.33	39.36(0.1%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.3	1	30	5	-10	1.24	41%	-0.03	-4.1	1.22%	0	0.3	63	0
17	Oct_18_2004	39.78	39.16	39.52	39.22	39.2	39.14	39.32(0.72%)	N/A	N/A	0	0.2	-4	-10	-7	6	1.02	41%	0	-7.1	1.22%	0	0.2	64	0
18	Oct_15_2004	39.78	39.15	39.58	39.38	39.31	39.08	39.04(0.62%)	N/A	N/A	0	-0.5	-6	-50	-20	35	1.2	41%	-0.03	-4.7	1.22%	0	-0.2	64	0
19	Oct_14_2004	39.79	39.16	39.65	39.54	39.56	39.26	38.8(-1.22%)	N/A	N/A	0	-1.1	-2	-50	-23	62	1.28	38%	0	-1.2	1.22%	0	-0.5	57	0
20	Oct_13_2004	39.79	39.16	39.67	39.69	39.79	39.54	39.28(-0.91%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.6	5	-40	-20	78	0.78	43%	0	3	1.25%	0	0.1	61	0

21	Oct_12_2004	39.79	39.19	39.58	39.85	39.84	39.86	39.64(-1.2%)	UD	OpenLong	65	-0.3	15	0	-10	91	0.82	43%	0.03	3.4	1.27%	0	0.7	63	0
22	Oct_11_2004	39.78	39.21	39.45	39.86	39.91	40.05	40.12(0.7%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.4	32	30	12	91	0.55	43%	0.05	1.7	1.26%	0	1.3	55	0
23	Oct_8_2004	39.76	39.18	39.24	39.82	39.82	39.83	39.84(0.71%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0	20	0	3	70	1.95	48%	0.05	5.2	1.3%	0	1	55	0
24	Oct_7_2004	39.74	39.18	39.08	39.79	39.84	39.78	39.56(-1.3%)	UD	OpenLong	75	-0.3	19	-10	5	60	0.72	48%	0.05	0.6	1.31%	0	0.6	52	0
25	Oct_6_2004	39.72	39.17	38.97	39.64	39.79	39.82	40.08(0.91%)	UT	OpenLong	75	0.6	25	20	18	45	0.96	43%		-6.1	1.31%	0	1.3	55	0
i	Date	ema100	ema20	ema10	ema5	Slow Hourly Trend	Fast Hourly Trend	Close	Pattern	Trade	P	SMA5 BBV	WTF	lsma10 Trend	ema5 Trend	ema10 Trend	Volume millions	Quarterly Strength	100 Daily Trend	Daily Trend Force	Daily StdDev	Hourly BBV	BBV	RSI	VIXCD

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